Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Predictions and Betting Tips 1 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
30.11.2024 00:47
Mavericks vs Jazz Prediction
Going into this matchup, the Dallas Mavericks continue being one of the most dominating two-way teams in NBA play, while Utah continues tanking for higher hopes of getting Cooper Flagg. With Dallas winning 129-119 against Atlanta last time out, this Jazz unit took another tough loss against Sacramento in their last matchup. This game will occur on December 1st at 8:00 A.M. IST in American Airlines Arena of Dallas. Below are our key betting tips, top player props, vital head-to-head trends, and important injuries to come up with a potential outcome for this matchup.
Mavericks vs Jazz Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Moneyline Pick
Seeing that the money line in this game is at -447, Dallas should win it pretty easily due to their overall greatness as a squad. Having Kyrie Irving and Jaden Hardy start in their backcourt, they should have more assists plus points scored than the likes of Keyonte George plus Collin Sexton. As both teams provide great wing play, the ability of Klay Thompson to completely outplay Cody Williams will be a much bigger factor than Lauri Markannen slightly doing it to P.J. Washington. With Daniel Gafford and Derreck Lively II complementing each other's games in the middle, they should have a huge advantage against Walker Kessler, making this -447 money line perfect and their 4th victory in 5 matches against Utah.
2. Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Point Spread Pick
With Dallas having a -9.5 spread this game, it should be a very easy victory as they have way more stars to control the pace. Led by Jaden Hardy at point guard, his ability to knock down threes plus pass it out to wings has been important for this roster without Luka Doncic. As he continues growing with Spence Dinwidee also helping him in a rotation, they will go up against a much weaker defender in Keyonte George. Although the Jazz point guard has slightly improved his offensive game, it hasn’t made a serious impact and won’t be able to outscore the ability of these two. Having Hardy as an aggressive defender as well, Dallas will get many extra opportunities with his underrated reach-in ability. Meanwhile, Kyrie Irving will continue being one of the best shooting guards in the game against a non-efficient defender in Collin Sexton. As Irving has shown he is still a lethal mid-range scorer and can finish through dribbles, his ability to shoot perimeter shots is nearly unstoppable too. Having Collin Sexton as Irving's defensive matchup, he should shut him down due to the Mavs star's ability to create takeaways plus forcing many ball-handlers to stay outside painted areas. Although there have been concerns with Klay Thompson’s defense this season, he should continue being a key three-point shooter against a guy like Cody Williams who hasn’t found a great role anywhere yet. Lauri Markannen will be a slight scoring advantage for this Jazz squad at power forward, but he won’t dominate due to P.J. Washington’s aggressive defense and blocking ability that leads to rebounds plus points the other way. Not being able to shoot the three or mid-range will be a major issue, while Daniel Gafford and Derreck Lively II have enough size to control a rebounding specialist in Walker Kessler through boards plus points in the center. Seeing this, the -9.5 spread is perfect for this Mavs squad.
3. Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under in this game is at 231.5 points, both teams have very formidable units that should lead them. Even though Dallas will carry a huge chunk of this line, Utah is led by a dynamic shooting guard who can create inside and knock down shots from outside. Having a stretch four who provides consistent finishing from all over, their backup point guard remains one of the best high-volume scorers. Meanwhile, Dallas has a pair of PGs who attack the basket well, while their shooting guard is renowned for his handles. Having two centers that finish inside and one of the best catch-and-shoot three-point shooters, this group should help get the score over 228 points from last time.
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Top Player Props
Kyrie Irving over 24.5 points at 1.71: As one of the best scoring guards in the game, this Mavericks point guard should be able to finish with ease through his dribbles while also knocking down long-range shots. Going up against Keyonte George, this should be a very explosive game for someone like Kyrie who will dominate inside or outside in a variety of ways. Seeing that Irving averages 24.6 points a game, he should hit the over on this line.
Collin Sexton under 18.5 points at 1.91: Although Sexton has been one of the best finishers so far this season, he will have his toughest matchups on defense as of yet this season. Going up against one of the best stealers in Kyrie Irving, Sexton will have a lot of tougher looks at the basket and lose the ball as well. Knowing that Collin Sexton averages 16.7 points a night, he should be under his season average in this game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Injury News & Impact
Dallas Mavericks Injuries: As this Dallas squad is still missing Luka Doncic, 28.1 points and 7.6 assists, due to a wrist strain, they should rely on a Jaden Hardy plus Spencer Dinwiddie combination to fill in. With Klay Thompson and Derrick Lively II returning, this unit should continue being a very strong group.
Utah Jazz Injuries: Although Jordan Clarkson, 15.0 points plus 3.8 assists, and Lauri Markannen were ruled out due to foot injuries, they both will return to help this Jazz unit run with the same rotations.
Mavericks vs Jazz Head-to-Head Trends
Although Utah won the game last time out, Dallas has always had control over this series and looks like a much more favorable unit to win after they had three straight before the last matchup. A group that has scored over 100 points in 4 straight matchups against Utah, they will look to build on their 106 points per game average over three previous games. As Dallas is 6-2 against the spread over their last 8 appearances against this Jazz unit, they hope to keep improving on that record.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, Dallas is projected by 82.7% of bettors to beat Utah in this matchup.
Mavericks vs Jazz Final Prediction
As the Dallas Mavericks enter this game, they once again are heavy favorites to win a pretty simple battle for them. Going up against a Utah squad they are much stronger than, this unit is led by a rising player in Jaden Hardy. Showing that he has a great element of shooting deep-range shots, his passing has been a vital component of this team. With Spencer Diwnidee being more of a finisher inside, their minutes against Keyonte George should be pretty dominating. As George has struggled to stay consistent on offense, Hardy will be able to use his weakness on defense for more open looks throughout. Knowing that the Mavs starting PG is a very good hustle player as well, his energy to grab loose balls and create reach-ins or traps will lower Keyonte George’s performance even more. With Kyrie Irving playing shooting guard, his top-notch ability to create off the dribble plus finish inside as one of the best ball-handlers will be impossible to guard by a weaker defender in Collin Sexton. Even though the Jazz shooting guard is a very explosive threat on the offensive end, Irving will force him to work from beyond the arc due to his ability to stick on Sexton and create bad passes with his slight height advantage.
With Klay Thompson starting at small forward for Dallas, his defense has been very suspect this season, but the forwards' ability to knock down threes is still there. As his matchup is Cody Williams, Thompson’s shooting will be enough because his size will help get rebounds, while Utah’s forward still hasn’t found what his strong fit is yet. Seeing that P.J. Washington will go up against Lauri Markannen, Utah may have a scoring advantage here, but Dallas’s power forward should limit his efficiency. Known as one of the strongest and most explosive rebounders, Washington will continue having high numbers in that area, while also creating blocks on plus making him take unconventional shots. Having Derreck Lively and Daniel Gafford in the middle as strong finishers plus rebounders, this Mavs squad should control Walker Kessler at the center position with ease. Looking at the Dallas bench, Quentin Grimes and Naji Marshall will continue playing great roles, while Utah will require Jordan Clarkson to score for this game to be closer.
Our pick: Dallas Mavericks win this game and cover their -9.5 spread, while the score goes over 231.5 points.
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