Hawks vs Pelicans Predictions and Betting Tips 3 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
01.12.2024 18:31
Hawks vs Pelicans Prediction
With Atlanta starting to heat up as a roster over their last couple of games, they play a New Orleans roster that continues to be very injury-prone. As this Atlanta squad has come off two straight amazing victories against Cleveland, New Orleans lost by 11 points to Memphis. This matchup will take place on December 3rd at 6:00 A.M. IST in State Farm Arena of Atlanta. Underneath our key betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head trends to create an accurate prediction for this game.
Hawks vs Pelicans Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans Moneyline Pick
As the moneyline pick is at -235 for this game on Atlanta’s side, it should easily be taken due to their strength as a offensive superpower. Led by Trae Young at point guard, he should have a huge assist plus scoring advantage against Dejounte Murray. Having a strong shooting guard in Dyson Daniels, his shooting and defensive prowess should outplay CJ Mcolloum throughout. Having Brandon Boston Jr. at small forward for New Orleans will be a huge disadvantage on both ends against a two-way piece like De’Andre Hunter. In their frontcourt, Atlanta has Clint Capela and Jalen Johnson to outscore plus outrebound Trey Murphy III and Yves Missi. Seeing this, the -235 moneyline should be taken for Atlanta and their 2nd straight win vs New Orleans.
2. Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans Point Spread Pick
With this game’s spread being at -5.5, Atlanta should win it due to having way more talent in this matchup. Led by Trae Young who continues being one of the best passers and scorers from anywhere in the game, he will continue against Dejounte Murray. Although Murray is still a very solid defender, Young’s speed and quickness is something that will be the defense to find open teammates in the corner. Seeing that Dejounte will still hit shots due to Young’s lackluster defense, his high-volume of scoring plus assists are a massive factor for winning this game. As CJ McColloum has been a little less efficient since returning from injury for New Orleans, he has to go up against one of the best defenders in Dyson Daniels. Knowing that Daniels continues creating steals and turnovers for scores down the other end, he will force a lot on McColloum to not let him drive in. As De’Andre Hunter starts as a key two-way player for this Atlanta squad, his wing defense is going to play a key role against Brandon Boston Jr. With Boston Jr. still being young and losing focus when creating offense in the corner, Hunter will force him into a lot of terrible looks plus make it harder for him to knock down shots. As Jalen Johnson will outscore Trey Murphy III, this group has two centers in Oneyka Okowngu and Clint Capela to outrebound Yves Missi. All in all, this -5.5 spread for Atlanta should be taken.
3. Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
Looking at the over/under being 226 in this game, it should be very high-scoring due to both teams systems favoring many great offensive players. As New Orleans has a very solid point guard that could cut to the basket and pass well, their shooting guard continues knocking down long-range shots. Having a small forward that has shown growth as a all-around scorer, their center will continue scoring easy layups inside. Meanwhile, Atlanta has one of the best passing and shooting guards, while their SG continues being a key threat from deep. Having a small forward that can drive in or hit perimeter shots, their power forward has a great ability to hit the mid-range. With two centers who can finish, this score will go over their 237 points from last time out.
Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans Top Player Props
Trae Young over 11.5 assists at 1.95: As the Hawks guard continues being one of the most elite passers in NBA play, his skills should be on full display once again. Seeing that he will be matched up against Dejounte Murray, Young is one of the rare guards who can beat him with passing and dribbling. Someone who averages 12.4 assists per game, should be somewhere around there during this game.
Dejounte Murray over 15.5 points at 1.80: Seeing that the Pelicans guard has improved his scoring from all areas over past couple seasons, he should have another solid output. Knowing that he goes up against a much weaker defender in Trae Young, Dejounte Murray should handle this battle with ease through great moves for scoring. Averaging 16.3 points a night, Murray should hit the over in this matchup.
Atlanta Hawks vs New Orleans Pelicans Injury News & Impact
Atlanta Hawks Injuries: With Cody Zeller, 2.6 rebounds, still out due to personal reasons, this unit will return Bogdan Bogdanovic from a hamstring injury to run their same rotations.
New Orleans Pelicans Injuries: As Herbert Jones is still missing due to his knee injury, this group still has no Jordan Hawkins because of a back issue. Returning Brandon Ingram, their most unreliable piece in Zion Williamson, 6 games played this year, remains out as a potential key star.
Hawks vs Pelicans Head-to-Head Trends
With the Hawks winning their last head-to-head, they hope to extend this streak as this group is the much more favorable squad again. In a game that should be very high-scoring, Atlanta should score over 100 points again after doing it in 11 straight games prior, while improving upon their 114.5 points per game average. As Atlanta is 2-1 against the spread over their previous 3 matches, they look to continue improving upon this record.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the public trends, Atlanta is projected to win this game by 70.1% of bettors against New Orleans.
Hawks vs Pelicans Final Prediction
As the Atlanta Hawks enter this game as one of the most improving units, they have a pretty simple win on hands. Being far better than this New Orleans Pelicans squad, the Hawks should continue have a dominating presence led by Trae Young. As Young continues being one of the best guards that can find others for shots and makes his own creative looks, his offensive prowess can outduel Dejounte Murray’s defense. Even though Murray can score and provide great looks on the other end, the ability of Young to pass plus score will be to much for him to match. Having Dyson Daniels at shooting guard is huge for Atlanta because he can limit CJ McColloum’s ability to shoot threes off the dribble. As one of the best stealers in NBA play, he will create a lot of loose balls and open floor opportunities to score points in transition on the other end. With McColloum also known to drive-in, the prowess of Daniels to be a side-to-side defender will lock him down. Daniels being one of the best three-point shooters in the league should give him an even bigger advantage here.
Having De’Andre Hunter guarding the young Brandon Boston Jr. outside, his wing defense will prevent this Pelicans forward from getting any great looks. As Boston Jr. has struggled to score from the side and create this season, Hunter will force him into a lot of bad passes plus end up causing him to over look some pieces. Knowing that De’Andre Hunter is a great scorer himself, he should have another powerful performance on the other end as well. With Jalen Johnson being a great scorer and rebounder over Trey Murphy III, the duo of Oneyka Okowngu and Clint Capela should have way more boards plus layups than Yves Missi. As the Hawks will have Zaccharie Risacher off the bench, New Orleans will keep it close if Jose Alvardo can produce defense plus inside scoring.
Our prediction: Atlanta Hawks win and cover their -5.5 spread, while the score goes over 226 points.
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