NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, 11th November

NLB Staff

10.11.2024 12:52

Sacramento Kings vs Suns Prediction

As the Sacramento Kings have shown improvement with their key offseason additions, they play a Phoenix Suns team that has completely changed their name around after hiring Mike Budenholzer. With Phoenix coming off a 1-point victory against Dallas, this Kings team took a big loss to Los Angeles in their most recent game. This matchup will happen on November 11th at 6:30 A.M. IST in Footprint Center, Phoenix. Underneath are our key betting odds, top player props, public trends, and key head-to-head matchups to create a prediction for this matchup.

Sacramento Kings vs Suns Key Betting Tips & Predictions

1. Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Moneyline Pick

As the money line for the Suns is at -200, this is a great idea to take due to their high chance of winning the game. With their three dominant scorers Kevin Durant, Bradley Beal, and Devin Booker, this group should have an outstretched lead through the whole game. Given that their top players can beat out the offensive firepower of Sacramento, it could be led due to defense against Demar Derozan and De’Aaron Fox. Even though Nurkic could have a hard time following around Sabonis, there will only be so much that the Kings can do over the Suns to fire back from three or mid-range. All in all, this shows that Phoenix can dominate all parts of the game and should be taken as -200 on the money line.

2. Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Point Spread Pick

Although both teams are built in very similar ways, the Suns should have an advantage in this game with their -5.5 spread due to consistency. Seeing that they have Kevin Durant lined up against Keegan Murray, this Suns squad should get points with ease due to a size advantage. Having the ability to knock a variety of shots and driving into the lanes as well, he should help free up room for Bradley Beal to be a great perimeter shooter. In addition to Beal’s ability to play on both ends of the floor, he should create a lot of extra opportunities for this Suns team by taking the ball away from Demar Derozan through steals. Although the Kings will win the matchup in the middle with Sabonis being the better overall offensive threat, Nurkic can have a lasting impact to put up points at a rapid pace. His ability to finish inside over a smaller Sabonis could help this Phoenix team get out to an even bigger lead before guys like Devin Booker take over Kevin Heurter in the backcourt. Looking at the Suns' roster, their better overall two-play makes their -5.5 spread look perfect heading into this matchup.

3. Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Over/Under Pick (Total Points)

As the over/under in this game is at 229.5 points, it should go over as these two teams provide great scoring options. Given that the Suns have one of the best power forward/shooting guards in the NBA, they will rely on a top shooter to continue his form as well. With an elite scoring center that will try to match the eliteness of the Kings, the Suns should help this line while the Kings will do a massive part in helping. Having two great guards who can attack the basket along with an elite outside shooter at forward, this group should help their center in the scoring mark. With their matchup two nights ago being combined for 255 points, this should be very high scoring too.

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Top Player Props

Keegan Murray Over 14.5 Points at 1.77: Although Kevin Durant has been an excellent defender with tremendous length, he will have to guard Sabonis inside causing a switch with Nurkic. As Nurkic is a great paint defender, his chances of closing out on Keegan Murray are much less and could help the Kings' power forward improve on his 14.4 points average. Seeing this and the 43.4% field goal percentage, it should help Murray hit the over in this game.

Kevin Durant Over 25.5 Points at 1.87: Given that Kevin Durant is still one of the best scorers league-wide and can pull up from mid-range or three with ease, he has a huge advantage against Keegan Murray to drive in as well. With a season average of 27.6 points per game, he should continue his offensive prowess as one of the best scorers and a leading MVP candidate. This a growth game to take the over on Durant as he can hit the over in this game.

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Injury News & Impact

Sacramento Kings Injuries: As the Sacramento Kings enter this game with no injuries, they should continue attacking the basket at a high level against one of the best offenses in NBA play.

Phoenix Suns Injuries: With Ryan Dunn, 6.8 points plus 2.3 rebounds, being likely ruled out due to an ankle injury, this Suns squad will have to rely on Bol Bol’s extended minutes behind Kevin Durant and a potential move to put strong rebounder Royce O’Neale, 6.6 boards a night, there for a while too when KD rests.

Sacramento Kings and Suns Head-to-Head Trends

As the Suns have lately dominated this matchup against the Kings, they have now won 3 straight games when playing head-to-head. Although Sacramento had a 4-game winning streak of their own before this matchup, times have changed and Phoenix should continue building on their efforts. Coming as the stronger team, their matchups against Sacramento have been within 15 points during the last 10 outings and should continue to remain a close game. Seeing that the last time a team scored less than 100 points was in 2019, this should be a very high-scoring matchup.

Betting Insights & Public Trends

Seeing the current public trends for this game, this Phoenix Suns squad has 70% of the bettors taking their side to win this matchup against Sacramento.

Sacramento Kings vs Suns Final Prediction

With both these teams heading into this game looking in top form, the Phoenix Suns have shown great poise as one of the best teams on both sides of the floor this season. Although they will be facing another great shooting team in Sacramento, this Suns roster should have an advantage again in this game. Starting with Kevin Durant at the power forward position, his ability to continue dominating from mid-range and deep well into his late 30s has been something that’s kept this Phoenix team afloat. Even though he has to go up against a much younger Keegan Murray who can grab boards and shoot threes for Sacramento, Durant is someone who can score over any while also having great abilities of using his length to create multiple blocks. Next to him at the small forward position is one of the best two-way scorers Bradley Beal, who has a great head-to-head matchup against Derozan. Seeing that Beal’s scoring output in this game might be a little less due to Demar’s defense, he should return the favor on the other by forcing the Kings' small forward into some very tough shots. With De’Aaron Fox running the point for Sacramento, his speed could get trapped in this game due to Tyus Jones's lockdown abilities and knack of sticking to smaller guards like Fox. As the Kings could potentially win their center battle with Domantas Sabonis being one of the best all-around threats, it will be much closer than expected as Jusuf Nurkic has improved in his shot-blocking. Even though Sabonis could beat him on perimeter shots and in the scoring battle, Nurkic has shown a much more improved ability to handle top offensive centers at a higher rate. As this game should come down to the wire, the way Sacramento could win this game is if Malik Monk can hit some vital threes and Keon Ellis adds a few drives to give this Kings squad an edge.

Our pick: Phoenix Suns win and cover -5.5 spread, while the score goes 229.5 combined points.