NBA Picks and Betting Tips: New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 24 November
NLB Staff
22.11.2024 10:38
Pelicans vs Warriors Prediction
As the New Orleans Pelicans have been on a very cold streak after suffering a plethora of injuries, they play a Golden State Warriors squad that looks to fight its way up to number on the Western Conference table. With the Pelicans coming off a 128-100 loss against Cleveland, Golden State comes off a victory against Atlanta. This matchup will take place on November 23rd at 6:00 A.M. IST in Chase Center. Underneath are our key betting tips, player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head trends to create a potential outcome for this matchup.
Pelicans vs Warriors Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Moneyline Pick
With the moneyline being at -333 for Golden State, it should be taken due to their way higher chance of winning. Having an elite backcourt with Stephen Curry and Buddy Hield, this duo should be able to outscore Elfrid Payton plus Brandon Boston Jr. Even though Brandon Ingram will continue having a high-efficiency performance against Andrew Wiggins, the Warriors should dominate the frontcourt battle. With Draymond Green’s all-around greatness against Trey Murphy III and Yves Missi having to handle a rotation of Trayce Jackson-Davis plus Kevon Looney, the Warriors should have their -333 money line taken, making it their 6th in 8 games.
2. New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Point Spread Pick
As the Warriors have a -7.5 spread during this matchup, they should easily win this with them being a much stronger overall squad. With Stephen Curry starting as a point guard, he should continue being their leader whose passing and scoring game should handle Elfrid Payton easily. Knowing he can play both ends of the floor, as the star continues to facilitate the floor on one end against a less efficient defender, his ability to create extra opportunities against slower point guards with his quick hands should help Curry build momentum. At shooting guard, Buddy Hield will find his shoot at his own will against Brandon Boston Jr., while also continuing his role from mid-range areas. Seeing that Hield will get an expanded role against a slower defender like the Pelicans' shooting guard, he may be out-paced on drives but shouldn’t cause a massive issue. Seeing that Brandon Ingram will try to keep this matchup competitive against Golden State with his mid-range and dunking prowess, his greatness will outplay Andrew Wiggins's high-volume rebounding. But, the Warriors' small forward could force Brandon Ingram into rough shots due to his ability to close out as a strong wing defender. Looking at Draymond Green going up against Trey Murphy inside at power forward, he should control the New Orleans youngster with great size and strength on an inside score, including layups. With Green being the Warriors' vocal leader, his greatness as a two-way player who can rebound and pass should give him a dominating performance. With Kevon Looney being an elite board-getter and Trayce Jackson-Davis having great finishing over New Orleans single center in Yves Missi, their -7.5 spread looks perfect.
3. New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
Seeing that the over/under in this game is 222.5 points, Golden State should carry this line easily with New Orleans to add a bit as well. As New Orleans has a backcourt that includes a solid mid-range scorer and one of the better dribblers who can finish at the basket with speed, their small forward should be their main all-around shooter. With their center having the size to put up some layups and their power forward playing as a great piece who can finish floaters plus dunks at the hoop, they go up against an elite offensive unit in Golden State. Knowing that the Warriors have a great point guard who can play a two-way game, their shooting guard remains one of the best scorers from beyond the arc. Having a strong finisher at center and a couple of key scoring pieces off the bench, the score should go over their 230 points from two matchups ago.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Top Player Props
Brandon Ingram over 24.5 points at 1.85: As this Pelicans star has continued being their main force on offense, his prowess should continue against a smaller defender in Andrew Wiggins. With having a great ability to dribble inside or create fade-aways at ease, he should have a huge night on the box score with a very solid three-point game, too. Someone who is averaging 23.2 points per game and should carry the load on offense, Ingram should hit the over in this game.
Stephen Curry over 27.5 points at 1.98: Seeing that Stephen Curry remains a great piece that can drive into the lane, his continuous ability to knock long-range shots at a very high volume will be a key factor. As he gets to go up against someone like Elfrid Payton who struggled on defense, Curry should have another high offensive output. With him averaging 23.0 points a night, the Warriors star should go way over his season-average in this matchup.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors Injury News & Impact
New Orleans Pelicans Injuries: With Zion Williamson, 22.7 points and 8.0 rebounds, still out from a left hamstring strain, this group will return Trey Murphy III after being rested on Wednesday. Seeing that he is a lower-volume scorer and less muscular rebounder, New Orleans won’t have a forward that could dribble like a guard down the lane anymore. Getting back Brandon Ingram, 23.2 points, is a big as this star is their best mid-range and perimeter shooter. Having no CJ McCollum, 18.8 points, will hurt their three-point shooting a lot because they will have to start a much younger Brandon Boston Jr. who can’t provide offense at the same rate nor defend near their original SG’s level. In addition, Dejounte Murray, 14.0 points and 10.0 assists, will not play due to his hand injury making them miss their main two-way guard. New Orleans will also not have Jordan Hawkins, Herbert Jones, or Jose Alvarado as key rotational pieces.
Golden State Warriors Injuries: As this squad still has De’Anthony Melton, 10.3 points and 3.3 rebounds, out due to his Torn ACL, they should continue running the same rotations with Buddy Hield starting over him as a more prolific three-point shooter.
Pelicans vs Warriors Head-to-Head Trends
As the Golden State Warriors have started lately developing a streak against New Orleans, they have won two straight games. In a matchup where they are favored to expand on it, this Warriors squad will also look to build on 7 games in a row with over 100 points scored. Being 5-2 against the spread in seven previous matchups vs New Orleans, this squad has averaged 114 points in their last two.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, Golden State is backed by 77.3% of bettors to win their matchup against New Orleans.
Pelicans vs Warriors Final Prediction
Given that New Orleans is entering this matchup with a load of injuries, Golden State’s deep roster should dominate the game. As the Warriors have started this season very well and have been unbeatable from nearly every position, this group will be led by point guard Stephen Curry. Seeing his ability to drive in for scores and create great looks for others, this star has continued to knock down threes at a very high level. Going up against Elfrid Payton given that Jaylen Nowell is mostly not going to play, he should continue to show his prowess as a scorer and passer against one of the less efficient defenders. Seeing that Curry continues to be a strong pick-pocketer as well, his ability to create deflections will help him use speed to dribble in transition for easier layups. With Buddy Hield lined up as their shooting guard, he should continue his prowess off-screens to continue to be one of the best long-distance scorers in NBA play. Someone who also has a chance to create off the dribble but doesn’t need to due to his chemistry with Curry, will fire away with someone like Brandon Boston Jr. whose struggled as a closeout defender. Even though he has shown some great ability to drive into the lane with his pace, the Pelicans shooting guard’s positives will not be enough to make up in this matchup.
As Brandon Ingram will gives this New Orleans squad the only advantage against Andrew Wiggins, he will continue his great ability to knock mid-range shots and finish near the hoop with his length. The one key though is that Golden State’s small forward should have a rebounding advantage due to his strength inside and forcing the Pelicans star to take a couple of tough shots. Seeing Trey Murphy III is playing power forward for New Orleans, he will be in a battle for boards against Draymond Green. Knowing that the Warriors star is the more physical piece, he should limit Murphy’s layup game, while forcing him to take a lot of outside shots which the Pelicans forward has shown struggles with. Even though he will have more points than Green, the overall passing and defensive prowess as well is going to give the former 4-time champion a lot more control as an overall player. With the Warriors liking to rotate between Trayce Jackson-Davis and Kevon Looney in the middle, key bench pieces like Johnathon Kuminga plus Moses Moody should help them control this game with ease.
Our prediction: Golden State Warriors win this game and cover their -7.5 spread, while the score goes over 222.5 points.
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