NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 13th November

NLB Staff

12.11.2024 01:55

Mavs vs Warriors Prediction

Going into this matchup, the Dallas Mavericks have continued being one of the most underrated regular season teams, while Golden State has found a three-point shooting niche no one this league can stop. As Dallas comes off a tough 2-point loss against a very strong Nuggets team, the Warriors continue their dominance by beating a top Oklahoma City squad. This matchup is going to take place on November 13th at 8:30 A.M. IST in Chase Center of San Francisco. Below are our key public trends, player props, important injuries, and recent head-to-head performance in order to create a potential outcome for this game.

Mavs vs Warriors Key Betting Tips & Predictions

1. Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Moneyline Pick

Seeing the moneyline is -130 for the Warriors in this game, they will have a positive over the Mavs due to being a much deeper roster. Having Stephen Curry still leading the point, he will continue firing away from three with Buddy Heild being a great piece alongside him. As both of them can also drive in a bit, Andrew Wiggins we will be that style of a player who could play all sorts of offense. Someone who can go in for layups or knock down a lot of great threes, he really provides a great threat alongside Kuminga who can finish and really complement Draymond Green’s game. As the Mavs have Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving as their top scorers plus dribblers, their top tier three-point shooting threat in Klay Thompson has helped this offense expand. Although Derreck Lively II will potentially be their main finisher inside with P.J. Washington, this isn’t going to match the Warriors bench abilities as well. Therefore, the -130 moneyline for the Warriors is great and they should make their record 4-3 on moneyline’s against Dallas in 7 past matchups.

2. Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Point Spread Pick

As the Warriors spread is at -2.5, it seems very logical due to the fact they have an all-around better squad than Dallas. With this game going to be toe for toe, Luka Doncic has an advantage over Stephen Curry at point guard. Although Curry can create any shot and should continue to score at a high-rate, while being an improved passer, Doncic is virtually impossible to stop. His size and ability to dribble along with Kyrie Irving having the great dribbling chances give this Mavericks team a huge advantage at backcourt. But, the small forward position will be easily won by Golden State because Andrew Wiggins has a huge size advantage over Klay Thompson. Although Thompson is a great knockdown shooter from deep, his defense will not be able to stop Wiggins all-around game. Winning the rebounding advantage too, Andrew Wiggins will help create space for Johnathon Kuminga to drive into the lane and finish well. As Kuminga has become better by game, his chance to get passes from Curry or the very aggressive Draymond Green in the middle opens up room for dunks as well. With Green being more aggressive than the Mavs Gafford, they will have to work Derreck Lively II in more if healthy. Looking at this, since the Warriors are a much deeper unit they should win their -2.5 spread.

3. Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Over/Under Pick (Total Points)

With this being one of the most high-scoring games this season, it features two amazing offenses that can’t really be stopped. As the Mavericks have an elite backcourt that complements each other well, they have a great shooter who can knock down multiple threes at their small forward positon. Seeing that Dallas has a great backup scoring center and an excellent wing off the bench, they should really hold down their end. With the Warriors slightly above them, they will be led by one of the best scoring point guards of all time and a star small forward who can shoot from deep or inside as well. Meanwhile, they have an excellent forward who has developed as a solid sorcerer and one of the best bench pieces from three point range. This in addition to 3 of their last 4 matchups going for over 214 points, they should really go way over the scoreline after looking much improved on both sides.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Top Player Props

Draymond Green over 6.5 rebounds at 1.82: Going up against Daniel Gafford, Draymond Green should use his physicality to be a key point in this matchup. Even though Gafford is strong as well, the way Green plays at his size is something muscular centers struggle with and be affected by. As Draymond has the help of Kevon Looney defending with him, plus Johnathon Kuminga’s blocking ability, he should end up with a lot of missed shots while also fighting on the offensive glass. As the Warriors center has averaged 5.1 rebounds this season, this game should help him expand upon that.

Luka Doncic over 30.5 points at 1.91: As Luka Doncic is going up against Stephen Curry, this game should be a complete offensive shootout. Knowing both sides will attack each other, Doncic is someone who can be dominant no matter what type of talent is on him and with a mismatch in this game, he should be able to exploit a lot of holes. Someone who is averaging 28.3 points a night, Luka should definitely go over that in this game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Injury News & Impact

Dallas Mavericks Injuries: As Dereck Lively II, 9.3 points with 8.2 boards, and P.J. Washington were both ruled out due to shoulder plus knee problems, respectively, the Mavericks could still potentially only rely on Daniel Gafford upfront with these two questionable. Seeing that they might not be able to provide much inside scoring, the backcourt of Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving will have to take flight again.

Golden State Warriors Injuries: With the Warriors having no current injuries on their roster, they should continue being able to play a high-level of offense with the same pieces.

Mavs vs Warriors Head-to-Head Trends

With this being one of the closest matchups in the NBA, both the Warriors and Mavericks have tended to alternatively win when going head-to-head. Although Golden State looks like the stronger team, Dallas heads into this game as one of those squads that could beat anyone. With these games always tending to finish within 10 points, it should be another tight contest and could go either way due to each team being 3-3 vs the spread over their last 6 matchups. As they each have scored over 100 points expect for once during that time, this streak should continue making the game very high scoring.

Betting Insights & Public Trends

Seeing the public trends, this Golden State Warriors team has 56.5% of the bettors choosing their side to knock off Dallas.

Mavs vs Warriors Final Prediction

Although this will be a very tight game for the most part, the Warriors have seemed to have more firepower to come up victorious in this game. Seeing that they have been able to knock off some of the top teams with ease, this squad will once again be led by Stephen Curry. As he will go up against Luka Doncic whose one of the top three all-around players in the league, Curry is someone that can create shots from anywhere and over any defender. As one of the most consistent shooters ever, he will manage his way to score points against Doncic, while also creating a lot of passes for his wings to knock down clutch shots. Having Andrew Wiggins lineup at small forward, it really gives Curry the ability to maneuvar at a good pace, while finding him open or driving into the lane. Seeing that Wiggins has been such a great rebounder and finisher this season as well, he should handle a less efficient defender in Klay Thompson with some ease. Although Klay will make him pay on the other end with clutch threes of his own, Wiggins size is something that should win him this matchup. Meanwhile, the Mavericks will win the shooting guard battle as Kyrie Irving remains one of the best dribblers and creators in this game. But, it will not be as much as many people think because Bradin Podziemski has created a role as a great passer, rebounder, plus defender for this Warriors squad. Seeing that he can really develop into this all-around player, it could cause some trouble for Irving and cause him to look inside for either Daniel Gafford or P.J. Washington. With Washington most likely back, he will have to go up against the Warriors Johnathon Kuminga, who was already a great defender and now has turned into a solid scorer. Seeing these pieces, Draymond Green should wreak havoc in the middle against Daniel Gafford because it isn’t such a mismatch and Green can really defend at that size. With his ability to pass outside to shooters like Buddy Hield or Gary Payton II, the Warriors could dominate this game. But, the Mavericks could also end up on top if Gafford wins his position inside and Irving can really role past Podziemski, while Dereck Lively II returns.

Our prediction: The Golden State Warriors win this game and cover their -2.5 spread, while the score goes over 231 points.