NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 19th November
NLB Staff
18.11.2024 01:27
As the Atlanta Hawks are building into playoff contenders with many new offseason additions fitting in, Sacramento tries to continue its prowess as one of the top-scoring units. Seeing that Atlanta has come off a week where they were able to upset the Boston Celtics 117-116, they play a Kings squad that came on top against Utah. This matchup will take place on November 19th at 8:30 A.M. IST in Golden 1 Center. Underneath are our key betting tips, top player props, public trends, and recent head-to-head performances to create a potential outcome for this matchup.
Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings Moneyline Pick
As the moneyline in this game is at -235 for the Sacramento Kings, they should have a great chance to come out victorious with overall talent again. Having a backcourt of De’Aaron Fox and Kevin Huerter should help match the scoring production that Trae Young plus Dyson Daniel’s put up. Seeing that the power forward position with Keegan Murray has started becoming a lot stronger for the Kings, he could easily outduel the scoring prowess that Jalen Johnson provides with his defensive abilities as well. Having an all-around center like Domantas Sabonis over Clint Capela in the middle and Doug McDormett’s ability to score against a weak defender against, Zaccharie Risacher, this Kings roster will continue being a very deep unit with both Alex Len plus Keon Ellis playing impactful minutes. Seeing this and their moneyline being at -235, this looks like a great pick for the Kings making it their fourth victory in a row vs Atlanta.
2. Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings Point Spread Pick
Seeing that the Sacramento Kings have a -5.5 spread, they should have great ability to play another two-way game that leads them to victory. With point guard De’Aaron Fox slowly turning into one of the games best scorers, his ability to knock down shots with speed and drive in easily has given this squad a leader that remains unstoppable. As he matches up against Trae Young, he should force a couple key turnovers and help the Kings defensively by limiting the Hawks point guard’s scoring by a tiny bit. Although Trae Young will still keep scoring a bunch of points, Fox will win the battle on both the stat sheet and impact wise. With Dyson Daniels running the shooting guard position for this Hawks squad, he will help them keep the game a little more competitive wit his defensive and scoring abilities against Kevin Huerter. As Huerter is just a three-point shooter who hasn’t shown much prowess defensively, Daniels should expect to have a big game with his inside scoring plus stealing greantess. As Doug McDermott continues to score with ease from deep during this matchup, he should really have his number against Zaccharie Risacher. Although the Hawks small forward has shown development, McDermott’s defensive length and ability to make threes will be a constant factor throughout. With Keegan Murray being a great finisher inside that could match Jalen Johnson’s offensive production, the advantage Domantas Sabonis has over Clint Capela will be a major factor throughout this game. As Sabonis continues creating offense for others and finishing around the paint, his rebounding ability will continue being key against a rebound-first center like Capela. Knowing this, the Kings should have a great chance to win their -5.5 spread and should be taken.
3. Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under in this game is 231.5 points, both offenses have shown great scoring abilities this season to make it very high-scoring. Seeing that Atlanta will once again be led by their superstar point guard, he can create a combination with one of the best shooting guards to continue firing away from three or inside. Having a small forward that is growing as scorer and a power forward consistently can drop in points from the mid-range on a nightly basis, this Hawks squad also include a backup center that can finish near the hoop. Meanwhile, Sacramento will also be led by their own elite point guard who continues having a great duo with a do-it-all center. Seeing that their center has performed at a very high-level playing like a point guard and big-man at the same time, they also have some very solid wings that can knock down threes. Seeing this and the last matchup combined for 238 points, the matchup should expect a similar amount of scoring.
Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings Top Player Props
Dyson Daniels over 14.5 points at 1.95: As Dyson Daniels has improved as a more efficient scoring threat, his ability to shoot the three and create off the dribble will let him score pretty easily throughout. Someone that will matchup with Kevin Huerter, his speed and ability to dominate inside with drives will continue adding to this young guards offensive prowess. Someone who is averaging 15.3 points a night, he should definitely hit the over in this game.
De’Aaron Fox over 25 points at 1.88: Coming of a weekend very he was unstoppable on the offensive end, the Kings point guard continues being one of the quickest guards that is impossible to handle. Showing a great range of shooting, his ability to create shots from anywhere with spacing will be something he should dominate a weaker defender in Trae Young with. As Fox has averaged 28.9 points a night this season, he should definitely go higher than his average.
Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings Injury News & Impact
Atlanta Hawks Injuries: Seeing that Bogdan Bogdanovic, 8.0 points, is still missing due to his left foot injury, this unit is still missing their main wing in De’Andre Hunter. As the Hawks' small forward averaged 19.3 points and 5.3 rebounds, they will miss him as a defensive presence with a much less efficient Zacharie Risacher forced to start. As this unit is still missing Vit Krejci, thigh injury, and Kobe Bufkin, shoulder problem, ruled out, it really affects the depth off this Atlanta roster.
Sacramento Kings Injuries: As Demar Derozan is questionable for this matchup, his back injury could cause a much less productive scorer, Doug McDermott, to start once again. In addition, their loss of Malik Monk, 12.6 points, due to a right ankle sprain will cause Keon Ellis to back up Kevin Huerter as a less efficient three-point shooter.
Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings Head-to-Head Trends
As these teams tend to never really play each other that much, Sacramento currently owns this matchup with a 3-game winning streak. Looking to continue building on it, they hope to erase the Hawks 4-game winning streak before this current successful trend the Kings have been on. During the previous three matchups, Sacramento has averaged 117.3 points and been 3-0 against the spread as well.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, the Kings are projected to win by 81.2% of the bettors against this Atlanta squad.
Atlanta Hawks vs Sacramento Kings Final Prediction
Coming into this game, the Sacramento Kings have continued looking like one of the most efficient scoring units league-wide and keep doing it with their rotational pieces as well. Going up against one of the weaker defenses in Atlanta, this prowess should continue in order for them to hit win number 10 this season. Led by guard De’Aaron Fox, his quickness will be a very big key against someone like Trae Young who completely struggles on the defensive end. Seeing that he continues driving in and finishing at a top-tier level, the point guard’s ability to lead this offense during all 4 quarters is a key identity to help them score a lot more points. Going up against Trae Young, the other thing that will help Fox is his ability to create steals off other’s dribbles and slow down a few offensive games. Although Young should score a ton of points once again, his numbers will not be as high as many fans would expect them to normally be. With Dyson Daniels being the Hawks main shooting guard, he will be the one advantage Atlanta can have in this game over Sacramento. Knowing that he originally a great defensive player that used quick hands to create turnovers and get boards, his offensive game has shown massive improvement as well. Someone who can really knock down shots from inside, a matchup against a smaller and Kevin Huerter is something he should have an easy chance of winning.
With Doug McDermott having a great three-point shooting ability for this Kings squad, it should continue being on display as he really showed it against Utah on Saturday night. As he can be a key close out defender as well, his defensive abilities should help stop the already struggling Zaccharie Riascher from having many impactful minutes. As McDermott has shown to be an excellent rebounder as well, he should continue showing that against a very inexperienced Hawks forward. As the Kings have Keegan Murray running the floor for them at power forward, his ability to be an all-around scorer and really develop into a perimeter shooter has kept this Kings offense going with some key losses. Being able to play against Jalen Johnson’s defense, he should really be able to finish with dunks or layups at the rim, while still creating off the dribble for great looks. Seeing that Domantas Sabonis returns as this squad’s top center, his ability to finish near the hoop and get boards is not the only key aspect of his game. Going up against Clint Capela whose primarily a rebounder, Sabonis can facilitate offenses with his passing and knock down deep shots in crunch time. Known for a great offensive arsenal, he should help this Sacramento team beat Atlanta with bench pieces like Alex Len and Keon Ellis playing their role. The only way Atlanta can keep it close is if Trae Young’s defense improves and Oneyaka Okongwo continues scoring with an elite ability inside.
Our prediction: The Sacramento Kings win and cover their -5.5 spread, while the score goes over 231.5 points.