Miami Heat vs Raptors Predictions and Betting Tips 30 Nov 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
29.11.2024 13:21
Heat v Raptors Prediction
With the Raptors fully healthy but still showing plenty of struggles to begin this season, they play a Heat squad that has finally found form heading into the early middle part of the year. As the Raptors had taken a couple of tough losses, including a 102-100 one against Detroit on Monday, this Heat squad came off a hot streak, including a 123-118 victory against Dallas. This game will occur on November 30th at 6:30 A.M. IST in Kaseya Center of Miami. Underneath are our key betting tips, top player props, head-to-head trends, and vital injuries to create a prediction for this matchup.
Heat v Raptors Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Miami Heat vs Raptors Moneyline Pick
As the money line is at -191 for Miami, it should be taken as their the better squad in various aspects during this game. Having a strong backcourt with Terry Rozier and Tyler Herro, this duo should continue their strong scoring games to outnumber Gradey Dick plus Scottie Barnes in points. With Jimmy Butler lining up against R.J. Barrett, his slight offensive advantage can overtake the Raptors guards defensive prowess to help him outscore. With a frontcourt of Haywood Highsmith plus Bam Adebayo having better statistics than Jakob Poeltl plus Ochai Agbaji in numerous areas, the Heat’s -191 money line will end up in a victory and their 3rd straight vs Toronto.
2. Miami Heat vs Raptors Point Spread Pick
Seeing that the Heat have a -4.5 spread in this game, they look like a much more formidable unit since most of their pieces are at full strength. As this Heat team is led by a solid combo guard in Terry Rozier at the point, his ability to create off the dribble for layups and good-looking shots has kept this unit stable. Having to go up against Scottie Barnes, he will potentially lose the scoring battle but should keep the passing ones near each other. As the Raptors point guard has more of an advantage as a rebounder and defender, Rozier’s main task is just to provide a decent number of points to uplift all their other elite positions. Having top scorer Tyler Herro at shooting is one key due to his ability of perimeter shooting at a higher rate and going up against a small defender such as Gradey Dick. Even though the Raptors one will provide on the other end as well, Herro’s volume of shooting is unbeatable and should easily help him outplay Toronto’s guard as he has stronger defense too. With Jimmy Butler at small forward as this unit’s main two-way player, his ability to create steals and traps can slow down R.J. Barrett’s offensive game, while he should continue providing from inside or out on their offensive end. Seeing that Ochai Agabji has been very inconsistent at power forward and Haywood Highsmith provides more efficient long-distance plus turnovers, the only thing this Raptors piece could do is their rebounding battle. That also depends on whether Highsmith is forced out because if he is allowed to provide one-on-one opportunities against Agbaji, he should keep this board-getting contest competitive. With Bam Adebayo being a way better all-around center than Jakob Poeltl, this -4.5 spread for Miami should be taken easily.
3. Miami Heat vs Raptors Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
With the over/under in this game being 226 points, this matchup should involve pretty solid scoring from both ends. As this Raptors squad is led by one of the most efficient scoring guards at PG, their shooting guard continues developing into a great knockdown shooter off-screens. Having a small forward/power forward combo that can finish near the hoop, their center continues to be a strong mid-range player. Meanwhile, Miami is led by one of the most athletic guards that can create from anywhere at point guard, while their shooting guard keeps being an elite three-point shooter. With their small forward being a great all-around scorer, this group has one of the most dynamic stretch fives in NBA play. Seeing that these two teams combined for 221 points last time out, they should hit the over once again.
Miami Heat vs Raptors Top Player Props
Bam Adeyabo over 10.5 rebounds at 1.60: As this Heat center continues being one of the better rebounders league-wide, his ability to create blocks and retrieve them will help him have a big night on the glass. Going up against a physical center like Jakob Poeltl, Adeybayo should use his length and more elusive game to get boards down both ends while also causing Toronto’s center to be forced into blocks. Seeing that he averages 9.6 boards a night, he should hit the over in this game.
Scottie Barnes over 19.5 points at 1.87: With this Toronto squad’s best all-around scorer entering this game on a pretty hot streak, he should improve upon his offensive prowess in the matchup. As he goes up against a weaker defender in Terry Rozier, this young guard should be able to create inside with a size advantage and outside as a great perimeter shooter. Knowing that Scottie Barnes averages 20.4 points a game, this Raptors star should go above his season total per game.
Miami Heat vs Raptors Injury News & Impact
Miami Heat Injuries: As Terry Rozier, 12.9 points, will return to this contest after right knee soreness, this Heat lineup should continue running with the same lineups.
Toronto Raptors Injuries: With Immanuel Quickley, 15.3 points, still ruled out due to an elbow injury, this group will also miss key bench pieces in Kelly Olynkand D.J. Carton. Knowing that Gradey Dick should come back after his calf injury, this unit is going to miss Bruce Brown, 10.8 points, due to a knee problem.
Heat v Raptors Head-to-Head Trends
Seeing that this Heat squad has two straight victories against Toronto, they should make this streak look even stronger after this game where they have an advantage. Having averaged 121.5 points against this Raptors squad over two previous matchups, they should have another dominating offensive performance. Being 3-1 against the spread vs Toronto over their last four matchups, they should continue building on this record.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at public trends at the moment, Miami is backed by 65.6% of bettors to beat the Raptors in this game.
Heat v Raptors Final Prediction
As the Miami Heat enter this game as favorites, their squads' ability to play a two-way game should keep Toronto’s offense quieter than usual. Knowing that they have started a very formidable streak after beating Dallas last time out, this group has an easy victory on hand to keep growing. This group is led by point guard Terry Rozier who has shown to be a very solid combo player this season. As someone who can pass plus create great looks from the perimeter or near the basket with his ball-handling skills, his points total should be near that of Raptors guard Scottie Barnes. Although Barnes will have the length and size to grab boards plus play more impactful defense, Rozier is going to create more assists throughout. Knowing that this battle will have two guards that play at a very similar level, Tyler Herro should dominate for Miami from his SG spot. As one of the best deep-shooters in the game, he continues knocking down shots with ease while also having a much better defensive game. Knowing that he can create steals and deflections now, he should slow Christian Braun’s high-octane offense while also being able to finish against a much weaker defender.
Knowing that is an advantage, Miami will have Jimmy Butler starting as their star at small forward. Seeing that Butler has great range to create rebounding and stealing opportunities, he should limit R.J. Barrett’s rising prowess an an outside scorer, while helping Miami get extra chances. As Butler continues being a very productive point creator himself, his all-around game is something that will make tougher for R.J. Barrett to handle with ease. With Butler going to probably win all the statistical battles in this matchup, Haywood Highsmith should be this team’s key three and defensive guy. Although Ochai Agbaji has improved as a rebounder and inside scorer, Highsmith’s length will make it a little tougher for him to have a similar performance. With Jakob Poeltl in the middle for Toronto, he will continue being a good rebounding plus layup threat, but Bam Adebayo’s defense is going to get to him. As Adeyabo has more creativity outside as a shooter plus passer as well, he should easily win this battle against Poeltl. With the Heat having Duncan Robinson coming off the bench, this Raptors squad could be competitive if Davion Mitchell continues being a great passer.
Our prediction: The Miami Heat win and cover their -4.5 spread, while this score goes over 226 points.
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