Rockets vs Warriors Prediction and Betting Tips 13 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
11.12.2024 17:36
Rockets vs Warriors Prediction
As Houston continues being a great unit that looks in top form across Western Conference play, they go up against a Warriors team that has struggled recently. With the Rockets having beaten Los Angeles 117-106 last time out, Golden State beat Minnesota by 8 points. This game will be played on December 13th at 8:00 A.M. IST in Toyota Center of Houston. Below are our key betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head trends entering this game.
Rockets vs Warriors Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Moneyline Pick
Seeing that the Rockets have a -139 moneyline pick, it should be taken as the Warriors will be depleted with injuries. Having Fred VanVleet and Jalen Green helping each other should help this duo outscore Buddy Hield plus Bradin Podziemski. With Andrew Wiggins being defended against Dillon Brooks, the Rockets' small forward should win the rebounding plus defensive battle. Having Jabari Smith Jr.’s two-way ability will help control Johnathon Kuminga’s game, while Alperen Sengun should outplay Trayce Jackson-Davis and Kevon Looney. All in all, the Rockets should win their -139 money line and break their streak against Golden State.
2. Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Point Spread Pick
As the Rockets have a -2 spread in this game, they are favored to win because of their current stars being healthy. Having Fred VanVleet as a piece that can cut to the basket, his ability to hit from three and pass is a vital piece for this offense. Going up against Bradin Podziemski who struggled to score this season, VanVleet’s defense will come up huge as he should create many steals plus extra positions with toughness against someone of a similar size. With Jalen Green getting to go up against a weaker defender in Buddy Hield, he should continue knocking down long-range shots while also finding his inside prowess. Someone skilled at dribbling will consistently attack the Warriors' shooting guard while limiting his deep shots from the other end down the floor. Being a great closeout defender, he will be helped by Dillon Brooks as a stronger rebounder-plus defender than Andrew Wiggins. As Wiggins is a lot more skinny to get inside and score, Brooks will have great body control to force him outside and attempt more threes. Seeing Brooks can cause steals, he will go down the other end and dunk or knock down deeper looks. With Jabari Smith Jr. being a strong inside finisher who can score plus get rebounds, he should control Johnathon Kuminga’s game. Seeing Alperen Sengun has an all-around offensive game, his ability will be on display against Trayce Jackson-Davis and Kevon Looney to win this -2 spread.
3. Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
With the over/under being 220.5 points, both teams should have very solid options to attack the basket. As Houston is led by one of the best passers in NBA play, his ability to create inside or shoot from three off the dribble will come up key. A shooting guard that continues being dominant from all areas next to him, they have a great three-point shooter playing small forward. With a power forward that can finish layups or floaters inside, their center remains this unit’s best threat. Meanwhile, Golden State will have a strong shooting guard leading the scoring with their star point guard out. Although their backup can drive in, his efficiency won’t be at a similar level, while the small forward should continue being a great perimeter shooter that creates near the hoop. Having an improving scorer at power forward, their center duo should attack with layups. Seeing this, the score should be much higher than 192 combined points from last time.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Top Player Props
Jalen Green over 20.5 points at 1.71: As the Rockets shooting guard continues being a vital threat from deep for this unit, his inside scoring should help dominate a depleted defense. Having to go up against Buddy Hield, Green will be able to find his spots from everywhere against someone weak on defense. With Jalen Green averaging 19.5 points a night, he should hit the over in this matchup.
Buddy Hield under 19.5 points at 1.67: Seeing that Golden State’s shooting guard has been a key piece from three, his ability hasn’t been similar against taller pieces. Having to face someone as athletic as Jalen Green, the Warriors guard will struggle to find his shot. Someone averaging 14.5 points a night, should stay around that in this game.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Injury News & Impact
Houston Rockets Injuries: This Rockets unit will be without key bench piece Tari Eason due to a concussion, while Fred VanVleet will return.
Golden State Warriors Injuries: Having no De’Anthony Melton, 10.3 points, due to a Torn ACL, this group will potentially be without depth piece Moses Moody. Recently, this group also has Stephen Curry and Draymond Green ruled out for the matchup with knee injuries.
Rockets vs Warriors Head-to-Head Trends
Although the Warriors have won 15 straight games against Houston, times will change here as Houston has more vital pieces healthy to win this matchup. Scoring over 100 points in 3 of their previous 4 games, the Rockets have also averaged 104.7 in their previous three. This Rockets unit hopes to make the 0-15 record vs the spread a little better after winning the matchup in this game.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
The Rockets are favored by 58.34% of bettors to beat Golden State in this matchup according to betting insights.
Rockets vs Warriors Final Prediction
As Houston has slowly turned itself into a top unit in Western Conference play, they should dominate this game against Golden State. Being a stronger unit on both ends, it is another great chance to make their presence felt when entering the middle of this season. With Fred VanVleet at point guard, his prowess as a passer plus inside scorer should help this unit create a strong base. Being a good deep shooter as well who can create space with his speed, he should continue having a stronger performance against a weaker defender in Bradin Podziemski. As VanVleet can force turnovers with ease and create traps, his ability to force a weaker offensive player into long-range shots will help start a transition offense for this Rockets offense. With Jalen Green being a very efficient knockdown shooter next to him, he should have a very strong night against Buddy Hield. Seeing that the Warriors guard can’t guard anyone, he will also have a tougher time shooting against a Rockets guard who can close out.
With Dillon Brooks being an excellent rebounder who can provide defense at a high rate too, he will be a huge advantage against Andrew Wiggins. Someone who has shown great prowess in his shooting game from three, his ability to create blocks and not allow Wiggins inside will force the Warriors guard into a lot of uncomfortable looks. Being a guy that can create steals too, he will be able to create more points down the other way. With Jabari Smith Jr. being a great blocker and inside scorer, this power forward should continue creating mismatches against Johnathon Kuminga. As Alperen Sengun is the offensive superstar at center, he will help develop a huge game against Trayce Jackson-Davis and Kevon Looney. Seeing that Houston has Amen Thompson and Reed Sheppard off the bench, Golden State can keep it close if Kyle Anderson plus Lindy Walters show up.
Our prediction: Houston Rockets win this game and cover their -2 spread, while the score goes over 220.5 points.
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