NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets Prediction, 17th November
NLB Staff
16.11.2024 13:22
Buck vs Hornets Prediction
Going into this game, the Milwaukee Bucks really had one of the most disappointing starts to this season, while Charlotte enters this game having shown some growth through their post-rebuilding process. As the Bucks enter this game after a clutch victory over the Pistons in overtime, this Hornets squad got blown out by Orlando in their last outing. This game will take place on November 17th at 1:30 P.M. in Spectrum Center of Charlotte, North Carolina. Underneath are our player props, vital head-to-head trends, key injuries, and betting tips to create a potential outcome for this matchup.
Buck vs Hornets Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets Moneyline Pick
As the money line picks for the Bucks is -288, it should be taken due to their easy chance of winning this game. Having Dame and Giannias as their top two duo on this team, they will have a massive advantage over the Hornet's backcourt that features their top scorers Brandon Miller and Lamelo Ball. Knowing that Grant Williams won’t be able to get Giannias, it will make life easier for Brook Lopez to space the floor against a much slower Taj Gibson, while Lopez will return the favor with his blocks on the other end. As Taurean Prince and Bobby Portis remain solid two-way role players, this Bucks team should have control over guys like Josh Green and Tre Mann. Seeing this, the -288 pick will be won by them with ease giving them their 6th in a row vs Charlotte.
2. Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets Point Spread Pick
Seeing that the point spread pick is at -6.5 for the Bucks, they should be able to use all their skills to completely take over this matchup. Led by Damian Lillard, he will create a great matchup that Lamelo Ball won’t completely dominate because the Bucks point-guard has the great ability to drive plus finish from three to match the Hornets guards' scoreline. Although Gary Trent Jr. hasn’t been a great three-point scorer, his inside scoring has made him get more points per game and helps a top-three-point guard make this backcourt one of the best ones. Going up against Bradon Miller, the Hornets' point guard will probably win that matchup but not as easy as many think. Having Taurean Prince run at small forward, he should have a huge mismatch over Josh Green with the three-point shooting plus defensive chances. The ability of Giannias and Brook Lopez to be two-way players in the frontcourt will give them a dominant performance over Taj Gibson plus Grant Williams. Knowing this, the Bucks should win their spread of -6.5 easily.
3. Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte HornetsOver/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the Bucks and Hornets over/under are at 229 points, this should be a pretty high-scoring matchup that the Bucks dominate. While the Hornets do have an elite point guard and a pretty solid shooting plus center, the Bucks offense has a lot more pieces that will help with the line. As Milwaukee’s backcourt remains elite, they also have a very good power-forward and center duo that has seemed to be unstoppable. With their last game combined for 210 points, this should be way higher with most pieces healthy.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets Top Player Props
Giannis Antetokoumpo over 30.5 points at 1.91: As Giannias Antetokoumpo remains one of the most athletic freaks in NBA play today, he will continue being the main target for many Bucks guards in the paint. Going up against a smaller Grant Williams, Antetokoumpo should dominate in this game and score at his own will while also helping create transition buckets with amazing length. Given that he is averaging 33.3 points a night, he should be able to be around or over that mark in this game.
Lamelo Ball over 26.5 points at 1.95: Although Damian Lillard will most likely play this game, the Hornets point guard should continue handling him with ease as one of the most skilled all-around offensive players. Seeing that Dame could play weak defense a lot of the time, Ball should use his body and ability to create pump-fakes as an advantage to score a ton. Seeing this plus the fact that he has averaged 29.9 points a game, he should hit the over in this game.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets Injury News & Impact
Milwaukee Bucks Injuries: As Khris Middleton remains out for this Bucks team as a massive scoring piece, they will continue having to rely on a much more struggling Gary Trent Jr. to help create offense. With Middleton averaging over 15.0 ppg last season at his small forward position, there wasn’t much reliance on backups, but now that Taurean Prince is playing more, they might have found a great positive to help them create more depth in the long run. Having Damian Lillard potentially not in the lineup due to a concussion could be huge because this unit would have to rely on a much less efficient Delon Wright to run the offense with Ryan Rollins out as well.
Charlotte Hornets Injuries: As the Hornets don’t have any current injuries in their lineup, they should continue running with the same rotations that have helped them throughout the early part of this season.
Buck vs Hornets Head-to-Head Trends
With the Milwaukee Bucks having won 5 straight games against this Charlotte squad, they should continue owning them in this matchup. Having scored over 100 points in 8 straight matchups, the Bucks have won 7 of these by 9 or more points. Seeing that they are 5-0 against the spread vs Charlotte during the past 5 games and averaging 118 points every game, their prowess should continue to help build on this ATS record.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
As the public trends show, the Milwaukee Bucks are favored by 73.7% of bettors to come out victorious against Charlotte.
Buck vs Hornets Final Prediction
As the Milwaukee Bucks have shown some extreme struggles at times to start this season, it feels like a get-right game for them after knocking off the Pistons in overtime. Trying to start their streak and make noise in the Eastern Conference picture from now, this matchup should give them huge momentum going into the middle part. Led by Damian Lillard at point guard, he will be in an amazing battle with Lamelo Ball throughout this game. Although Ball has proven to be slightly the better defender, Lillard’s shot-making ability is too good for many to stop and he should help create inside lanes as well. Seeing that he can score from wherever at his own will, so can Lamelo Ball who has stepped up in a huge fashion for the Hornets offense. At shooting guard, Charlotte does have the advantage with the efficiency and length of Brandon Miller over someone like Gary Trent Jr. As Trent Jr. has not been able to play an efficient role for the Bucks, they will bring the switch with a tougher defender like Taurean Prince to force Miller into some tough shots. Given that Josh Green has been a solid offensive force for this Hornets team this season, his ability to knock down the threes is something that Taurean Prince will be able to match as well. Seeing that the Bucks's small forward has a much bigger body than the Hornets' one, Prince should be able to get a lot more boards and play stronger defense on Green as well. Milwaukee will win this game inside as Giannias will have a chance to go up against a less-volume scorer and defender in Grant Williams while continuing to build his MVP case. As Antetoukoumpo has continued to be an elite rim protector and great inside scorer too, he should continue providing very high-percentage looks to help create that duo with Dame. As Brook Lopez is a great stretch five, he could cause a lot of problems for Taj Gibson due to the Hornets’ centers being a typical rebounding center. Knowing this, it gives Lopez a lot of great looks and supports bench pieces like Bobby Portis Jr. to score more as well. As the Bucks are very favorable in this matchup, Charlotte can only keep it close if Tre Mann and Brandon Miller explode scoring-wise to help Lamelo Ball.
Our prediction: The Milwaukee Bucks win this game and cover their -6.5 spread, while the score goes over 229 points.
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