NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Prediction, 26th November
NLB Staff
24.11.2024 12:31
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Prediction
As the Denver Nuggets got their star player back they continued growing as a squad from a nightmarish start to this season, while New York has proven to be one of the most complete squads so far. The Nuggets took a tough 2-point loss against Dallas in their last matchup, while New York ended up blowing out the Suns in convincing fashion. This matchup will take place on November 26th at 7:30 A.M. IST in Ball Arena of Denver. Underneath are our key betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and public trends to create an accurate outcome for this matchup.
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Moneyline Pick
As the money line pick is at -191 for the Knicks, they should win it with their two-way prowess throughout the game. Having a backcourt with Jalen Brunson and Mikal Bridges should outscore plus get more assists than Christian Braun plus Jamal Murray. With this Knicks roster having a great small forward in Josh Hart, his ability to defend someone as big as Miachel Porter Jr. will come up big. New York should dominate the forward position with O.G. Annunoby having an all-around advantage against Peyton Watson, while the center battle will lead to similar outputs between Karl Anthony-Towns and Nikola Jokic. But, with saying that, Towns has been more feisty on the defensive end and helped New York win their -191 moneyline, making it 4 in 5 previous matchups vs Denver.
2. Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Point Spread Pick
With the Knicks having a spread at -1.5, this should be taken due to their ability to close out games and having great all-around pieces. As Jalen Brunson leads this unit being one of the best ball-handling guards in the game who plays for 40+ minutes every night, he should continue fighting his rhythm from the mid-range and perimeter in this game. Someone who creates great drives off the dribble, he is one guard who can beat Jamal Murray’s defense with speed while also helping to take out a lot of vital shots on the other end. Seeing that Brunson has become a way better stealer this season, he will help the Knicks win their position battle. With New York having a shooting guard like Mikal Bridges that can score, rebound, and pass at a high level, he will have a simple matchup against a catch-and-shoot guard in Christian Braun. Even though Braun can be efficient, Bridges' length will take him off-kilter to create a lot more tougher looks than normal. As Miachel Porter Jr. will have a slight scoring advantage on Josh Hart, it won’t be by much due to the tenacity this Knicks forward plays with. His high energy and ability to get boards with ease will help him in the rebounding battle, while also playing tough defense on a Nuggets player who can mostly score without dribbling too much. As O.G. Annunoby continues being a great two-way piece for New York inside, his ability to go up against Peyton Watson will include a lot of great looks and blocks. Having a Karl Anthony-Towns vs Nikola Jokic offensive battle at the center will be very entertaining and come down to the final minutes where KAT has shown more defensive prowess than Jokic to close out. Therefore, the Knicks -1.5 spread should be taken.
3. Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under is at 235 points in this game, both teams have great all-around scorers that make these offenses unstoppable. With Denver having one of the best guards in the game that can drive and hit from the perimeter, their shooting guard continues knocking down deep looks at a high level. Having a small forward who can finish outside or inside and one of the best offensive players in the game at center, they will continue being led by an elite ball-handling backup point guard as well. Seeing the Knicks, their backcourt will once again dominate by hitting shots from all areas, while their power forward continues being a great stretch piece that not only spaces the floor but can attack the hoop. As their center is a very strong offensive piece, this game should go well over the 213 points when they last met.
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Top Player Props
Nikola Jokic over 26.5 points at 1.91: As the Nuggets center continues to score at his own will in the middle, his ability to drive in and knock down threes has still been a vital part of the Joker’s role. Seeing that he goes up against a smaller and bit weaker defender in Karl Anthony Towns, this star should have another high-octane game. Seeing that Jokic averages 30.0 points a night, he should hit the over in this game.
O.G. Annunoby over 16.5 points at 1.61: Seeing that the Knicks power forward has continued developing his all-around game, his shot from outside has become a lethal threat. With his ability to use size, it will be a major factor against Peyton Watson in this game. As Annunoby has averaged 17.1 points a night, he will improve on that after going above it in this game.
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Injury News & Impact
Denver Nuggets Injuries: As this group is still missing Aaron Gordon, 15.4 points plus 6.7 rebounds, at power forward, they will continue having to rely on a developmental player in Peyton Watson.
New York Knicks Injuries: Although this squad is still missing defensive specialist Mitchell Robinson, 8.5 rebounds and 1.1 blocks last year, at the center, they have proven to work at a high level without him or Miles McBride, knee injury, being available. Knowing that the Knicks should continue running the same rotations under head coach Tom Thibodeau.
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Head-to-Head Trends
Although the Denver Nuggets won by 13 points last time out, the Knicks will continue dominating this matchup after having won three times straight before this. With this squad being 1-1 on the road against Denver, they hope to improve on that record plus a 5-game streak of over 100 points. As this Knicks squad has put up 111 points per game and are 3-1 against the spread during these previous 4 games, they should continue making these numbers look stronger.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, 56.7% of bettors are backing the Knicks to beat Denver in this matchup.
Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Final Prediction
As both these teams have huge championship aspirations, this could be a matchup that could lead to a finals preview later on in May. But, for now the Knicks have shown a more consistent stretch over the last couple of games and should have a slight advantage due to their all-around squad being deeper. With Jalen Brunson being one of the most athletic guards in this game, his ability to finish at the hoop and knock down threes will be huge. Showing that he has an improved ability to drive in and kick out passes to his wings, his leadership continues to keep this unit at its topmost ability. Going up against Jamal Murray, this will be an intense offensive battle but depends on which guard will defend better. Even though Murray has shown a lot of prowess and is usually known as the better defender between these two, Brunson’s energy levels to create steals plus loose balls have been at a different level. Seeing that he has worked on his ability to close out threes as well, he should limit Murray’s long-range shooting, while still finishing with a lot of points himself. As the Knicks have a huge positive at small forward, Mikal Bridges's all-around game should help them easily defend a top shooter in Christian Braun. Even though Braun will knock down some deep threes and create them off screens, Bridges has shown to be a better passer plus rebounder. Being someone who is lengthy for his position, he should use his wingspan to create some tough looks for Braun throughout while blocking him when driving into the lane.
Although Miachel Porter Jr. will have a scoring advantage over Josh Hart in this game, it won’t be by much because of the small forwards' defensive intensity. Seeing that Porter is more of a catch-and-shoot guy plus doesn’t seem to dominate when he’s forced to dribble, it could lead to a tough time against a close-out defender like Hart. As Hart has always been one of the best rebounders league-wide, he should have a massive number of boards at the glass on both ends in this game. With the Nuggets' power forward being Peyton Watson, he has shown some growth on defense but not enough to slow down O.G. Annunoby’s athletic abilities. Seeing that Annunoby has continued to score inside and finish long-range shots with ease, he should outscore Watson who hasn’t provided a high ceiling for Denver. The main matchup to see who wins this game will occur in the middle with Nikola Jokic and Karl-Anthony Towns as both provide excellent all-around games. One key to this though is that even both of them are unstoppable on offense and when getting boards, Jokic may be a way better passer, but Towns has shown way more alertness on defense in clutch periods. With the Knicks having a strong bench led by Cameron Payne and Jericho Sims, this Nuggets squad will once again rely on Russell Westbrook’s prowess if they want to win this game.
Our prediction: Knicks win this game and cover their -1.5 spread, while score goes over 235 points.
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