Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Prediction and Betting Tips 6 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
06.12.2024 00:50
Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Prediction
As the Memphis Grizzlies continue showing great depth play through this season, they play a Sacramento Kings squad that is slowly starting to find their rhythm this season. With this Sacramento unit losing 127-125 against San Antonio last time out, Memphis beat Indiana by 15 points. This matchup will be played on December 6th at 7:00 A.M. IST in the FedEx Forum of Memphis. Below are our top player props, key betting tips, vital injuries, and head-to-head trends to make a potential outcome for this game.
Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Moneyline Pick
Having a money line off -170 is a great pick because Memphis has a vital advantage on both ends of the floor. Led by Ja Morant and Desmond Bane in the backcourt, their ability to score plus create for others will outduel Malik Monk plus De’Aaron Fox. With Keegan Murray’s recent struggles and Demar DeRozan’s inconsistent game, these two will get completely outrebounded plus outscored by Jaylen Wells plus Jaren Jackson Jr. Having Brandon Clarke at center, the Kings will win the all-around battle with Domantas Sabonis, but the Grizzlies big-man will keep it a lot close. Seeing this, the Grizzlies should start their new streak against Sacramento after winning a -170 money line.
2. Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Point Spread Pick
Seeing that the Grizzlies have a -1.5 spread during this game, they should win it due to having a better overall presence of two-way players. Led by Ja Morant, his ability to finish inside with unique dribbling skills and find the open man will play a key factor throughout. As someone who has become a household name for scoring near the basket, his ability to finish outside will contribute a lot as well. In an offensive battle against De’Aaron Fox, they both will have a lot of points once again, but Morant’s improved defense will outpace Fox’s in crunch time. Knowing that Ja is going to create steals, he has the quickness to cover De’Aaron when driving and cause him to have a ruined court vision. With Desmond Bane continuing to be a high-volume scorer for Memphis, his greatness will overtake Malik Monk’s long-range shooting ability. As Bane can have the size to dunk or create from perimeter areas, his recent prowess of being a great passer has remained a key for this unit. Knowing that he will put up a ton of good looks against a smaller guy like Monk, Bane should also be a great closeout defender who will prevent Monk from getting the same three-point looks. As Jaylen Wells has shown a lot of explosion as a blocker plus rebounder, he should deny Demar Derozan at the rim multiple times, while forcing him to shoot from outside. Being very athletic on the open floor, he can outpace Derozan while also having a stronger mid-range performance than Sacramento’s small forward. With Jaren Jackson Jr. being a better all-around scorer and rebounder than Keegan Murray, Brandon Clarke’s defense plus board-getting should limit Domantas Sabonis as a scorer and passer. All in all, Memphis’s defense should be a key reason this -1.5 spread is a must.
3. Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
With the over/under being 220.5 points during this matchup, both squads should provide baskets with their vital pieces. As the Kings are led by one of the quickest guards that cuts to the hoop or finishes outside, his passing ability will get their small forward going as an all-around scorer. Seeing that their center has continued being a key passer plus finisher, this unit has a great three-point shooting sixth man off the bench. On the other end, Memphis has one of the most athletic guards that can provide with scoring plus passing abilities and shooting guard who doesn’t miss from deep. With two forwards that could finish from outside or in, their center has remained a dominant force to put-back layups. Having multiple scoring options off the bench, this score should go over their 232 points from last time.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Top Player Props
Jaren Jackson Jr. over 20.5 points at 1.71: As the Grizzlies power forward is having a strong impact on offense this season, he should build on it during this matchup. Being someone who will go against a smaller and less effective Keegan Murray, Jackson Jr. will finish inside or from three throughout. Averaging 22.4 points a night, he should go well over the line in this game.
Keegan Murray under 10.5 points at 1.67: Seeing that this Kings power forward has recently struggled with outside scoring, his issues will continue during the game. Having to go up against Jaren Jackson Jr., he will be forced into multiple blocks and traps with the Grizzlies PF’s size. As someone who is scoring 12.2 a night, he should go well under the season average in this game.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Injury News & Impact
Memphis Grizzlies Injuries: As Zach Edey, 6.9 rebounds, is out with an ankle injury, this group will start Brandon Clarke at the center position. Having no Vince Williams Jr. due to a sprained ankle will cause this Memphis team to lose some vital depth.
Sacramento Kings Injuries: Although Trey Lyles remains out due to his calf strain, this Kings unit should continue running with the same lineups and showing growth under Mike Brown.
Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Head-to-Head Trends
Even though the Kings have won 4 straight games against Memphis, the tables have turned now with this Grizzlies unit being much stronger. As Memphis has averaged 99.3 points a game during their last three matchups, they hope to make this number well over 100 and build on hitting past the century mark after doing it 15 times in their previous 17 games. Being 8-5 against the spread over Memphis’s past 13 games against Sacramento, they hope to widen the gap even more.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, 56.0% of bettors have projected that Memphis will beat the Sacramento Kings in this game.
Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Final Prediction
As the Memphis Grizzlies continue being a very strong team with their starting and bench play, they should have another outstanding performance against a struggling Kings unit. Seeing that this group is led by one of the most explosive guards in Ja Morant, his ability to create off the dribble for inside finishes plus a great long-range prowess should help him be a key factor. Having a passing ability as well, he should have a shoot-out against De’Aaron Fox as both of them have shown elite quickness throughout the season. Even though Fox should score a ton throughout this matchup, Morant will come up in the biggest moments and cause vital turnovers for Sacramento to have more positions. Having Desmond Bane continue being one of the key shooting guards on this Grizzlies unit, they should have a big performance out of him due to a size advantage against Malik Monk. Being someone who can finish inside or knock down great threes, he should limit Monk’s threes and force him into a lot of rough looks. Seeing that he can also cause a turnover, Bane should have a complete advantage throughout.
With Jaylen Wells being a very impactful rebounder and defender, he should have a very underrated performance to slow down Demar DeRozan’s game. Being a big-time guy who has created multiple blocks near the hoop, he also showed prowess as a scorer on the other end and should finish with strength over DeRozan. As Wells has shown an underrated ability to shoot threes, he should create a complete mismatch against DeRozan that nobody would expect to see the name. Knowing Keegan Murray will be dominated by Jaren Jackson Jr. on the glass and finishing-wise, he should have strength over the Kings' power forward once again. Seeing Brandon Clarke has a huge impact on slowing down Domanatas Sabonis’s passing plus inside scoring, he will provide layups plus rebounds for Memphis as well. With this Grizzlies unit having Santi Aldama and Luke Kennard as key shooters off the bench, the Kings keep it close if Keon Ellis plus Jae Crowder provide.
Our pick: Memphis Grizzlies win this game and cover their -1.5 spread, while the score goes over 220.5 points.
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