NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, 14th November

NLB Staff

14.11.2024 00:54

Grizzlies vs Lakers Prediction

As the Lakers continue developing on both ends of the floor under their new head coach, they take on one of the most injury-prone squads in Memphis. With Los Angeles having won 2 straight, this Grizzlies squad has managed to win 5 of 6 without many stars and already beaten the Lakers by 17 once this season. This game will be played on November 14th at 8:30 A.M. IST in Crypto.com Arena. Below are our key bettings, top player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head trends entering this game to create an accurate prediction.

Grizzlies vs Lakers Key Betting Tips & Predictions

1. Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers Moneyline Pick

As the Lakers' money line pick is at -250, they should easily win this game due to their ability to have great two-way players. Having elite scorers like Lebron James and Anthony Davis lead the way, they should be able to outduel the great scoring prowess of the young Santi Aldama plus Jaren Jackson Jr. As Zach Edey isn’t much of a threat outside of making his layups, Los Angeles should control that and create contests on the outside with D’Angelo Russell closing in on either Scotty Pippen Jr. or Luke Kennard. Having Austin Reaves up top also helps this Lakers squad easily get the -250 money-line victory and their 5th in 7 games against Memphis.

2. Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers Point Spread Pick

As the Grizzlies have shown a lot of promise from young pieces, they play a way too experienced Lakers roster that looks much improved and should win this game -6.5 spread their way. Although Jaren Jackson Jr. continues to attack the rim at his own will and created somewhat of a great combo with Zach Edey near their hoop, Anthony Davis could single-handedly be able to stop them with his length and strength. Someone who is a great rebounder plus blocker, his ability to step into threes from the outside and keep scoring layups or 2nd-chance opportunities near the hoop, he has been the unquestioned best player so far this season. Having someone with the power off Lebron James on a youngster like Jaylen Wells, Santi Aldama will have to come off the bench to try and solve those issues during their 2nd rotation. As Aldama and Grayson Allen have shown great ability to score, going up against Austin Reaves's defense could be tough for them with Rui Hachimura also having some of his key switches on them. As D’Angelo Russell should be able to control Scotty Pippen Jr’s pace in this game with his speed and ability to dribble, the -6.5 spread looks strong for this Lakers squad.

3. Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers Over/Under Pick (Total Points)

Although the Grizzlies have many big pieces out during this matchup, their combined score with the Lakers at over/under 225 seems like a good pick. With Los Angeles having one of the best small-forward and power-forward scoring combos in the league, they will also have an elite three-point shooting backcourt that has shown great capability to get to the rim. As Memphis doesn’t have some of their biggest names enter this matchup, they still have a great power forward who can score from the inside or outside, two solid small-forwards who are great at perimeter shooting, and a backcourt that has shown great chemistry by complementing each other’s offensive styles. Adding to this the fact that they combined for 248 points last time out, this score won’t be as high but somewhere around.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers Top Player Props

Anthony Davis Over 29.5 points at 1.83: As the Los Angeles Lakers star continues to be one of the most imposing forces, he will be able to use his skill and ability to get under defenders like Zach Edey to finish. Forcing Edey to come outside or creating switches on someone smaller like Jaren Jackson Jr., Davis should have an elite arsenal for chances all over the floor. Someone who is averaging 31.2 points a night, Davis should hit the over in this game.

Santi Aldama Over 11.5 points at 1.80: Although Lebron James will be guarding Jaylen Wells to start the game, his lessening of defensive ability will help Aldama continue a solid scoring season. As the bench piece of Dalton Knecht will be on him as well, this will give Aldama an even bigger advantage to score. Seeing that plus the fact that Aldama averages 12.8 points a night, he should get over during such a matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers Injury News & Impact

Los Angeles Lakers Injuries: As the Lakers are still without their key power forward defender Jarred Vanderbilt, a lot of the defense will come down to have Rui Hachimura impacts this game. With the Lakers having Anthony Davis, 31.2 points and 10.4 rebounds, plus D’Angelo Russell, 12.9 points plus 5.0 assists, both questionable to play the anticipation is they will play their full role against the Grizzlies. If this happens, this Lakers squad should continue running with the same rotations entering this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies Injuries: As the Memphis Grizzlies still enter this game with a multitude of injuries, having Ja Morant, 20.6 points with 9.1 assists, out due to a hip injury will continue forcing a much more experienced Scotty Pippen Jr. to play an extended role. With Marcus Smart out, the Grizzlies have lost a leader on both ends of the floor and will have to rely on 3-point-minded player Luke Kennard to fill in for him. Seeing that Vince Williams Jr. is out from a lower leg injury and Desmond Bane, 18.8 points, due to an oblique injury, the depth of this Grizzlies small forward and backcourt room will be tested. Having multiple key pieces out, the scoring mostly depends on Jaren Jackson Jr. once again.

Grizzlies vs Lakers Head-to-Head Trends

Although the Los Angeles Lakers have seemed to be a little bit weaker overall than Memphis, having fewer injuries to key players should help this squad build on their 4 wins in 6 previous matchups. As the Lakers have lately dominated this matchup, they have never managed to score fewer than 114 points in a single game. Going up against this form of a Grizzlies team, they should improve upon their 6-2 record against the spread vs the Memphis team.

Betting Insights & Public Trends

Going into this matchup, the Los Angeles Lakers have 71.4% of the bettors rooting for them to beat the Memphis Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Lakers Final Prediction

Although the Grizzlies have shown a great knack for fighting against some of the best teams with key stars injured, if Anthony Davis will play, which is most likely to happen, this Lakers squad should have an advantage. Seeing that they have changed their philosophy under head coach J.J. Reddick and played in more of a hustle-type style, the strength of this team starts from the inside. As center Anthony Davis has been playing at an MVP-like form throughout his first couple of games, his ability to score inside with ease and elusiveness to grab boards is something he will have over Zach Edey. Even though Edey is taller than him and can control a lot of center’s paces, Davis’s natural skills to fight for every board and be a solid perimeter scorer as well will come in key as well. Having a knack for blocking shots, he can help switch on Jaren Jackson Jr. to create tougher chances for him. Although Jackson Jr. should continue having a great game against Rui Hachimura, he could potentially be the only matchup this Grizzlies roster wins. With D’Angelo Russell most likely playing, his ability as a two-way guard and chance to create is something the Lakers had missed during his one game where he had to come off the bench. Going up against Scotty Pippen Jr., he will give the Grizzlies guard a challenge on defense with great shot-making abilities and driving to the basket, while slowing Memphis’s point guard’s all-around performances down by knocking a lot of balls away freely. With no Desmond Bane as a shooting guard, this Grizzlies team will have to start Luke Kennard against a top-scoring threat in Austin Reaves. With Reaves having developed a passing and rebounding game as well, he should continue providing on both ends for Los Angeles against a shooting guard like Kennard who mostly just shoots threes. Seeing that Lebron James is going to have a mismatch against Jaylen Wells, although his defensive game has slowed down, he should shut down the young Grizzlies forward, while attacking the basket with strength. Noticing the Lakers matchup advantages, the only way Memphis keeps it close is if Scotty Pippen Jr. can have another breakout game while Jaylen Wells can find his footing against Lebron.

Our prediction: The Los Angeles Lakers will win this game and cover their -6.5 spread, while the score goes over 225 points.