Suns and Spurs Prediction and Betting Tips 4 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
03.12.2024 00:37
Suns and Spurs Prediction
As the Phoenix Suns have started getting everyone healthy on their roster once again, they play a Spurs unit that continues growing at a rapid pace. With the Suns coming off a masterful 113-105 win against Golden State, this Spurs squad lost by 18 points against Los Angeles last time out. This game will be played on December 4th at 7:30 A.M. IST in Footprint Center of Phoenix. Underneath are our key betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head trends to make an accurate prediction for the game.
Suns and Spurs Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Moneyline Pick
As the money line is at -288 for Phoenix, it should be taken as they are the more favorable squad to win. Having a backcourt with Devin Booker and Tyus Jones, they should have more assists plus points than that of Chris Paul in addition to Devin Vassell. With them have an elite forward duo that includes Bradley Beal and Kevin Durant, it should control the games of Harrison Barnes plus Julian Champiegne scoring-wise. As Victor Wembanyaba will have a shooting advantage against Jusuf Nurkic, the Suns center will be a stronger rebounder that can help this Suns unit win their -288 money line and start a new streak vs San Antonio.
2. Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Point Spread Pick
With the point spread pick being at -6.5 for Phoenix, they should win it as the much more complete unit. Led by Tyus Jones at point guard, his ability to score and create inside has given the Suns a lot of lift from last season. Someone who can also hit mid-range shots should dominate Chris Paul with speed in this game. As a piece who can force turnovers against Chris Paul, he should have multiple for extra points and cause traps so CPIII can’t have the same opportunities to pass. Seeing that Devin Booker is at shooting guard, he should be able to knock down threes plus inside shots at his own will. Knowing that Devin Vasell is not a great defender, he will continue controlling it with ease, while also forcing the Spurs guard into a lot of rougher looks with great length. As Bradley Beal remains one of the top wing defenders, he will have a complete advantage against Julian Champiegne from having any great looks and force traps on the side. In addition, Beal has been a solid offensive presence who will use his size and speed to find great looks against the Spurs forward. Knowing that Kevin Durant will have another highly efficient night shooting from mid-range areas against Harrison Barnes, Jusuf Nurkic will keep his contest with the high-scoring Victor Wembanyaba close due to his amazing rebounding. All in all, the -6.5 spread for the Suns is a perfect pick.
3. Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
Seeing that the over/under in this game is at 226.5 points, it should be a pretty high-scoring matchup with both units having key pieces. As San Antonio has one of the better-passing guards in NBA play, their shooting guard continues to be a very strong all-around shooter. Having a small forward that continues providing from inside or out, their center has been one of the best stretch pieces in NBA play. Having pieces of the bench that provide, they play a Phoenix squad that has one of the most athletic guards that can pass or shoot with ease. Someone who delivers layups or threes, and he has a do-it-all shooting guard right next to him who plays at a superstar level every night. With a small forward/power forward duo of two amazing scorers that provide length and balance, their center keeps being a vital finisher inside. As their last game combined for 206 points, this matchup will end up going way higher at the end of it.
Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Top Player Props
Kevin Durant over 27.5 points at 1.80: As the Suns power forward continues being one of the top mid-range scorers, he has continued being unguardable this season. Going up against Harrison Barnes, K.D. should use his size advantage to create great form against the Spurs forward. Someone averaging 26.8 points a night, he should go way over his season average in this game.
Chris Paul under 8.5 assists at 1.67: Seeing that the Spurs point guard continues creating great opportunities for others, he has struggled to continue this success against stronger defenses. Matching up against one of the best deflectors in Tyus Jones, Paul will lose the ball a lot and not have the same connection with his teammates as normal. Seeing that the Spurs guard averages 8.2 assists a night, he should be below that during this matchup.
Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs Injury News & Impact
Phoenix Suns Injuries: As the Suns roster expects to get Bradley Beal, 18.2 points, and Jusuf Nurkic back from calf and ankle injuries, respectively, they should be able to run with the same rotations under Mike Budenholzer.
San Antonio Spurs Injuries: With San Antonio only having Jeremy Soachan out with his proximal phalanx injury, the Spurs should still have the same unit that made them successful without him.
Suns and Spurs Head-to-Head Trends
As San Antonio had an upset win last time out, this Phoenix unit will fight hard to build their streak being the more favorable unit. With the Suns having scored over 100 points in 13 straight matchups, they should have another high-scoring game on hands after averaging 116.5 points during their last two. Being 11-2 against the spread in their last 13 matchups vs San Antonio, the Suns hope to continue building on this record.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, the Suns are backed by 74.2% of bettors to beat this San Antonio unit.
Suns and Spurs Final Prediction
As the Suns enter this game in full health once again, they should dominate a team like the Spurs with a great ability to score plus defend. Having a guard like Tyus Jones lead the way for Phoenix, his prowess of scoring inside plus creating outside looks has been vital for Phoenix. As a great passer who can facilitate the floor with ease, he should have control against Chris Paul’s weaker defense. Knowing that Paul has regressed as a scorer, Jones will control his passing with an elite stealing ability and greatness to cause deflections. Knowing that plus the fact that he can finish down the other end, Jones should fully own this matchup. With Devin Booker as a shooting guard, he will have a mismatch against Devin Vassell as a very efficient shooter from all areas. Someone who can create off the dribble or catch-and-shoot-wise, he should have a huge scoring advantage, while forcing turnovers on Vassell.
Having a small forward like Bradley Beal helps him shut down Julian Champiegene completely as a driver or long-range shooter. As Beal continues being one of the strongest blockers and can rebound at a higher level than the Spurs' small forward, he should have control over this matchup. Someone who can also score at his own pace, Beal will have a productive night from outside or inside throughout this game. With Kevin Durant set to have another monstrous night scoring-wise against Harrison Barnes, Jusuf Nurkic will keep it close against a sharpshooter and finish like Victor Wembanyaba through his rebounding. Seeing this plus Phoenix having Grayson Allen and Royce O’Neale off the bench, the Spurs can keep it competitive if Keldon Johnson provides scoring at a high level.
Our prediction: Phoenix Suns win this game and cover their -6.5 spread, while the score goes over 226.5 points.
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