NBA Picks and Betting Tips: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 24th November
NLB Staff
23.11.2024 00:27
Spurs vs Warriors Prediction
With this San Antonio Spurs roster having found its identity and hit a stride with its new-look squad, its opponents in Golden State continue to have one of the most complete rosters in Western Conference play. San Antonio knocked off Utah in their last game by a score of 126-118, while Golden State is coming off a 2-game winning streak. This matchup will occur on November 24th at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Below are our key betting tips, top player props, recent head-to-head matchups, and public trends to create a potential outcome for this matchup.
Spurs vs Warriors Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Moneyline Pick
Seeing that the Warriors have a -393 moneyline, they should win it as they have a much higher chance of winning this matchup. With Stephen Curry and Buddy Hield being key members of their backcourt, they should control the scoring against Chris Paul plus Devin Vasell. As Golden State’s two wings Draymond Green plus Andrew Wiggins have a great all-around game with strength against Julian Champiegne and Harrison Barnes, they should win the two-way battle. Seeing that Kevon Looney and Trayce Jackson-Davis have a scoring and rebound advantage against Zach Collins, this -393 money line should be taken making it their 8th win in 9 matchups vs San Antonio.
2. San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Point Spread Pick
As the Warriors are favored by -8.5 in this game, it should be taken due to their ability as a stronger all-around team that can beat San Antonio in any way. With Stephen Curry starting at point guard once again, his elite prowess as a dribbler and scoring threat will instill fear into an older version of Chris Paul. Although they both are great passers, the pace at which this Warriors guard plays at plus his ability to make amazing three-point shots will be impossible for Paul to overcome. Being that great defender as well, he will create a few traps against the Spurs guard and cause him into a few rare bad passes. With Buddy Hield continuing to prove his worth as an unstoppable force from three, his ability to create them off screens and catch plus shoot, will not be easy for either Devin Vassell or Stephon Castle to cover. Although Castle has become a better player off the bench, both of their defenses will allow easy looks for someone like Hield. With the size of Andrew Wiggins at small forward, his ability to finish inside and win the rebounding battle over Julian Champiegne will be vital. As someone who can create jump shots from outside as well, his length will let him score over a smaller Spurs forward while closing out on the other end. Although Harrison Barnes has been a great mid-range scorer this season, Draymond Green’s defense will make it uncomfortable for him to get similar looks. Knowing that Green can pass and win the rebounding battle as well, Golden State’s center Kevon Looney plus Trayce Jackson-Davis should both have a great positive over Zach Collins. Knowing this, the -8.5 spread for Golden State is perfect.
3. San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
Seeing that the over/under in this game is at 227.5 points, this should be a fairly high-scoring game with both units having very solid options. As San Antonio will be led by one of the best passing point guards who can still create layups inside or shoot threes, both their SGs can create space for outside shots. Having a small forward who can finish inside or also hit his perimeter looks, their power forward continues to be a great mid-range scorer. Going against a Warriors squad whose point guard remains one of the most elite scorers, they have an elite knockdown three-point shooter at a shooting guard. Having a small forward who can create great looks with his length, their centers both have great rebounding abilities for put-backs. With their backup power forward being an elite inside finisher as well, this scoreline should be similar to 230 points from last time out.
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Top Player Props
Zach Collins under 13.5 points at 1.60: With Zach Collins being known as a solid inside scorer, he hasn’t shown consistency to provide similar outputs on the offensive end every night. Going up against a defense with two bigger defenders in Trayce Jackson-Davis and Kevon Looney inside, Draymond Green will also switch over to get Collins into uncomfortable scoring positions. Seeing that he only averages 7.0 points a night, the Spurs big man will be way under the line in this game.
Stephen Curry over 6 assists at 1.91: Although many people know the Warriors guard as an elite scorer, his ability to pass has been a very underrated aspect this defense. Having been a great facilitator and going through open lanes to find shooters, this should be done with ease against a smaller defender like Chris Paul. Has he also will win the quickness battle, Curry should continue improving on his 6.5 assists per game this season.
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors Injury News & Impact
San Antonio Spurs Injuries: As Victor Wembanyaba, 22.7 points and 10.5 rebounds, will likely not play due to his knee injury, this group will have to start a smaller Zach Collins at center who can’t rebound or block at a similar level. Seeing that Devin Vassell, 16.3 points, will come off his rest from a knee injury, this group will continue running with an identical lineup like the last couple of nights as Harrison Barnes starts over their injured power forward in Jermey Soachan.
Golden State Warriors Injuries: Seeing that De’Anthony Melton is still out with his Torn ACL, Buddy Hield will replace the former Michigan St. guard. As Hield is a better three-point scorer and can provide more total points, Golden State should still run with the same rotations that have made them so successful this season outside of that.
Spurs vs Warriors Head-to-Head Trends
The Warriors have dominated this matchup and should continue owning San Antonio after winning 7 of their previous 8 games. Golden State has scored over 100 points in 18 straight matchups against San Antonio, so they should continue to have an explosive offensive night. During their four previous matchups, this Warriors squad averaged 115.0 points and hopes to build on their 4-1 record against San Antonio in five games.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Seeing the current public trends for this matchup, Golden State is backed by 79.7% of bettors to beat San Antonio.
Spurs vs Warriors Final Prediction
Going into a game where the Warriors look like they way more loaded roster under Steve Kerr, this should be another pretty simple game for them to continue with their hot streak. Up against an injured Spurs squad, this Golden State group will once again be led by elite guard Stephen Curry. Being someone who can still knock down threes and be an unselfish passer through his passing, he should have his way against an older Chris Paul. Even though the Spurs guard will continue having an assist masterclass himself, the key here is that Curry will end up with more due to his stronger defense that will take out Paul’s best ability. Seeing that CPIII doesn’t have the same ability to knock down his mid-range shots either, it should lead to a lot more easier night on the defensive end for Stephen Curry. Forcing Paul into extra dribbles, this Spurs group will potentially return their shooting guard Devin Vassell, but not for similar minutes. As someone coming off a small knee issue, his play-time will be limited and Buddy Hield should take advantage of that on Golden State’s end. Knowing that Hield is one of the best three-point shooters around NBA play, he should continue dominating a weaker like Vasell while also having a size advantage against Stephon Castle. As the new Spurs shooting guard has shown prowess as a solid scorer himself, Hield’s ability to hit a high volume of deep shots and do it at a great rate will help him easily outscore this combo.
Having the length of Andrew Wiggins at small forward will be a key factor for this Warriors squad with his mismatch against Julian Champiegne. Even though San Antonio’s SF has shown a great knack for being a perimeter shooter who can drive in when needed, Wiggins's height and size will cause Champiegne off his mark. With the Warriors small forward himself being a great scorer inside or outside, he should have frequent finishes near the hoop and create a matchup that allows for easier fade-aways. As Wiggins has an amazing blocking ability and should win the rebounding advantage as well, this unit keeps Draymond Green at power forward. His greatness as a defender, too, will help cause Harrison Barnes to be a less efficient mid-range scorer, while Green’s passing and board collecting will outnumber the Spurs' power forward. Seeing that Trayce Jackson-Davis and Kevon Looney complement each other's game wonderfully as rotational pieces inside, they should dominate Zach Collins with ease. Golden State will once again have a loaded bench with Bradin Podziemski and Johnathon Kuminga, while San Antonio can keep it close if Keldon Johnson has another efficient shooting night.
Our prediction: Golden State Warriors win and cover their -8.5 spread, while score goes over 227.5 points.
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