NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 14th November

NLB Staff

14.11.2024 00:59

Suns vs Kings Prediction

As the Sacramento Kings hope to find consistency after seeing what this offense could do over the early part of this season, they play a Suns team that is without their top star and some other key pieces. With Sacramento coming off a tough 20-point loss to San Antonio, Phoenix was able to knock out a struggling Utah team. This matchup will take place on November 14th at 8:30 A.M. IST in Golden 1 Center of Sacramento. Underneath are our key player props, important head-to-head matchups, current public trends, and vital injuries to create a prediction for this game.

Suns vs Kings Key Betting Tips & Predictions

1. Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings Moneyline Pick

The -303 money line for the Sacramento Kings is a great pick since they have a huge mismatch during this game and should have a win. As the Kings have their big three of Demar DeRozan, De’Aaron Fox, and Domantas Sabonis playing, it will be much for Devin Booker and Bradley Beal to handle themselves. Having an elite wing like Keegan Murray, the Kings should be scoring points, while the Suns will have to figure out a way for Ryan Dunn and Grayson Allen to get on pace to match their scoring. Knowing this, Sacramento’s -303 money line should be taken so they can start their win streak.

2. Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings Point Spread Pick

With the Kings having way more options in this game due to their team being at full strength, they should take control of the matchup resulting in the -7 spread being a good pick. Although Phoenix has Devin Booker as their best guard on this team that continues to wreak havoc on defenses and an advantage over Kevin Huerter, the matchup in the middle should be controlled by Sacramento. Having Domantas Sabonis being a great all-around center who continues to grow his passing ability as well, his greatness as a leader shows night in and night out. Being extremely athletic plus grabbing multiple boards, he should have a match-winning performance against Mason Plumlee. Even though on paper Demar DeRozan seems to have a close matchup with Bradley Beal, the one thing is that the King’s small forward's intangibles are way stronger and he could dominate Beal both ways through scoring plus causing loose balls. As the power forward position will once again be held down by an improving Keegan Murray, he should launch a lot of perimeter shots against a smaller guy in Ryan Dunn. Seeing this plus the Kings' ability to replace Malik Monk, the -7 spread looks perfect for them to win.

3. Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings Over/Under Pick (Total Points)

As the over/under in this game is at 226, this is a great line due to both teams’ elite abilities on offense. Even though Phoenix will once again be without their top power forward and center, they have one of the best SG/SF combinations in the league. As both of them have shown a great ability to shoot with ease, their ability to create has allowed other bench pieces like their backup guard and small forward to knock down long-range shots with ease. Meanwhile, the Kings should continue having a great offensive game plan with a small forward and point guard that could either attack from outside or in the mid-range. Even though their center is more of an inside scorer and inside the perimeter, his ability to knock down the three along with their top wing should help this scoreline go well over the 226 mark. With both teams combining for 245 points last time, it should be around there once again.

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings Top Player Props

Domantas Sabonis over 19.5 points at 1.95: As Domantas Sabonis enters this game being one of the best scoring centers, his matchup against Mason Plumlee should help him continue this dominance. For someone who is averaging 20.7 points and shooting 63.5% from the field, his ability to stretch the floor and create second-chance opportunities will come at a premium in this matchup against Sacramento. Seeing this, he should go over the season average during this game.

Devin Booker over 28.5 points at 1.80: After the Suns lost Kevin Durant, Devin Booker has been their main scorer on this roster. Although he has many great pieces like Bradley Beal and Grayson Allen to put in buckets, Booker should have a massive advantage over Kevin Huerter due to his skills of attacking the basket. Whether it is the three-ball or layups, Booker keeps showing offensive consistency and should go well over his 23.8 points per game average this year.

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings Injury News & Impact

Sacramento Kings: As Malik Monk has been ruled out due to a right ankle sprain injury, his 12.6 points per game will be missed off the bench. Being a shooting guard, a less efficient version of Kevin Huerter, 10.2 points, will have to play at a much higher level and try to knock down shots at a higher volume to rewrite his season performance.

Phoenix Suns Injuries: As Kevin Durant, 27.6 points and 6.6 rebounds, will miss an extended period due to a left calf strain, this team will have to rely on Ryan Dunn to score at a much faster pace than his 7.0 points in over 20 minutes per game this season. As Bradley Beal, 17.8 points could be questionable for this matchup, he is most likely expected to play even though dealing with calf tightness. Although Jusuf Nurkic is considered day-to-day, Mason Plumlee did a terrific job of filling in for him with 15 points and 14 rebounds which should continue. Finally, Collin Gillespie being out again due to his right ankle fracture could hurt the depth of this Suns backcourt.

Suns vs Kings Head-to-Head Trends

As the Sacramento Kings won a thrilling matchup in overtime last time, they will look to keep their chances of a streak against the Suns at an all-time high. Although Phoenix won three straight games before this one, Sacramento looks like the much healthier team going into action and should put in a huge number of points after 12 consecutive games with over 106. Knowing that they will continue being an efficient offense against an injured squad, the Kings should improve on their 5-3 record against the spread vs this Suns roster. Averaging 119.6 points in their last 3 head-to-heads, this Sacramento roster will hope to jump out to an early lead during this game.

Betting Insights & Public Trends

Seeing the current odds of this game, Sacramento has a 75.2% chance to win their matchup against Phoenix according to bettors.

Suns vs Kings Final Prediction

Going into this game, the Sacramento Kings should have an advantage against a Suns roster that’s missing some key pieces. Knowing that the Kings are led by this high-flying offense, they continue being on a role during this matchup and it all starts with the play of Domantas Sabonis. Being one of the best big men in the middle this season, the Kings center will have an easier matchup against a less muscular Mason Plumlee. Although the Suns five showed a lot of rebounding prowess in his last game, Sabonis's ability to create shots for others while scoring inside will be unmatched. Also an excellent rebounder on both ends of the floor, he should have a dominating presence inside the paint throughout. As Bradley Beal continues to be one of the best two-way wings for Phoenix he could potentially play, but will have to go up against another Kings star in Demar Derozan. If Beal is available he could limit some of DeRozan's shots, but Sacremento’s small forward knows to create even amongst the best defenders from deep or mid-range. Having an amazing feel on defense as well, he could control Beal’s offensive game unless a switch occurs to create mismatches. For some reason, if Beal is not available, Grayson Allen will have a tough time guarding someone with as much ability as DeRozan and could expect to be put in situations to take a lot of bad three-point looks. With Phoenix having Devin Booker against Kevin Huerter, this is one advantage that goes their way due to the fact the Suns' shoot guard continues showing his skill against any level defender. As he can drive and kick it out, Huerter should still be able to fire a couple of clutch threes because Booker’s defense has still been a huge question mark this season. Although Tyus Jones has shown amazing growth for this Suns squad at point guard on both ends, De’Aaron Fox is going to be too fast for him and drive through the rack every time. But, Phoenix could still win this game if Grayson Allen can knock down a lot of important deep shots and pieces like Royce O’Neal plus Osho Ighodaro play their role on the bench.

Our prediction: The Kings win this game and cover their -7 spread, while the score goes over 226 points.