NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Prediction.17th November
NLB Staff
16.11.2024 13:17
As the Toronto Raptors continue to be a team hamstrung by injuries, they play one of the most complete rosters in Boston. Seeing that the Raptors came off a 14-point loss against Milwaukee, Boston keeps riding the hot hand after beating Brooklyn a couple of nights ago. This game will take place on November 17th at 6:30 A.M. in T.D. Garden of Boston. Below are our betting tips, player props, head-to-head trends, and vital injuries to create a potential outcome for this game.
Raptors vs Celtics Prediction Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Moneyline Pick
Seeing that the Celtics have a -604 money line during this matchup, it should be taken because they should dominate all facets of the game. As Jrue Holiday and Derrick White should continue scoring more points than Davion Mitchell plus Gradey Dick in both teams' backcourts, they should also use all-around games to create extra chances for Boston. Knowing that Jayson Tatum is going to outscore R.J. Barrett with his superstar abilities, the Celtics Jaylen Brown should have a massive game against Ochai Agbaji. In addition, Boston’s bench should help them win their -604 moneyline making it their 9th in a row vs Toronto.
2. Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Point Spread Pick
Seeing that the Celtics spread is at -10.5 in this game, they should control the pace of this matchup from start to finish. With Jrue Holiday running the point guard position, he will have a great two-way game once again against someone like Davion Mitchell known for just passing. As Holiday can knock down threes, Derrick White has a great all-around offensive game as well and should contribute a lot of buckets to this team’s scoring against Gradey Dick. As Gradey Dick might be a weaker defender, his offensive game is something that has turned out to be very strong and should continue helping this team in the development of the future. As Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown line up against R.J Barrett plus Ochai Agbaji, they both should have excellent games knocking down the three-point ball in addition to finishing at the rim with a considerable amount of patience. As Ochai Agbaji and R.J. Barrett have shown some resemblance off offense, the defense of the Celtics forwards will be too much along with the play style of Al Horfod’s stretching ability compared to Jakob Poeltl being a statue at the middle. Therefore, this -10.5 spread looks like the perfect pick for this game.
3. Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the Boston Celtics and Raptors over/under are at 230.5 points, it looks like this game will provide a lot of scoring throughout. Having seen that the Celtics have a great backcourt that can have efficient scoring, they have two elite forwards who are great shooters and layup takers in addition to their defense. Also, have a piece that is designated for three-point shooting, this Celtics squad will once again carry this line. Meanwhile, the Raptors do have a pretty solid shooting guard there that creates a nice combo with their power forward. Knowing that they also have a couple of good three-point shooters and passers, this game should hit the over after both teams combined for 238 points two matchups ago.
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Top Player Props
Gradey Dick over 19.5 points at 1.87: As Gradey Dick has turned into the Raptors' best scorer outside of R.J. Barrett, he should have a favorable matchup against Derrick White due to his top-notch length. Even though provides size too, the Raptors' shooting guard has been able to create of the dribble and screens, while also driving into the lane at times with ease. Knowing this plus the fact he averages 20.1 points a night, the Raptors rising star should hit the over during this game.
Jaylen Brown over 25.5 points at 1.83: Seeing that Jaylen Brown has continued to be a great threat from three and providing strength on the inside, he should control Ochai Agbaji with ease. As Agbaji has provided some great length, the issue is Brown is just such an elite scorer who can dribble over any solid dribble and finish. As this is true, the Celtics forward should go over his 25.4 points per game average this year.
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics Injury News & Impact
Toronto Raptors Injuries: As Scottie Barners remains out due to his orbital fracture, having someone who averaged 19.3 points and 7.8 rebounds gone is a huge loss for this team. Being their main small-forward and having his backup Bruce Brown, 10.2 points a night, still out has caused this team a lot of damage in that position with Ochai Agbaji being solid but not elite enough at that position. Having Immanuel Quickley out once again because of an ulnar collateral ligament injury, his 15.3 points will be missed due to Davion Mitchell being more of a passer and less of a scorer as Quickley’s replacement. As this team has young Ja’Kobe Walter and Kelly Olynk out too, the depth of this roster could be in question once again.
Boston Celtics Injuries: Although the Celtics still have Kristapas Porzingis out since before the season even began, they should continue running with the same rotations under Joe Muzzula to have sustained success.
Raptors vs Celtics Head-to-Head Trends
As the Celtics have continued to be a dominant force against the Raptors, they are currently on an 8-game winning streak and look to make it even bigger. Having scored over 100 points in the last 5 games and beating this Raptors squad by 9 or more points in 3 of their last 5 matchups, their elite abilities should help put together a similar output in this game. With the Celtics being 10-1 against the spread vs the Raptors over the last 11 matchups, this should continue to help them expand upon their record.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, the Boston Celtics have 84.6% of the bettors backing them to win this matchup against Toronto.
Raptors vs Celtics Final Prediction
Looking at the talent differential in both these units, the Celtics should have control of this game from tip-off time. Knowing that they want to run it back and create more problems in the NBA for others trying to contend with them, this is a must-win game due to it being against a much weaker opponent. Led by Jrue Holiday at point guard, his two-way ability has continued to play a major factor for this unit as a whole. Seeing that his defense continues to be lockdown and he can deflect a lot of passes, Holiday will take out Raptors guard Davion Mitchell’s best attribute completely if Immanuel Quickley is still ruled out. As someone who can also score with ease and knock down threes, Holiday should continue using this matchup as a mismatch to create problems for the Raptors guard. As Derrick White continues being one of the best shooting guards around the league, his ability to knock down shots from anywhere and play as an all-around player has been a key factor for Boston’s success. Going up against Gradey Dick, he should have control of him on the offensive end due to his scoring prowess and ability to use his body to finish. Even though on defense he may let up a few points just because of the Raptors' shooting guard’s skills, he should pretty much win this matchup due to having an elite two-way presence similar to Holiday. With Jaylen Brown being one of the best spot-up shooters in the league that has lately shown a lot of highly successful dribbling moves, he will be able to attack Ochai Agabji with ease. Although Agabji could provide some length and inside scoring, Brown should handle him for the most part and create traps that lead to bad passes. Having Tatum as another elite sorcerer and very solid defender, his matchup against R.J. Barrett will come down to who can finish better. As Tatum has shown deep range and also an ability to attack the rim with force, he can have a much stronger outing than the Raptors' point guard just due to a height advantage. At center Al Horford’s vocal leadership should continue being a key factor against Jakob Poeltl, while many bench pieces like Payton Pritchard and Neemias Queta will continue adding production. The only way Toronto could be within striking distance is if many bench players like Chris Boucher and Jamal Shead could score at a rapid pace.
Our prediction: The Boston Celtics win and cover their -10.5 spread, while the score goes over 230.5 points.