Kings vs Pacers Prediction and Betting Tips 23 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
22.12.2024 17:39
Kings vs Pacers Prediction
With the Sacramento Kings having been one of the most on-and-off teams this season, they play another unit that’s shown a lack of consistency in Indiana. As the Kings come off a 113-100 loss to Los Angeles, this Indiana squad shocked Phoenix in their last matchup. This game will be played on December 23rd at 4:30 A.M. IST in Golden 1 Center of Sacramento. Below are our key betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and important head-to-head trends entering this game.
Kings vs Pacers Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers Moneyline Pick
Looking at this matchup, the Sacramento Kings have a -130 money line that should be taken because of their elite pieces on both ends. Having a duo of De’Aaron Fox and Malik Monk in their backcourt, this duo should have more assists plus points than Andrew Nembhard next to Tyrese Haliburton. Seeing that Demar Derozan is a piece who could dominate both ends off the floor against the recently struggling Bennedict Mathurian, he should have another huge scoring load. With Jae Crowder being an aggressive defensive piece to limit Pascal Siakam’s game, he should also have a rebounding advantage. As Domantas Sabonis continues playing at a team-leader level, he should have a resounding performance against Myles Turner, helping the Kings win their second straight game against Indiana at a -130 money line.
2. Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers Point Spread Pick
With the Kings having a -1.5 spread in this game, this unit will have an edge because of their better defensive play. Led by De’Aaron Fox at point guard, his ability to drive in and finish matches strong outside shooting, led him to another massive output. Also known for his passing prowess and quickness with dribbling, he will be the leader of the group once again. Having a weaker defender in Tyrese Haliburton ahead of him, Fox should control the pace and control the offensive game throughout. Someone who is known to have quick hands plus a knack for causing deflections, he will give Haliburton a tougher time to create great passes, while also not being a huge rim attacker throughout. With Malik Monk continuing to be one of the strongest knock-down shooters in NBA play, his deep looks will be vital once again. Someone who keeps on creating inside as well, he will be a defensive catalyst again as someone who can force steals and close out on the other end. Having to go against a small defender in Andrew Nembhard, Monk should also control his offensive game by creating turnovers for points down the other end. Seeing that the small forward in Demar DeRozan continues to be a huge threat inside or outside, he will really continue attacking throughout this game. Matching up against Bennedict Mathurian, his side-to-side defense and rebounding ability should lockdown the Pacers small forward. Having Jae Crowder be a vital defender on the perimeter against Pascal Siakam, the Kings' Domantas Sabonis should control Myles Turner with his all-around game. All in all, this -1.5 spread should be taken for Sacramento.
3. Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
Seeing that the over/under in this game is 240.5 points, both teams should have a ton of scoring options to make it a shootout. As Sacramento is led by one of the most elite point guards who can create and score with ease, their shooting guard continues to be a vital threat from deep. Having a small forward that can finish from inside or out, their power forward remains a great spot-up shooter. Surrounded by many elite threats, the center is a strong passing, rebounding, and scoring threat as well. Meanwhile, Indiana has one of the quickest point guards that can drive in, kick it out, or shoot from deep as well. With a shooting guard that has developed a long-range shot, their power forward remains a key all-around contributor on offense. Having a center that can space the floor, this game should go around their 255 points from last time.
Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers Top Player Props
Bennedict Mathurian under 17.5 points at 1.79: Once a great scoring small-forward, the Pacers piece now has found a tough time finding great looks and making inside shots too. With Demar DeRozan matched up against Bennedict Mathurian, he should limit his ability even more and force him into tough shooting forms. Scoring 17.2 points a night, he should be under his season average again.
De’Aaron Fox over 29.5 points at 1.67: Being a point guard who has developed into a strong outside scorer and inside finisher, he should have another big night. Going up against Tyrese Haliburton, the Kings' guard should continue finding looks from everywhere and dominating a much weaker defender. Scoring 26.2 a night, his point total should go over the line in this matchup.
Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers Injury News & Impact
Sacramento Kings Injuries: Having no Trey Lyles, 5.4 points, due to a calf injury, this unit will also be without Keegan Murray because of an ankle problem.
Indiana Pacers Injuries: Seeing that this group will be without Aaron Nesmith, 9.2 points, due to an ankle issue, Isaiah Jackson is not available after tearing his Achilles.
Kings vs Pacers Head-to-Head Trends
As Sacramento enters this game having won last time out, they will hope to build on this streak against a very middle-of-the-pack Indiana roster. Having scored over 100 points in 5 straight games and averaging 127 in their last two, this group looks to create another strong offensive performance. With them being 3-2 against spread over their last 5 games, the Kings hope to make the record even further.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the betting insights and public trends, 56.7% of bettors favor Sacramento to win this game against Indiana.
Kings vs Pacers Final Prediction
With the Sacramento Kings coming into this game having struggled over their last couple of matchups, they will look to change things here. Going against a Pacers team that has only played well offensively this season, the Kings should have an advantage during this matchup. Seeing that De’Aaron Fox runs at point guard for the squad, his ability to score from deep or near the hoop has a huge impact on this offense. As someone who continues to develop a strong leadership standard for this unit, his dribbling skills plus speed will come up huge against a defender in Tyrese Haliburton. Knowing that Haliburton has struggled to maneuver through many guards, Fox will create a ton of lose balls and deflections that lead for scores down the other end. With Malik Monk continuing to be a huge presence from deep who can keep hitting his looks, he should have a great game against Andrew Nembhard. Although Nembhard is the only real strong defender on this team, one thing he struggles against is guarding spot-up shooters throughout. As Monk will create traps and steals, his side-to-side defense will play an impact to completely take Nembhard out as an offensive threat.
Having a small forward in DeMar DeRozan, his ability to create looks from three or inside continues to help this group a lot. Being a top-notch rebounder as well, he continues providing a lot of results against bigger pieces or smaller by getting second-chance opportunities. Matching with Bennedict Mathurian in this game, the Kings' small forward should show out on the offensive end attacking this Pacers' weak defender. Playing great defensively as well by creating blocks and closing out, he will help Jae Crowder have a broad advantage against Pascal Siakam and limit his offensive scoring. As Domantas Sabonis is a key center in the middle with more rebounding plus scoring ability than Myles Turner, his passing should be key too. With the Kings having Keon Ellis plus TJ McConnell off the bench, Indiana can win it close if Obi Toppin plus Jarace Walker shows up.
Our prediction: Sacramento Kings win this game and cover their -1.5 spread, while score goes over 240.5 points.
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