Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction and Betting Tips 7 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
06.12.2024 19:56
Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction
With the Golden State Warriors having been on a huge cold streak entering this game, they play a Timberwolves squad who have found form in their latest matchups while also starting to build something like last season. This Warriors unit lost to Denver 112-80 for their 5th straight loss, while the Timberwolves beat Los Angeles by 29 points. The game will occur on December 7th at 8:30 A.M. IST in Chase Center of San Fransico. Below are our key betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head matchups to create an accurate outcome for this matchup.
Warriors vs Timberwolves Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Moneyline Pick
Seeing that the money line is at -140 for Minnesota, it should be taken due to their far better advantage as both an offensive plus defensive unit. Led by Mike Conley plus Anthony Edwards in the backcourt, their duo should have more efficient shots plus passes than Stephen Curry in addition to Buddy Hield. Knowing Jaden McDaniels is the strong three-point shooter and rebounder against Andrew Wiggins, Julius Randle should continue providing a high level of shot-making ability versus Johnathon Kuminga. Having Rudy Gobert as a much stronger defender plus board-getter than Trayce Jackson-Davis and Kevon Looney, this Timberwolves unit should win their -140 money line and 5th straight against Golden State.
2. Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Point Spread Pick
Looking at the Timberwolves having a -2 spread in the game, they should continue building as a stronger all-around squad. Led by Mike Conely’s underrated prowess as a passer, he can provide a few vital points inside the paint or from top-of-key looks. Someone who is a true leader for this squad, his most important role will come in locking down Stephen Curry’s shooting ability. Something he has shown to be able to do over his last couple of seasons, Conley will help provide Curry with a low-efficient scoring night through close-outs plus steals. Even though Steph will still score at a vital rate compared to Conley, it will be much closer than expected because of how the Timberwolves guard attacks Curry when driving in or trying jump shots. Seeing that Anthony Edwards has been one of the most physical scorers for Minnesota this season, his ability to hit the three-ball has also become a very important aspect. Going up against Buddy Hield, he should have a tremendous night against a weaker perimeter defender, while also holding the fort down on the defense against and causing the Warriors shooting guard into a lot of tough looks. As Hield isn’t someone who creates much of the dribble anymore, Edwards will use aggressiveness to push the ball down the other way. With Jaden McDaniels lined up as a two-way piece against Andrew Wiggins, he will force a lot of rejections on the Warriors forward, while also creating traps into bad passes. Knowing McDaniels will turn this into a transition dunk, his three-point has turned into a key part of this offense. Having Julius Randle be a higher-impact scorer and rebounder than Johnathon Kuminga, the defense of Rudy Gobert inside plus size should keep Trayce Jackson-Davis plus Kevon Looney silent. Therefore, this -2 spread looks like a perfect pick.
3. Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
With the over/under being 219.5 points during this matchup, it will be pretty high-scoring between two solid offensive squads. As Golden State has one of the best deep shooters in league history that can pass at point guard, their shooting guard has shown great ability to space the floor as well. Having a small forward who can provide from outside or in, their power forward continues to be a potent perimeter threat. With a duo of strong finishing centers, this group plays a Timberwolves unit that has a very strong all-around scorer at shooting guard. Knowing their wings can create offense as well, this group’s center continues putting back up a lot of rebounds for layups. Seeing this plus their multiple options off the bench, this score should go well over these two teams combined 224 points from last time.
Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Top Player Props
Andrew Wiggins under 15.5 points at 1.67: As the Warriors' small forward has recently been struggling to find his shot, this is expected to continue against a tougher defense. Having to go up against a lengthy wing in Jaden McDaniels, Andrew Wiggins has a lot of rougher looks at the basket and will be forced to shoot from outside with this Timberwolves SF’s side-to-side ability. Being someone who averages 17.2 points a night, he will be under the line in this game.
Anthony Edwards over 23.5 points at 1.71: Seeing that the Timberwolves shooting guard continues producing high-level offense, it should be another high-level game for him. Being guarded by Buddy Hield, Edwards will be able to find his three-point shot and inside looks with ease against a much weaker defender. Scoring 26.7 a night, he should go way over his season average during the game here.
Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Injury News & Impact
Golden State Warriors Injuries: With De’Anthony Melton, 10.3 points, is out again due to his torn ACL, this Warriors unit will miss a vital leader in Draymond Green at their power forward position.
Minnesota Timberwolves Injuries: As Rob Dillingham is set to return after an ankle issue, the Timberwolves will not have key three-point shooter Joe Ingles due to a calf problem.
Warriors vs Timberwolves Head-to-Head Trends
Having seen that the Minnesota Timberwolves have won 4 straight games against Golden State, they will look to continue building upon this streak. Seeing that they scored over 100 points in 14 of 15 previous matchups, this unit should create another strong offensive performance after averaging 111.3 in their previous 3. Seeing that this Timberwolves squad is 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 matchups against Golden State, they should keep making this record look even better.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the public trends, Minnesota is backed by 57.3% of bettors to beat this Warriors squad.
Warriors vs Timberwolves Final Prediction
As Minnesota continues getting on their role and finding form from last season, they got a chance to play this Golden State Warriors squad at the right time. Seeing that this Warriors unit has really been struggling, the Timberwolves' defensive prowess should play a huge factor once again. Having Mike Conley be a strong passer who can also create inside, his defense will be vital at point guard. Knowing that Stephen Curry continues showing prowess as a great shooter plus passer, Conley is one defender that can stop him with elite side-to-side ability and reaching-in. Known as a terrific close-out defender as well, he will limit Curry’s three-point game, while forcing him to drive in more where Minnesota’s paint defense is starting to get dangerous. Knowing that Anthony Edwards continues being an elite shooting guard who produces from everywhere on offense, he should dominate against a very weak defender in Buddy Hield. With Edwards having great strength to finish inside, his ability to knock down long-range shots plus create rebounds will all outplay Hield. Known for his defensive prowess as well as his eliteness in forcing turnovers against worse dribblers, Edwards should have multiple steals during this matchup.
With Andrew Wiggins having struggled to find consistent form over the past couple of games, things won’t get easier as he has to face Minnesota’s Jaden McDaniels in this matchup. Someone who can produce elite-length blocks and attack Wiggins right to the hoop, McDaniels should force him to take a lot more jump shots from outside. As McDaniels can guard the perimeter as well, it could be a complete shutdown, while he provides Minnesota with some vital three-point shooting plus dunking abilities. Knowing that Julius Randle is a stronger scorer and bigger rebounding threat than Johnathon Kuminga, this unit will be rounded out by defensive specialist Rudy Gobert at center. Someone who will cause rejections and win the rebounding battle against Trayce Jackson-Davis plus Kevon Looney combined, this Timberwolves unit has big-time scoring pieces in Naz Reid plus Donte DiVincenzo off the bench. Meanwhile, Golden State will have to rely on Bradin Podziemiski plus Gary Payton II to keep this game within striking distance.
Our prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves win this game and cover their -2 spread, while the score goes over 219.5 points.
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