NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, 11th November

NLB Staff

10.11.2024 12:43

Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Prediction

As the Memphis Grizzlies enter this game having shown to have one of the deepest rosters in the league, these potential contenders will face a Portland Trail Blazers squad in a complete rebuilding process. With the Grizzlies coming off a 24-point victory against the Washington Wizards, they are playing a Blazers team that lost to Minnesota by 25 points. This matchup will occur on November 11th at 7:30 A.M. IST in Moda Center, Portland. Below are our key player props, vital injuries, head-to-head matchups, and public trends to develop a potential scoreline for this game.

Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Key Betting Tips & Predictions

1. Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers Moneyline Pick

As the Grizzlies have a -191 money line in this game, it should be taken with them having a chance to dominate with ease. Seeing that the duo of Ja Morant/Scottie Pippen Jr. and Luke Kennard is working with Marcus Smart out, it helps develop an inside presence for star Jaren Jackson Jr. In addition, Santi Aldama has turned into a great wing player, while Brandon Clarke continues dominating as one of the best backup centers. Playing a team that relies on Anfernee Simmons, Scoot Henderson, and Shaedeon Sharpe for most of their scoring, the Grizzlies should easily win this -191 money line.

2. Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers Point Spread Pick

As the spread in this game is at -4.5 for the Memphis Grizzlies, they should easily dominate this matchup. Having Ja Morant potentially return or Scottie Pippen Jr. starts again helps them get into the flow of being led by an all-around presence in their backcourt. Going up against Scoot Henderson, he will have to try and stick on Luke Kennard from three as well with Shaedeon Sharpe struggling to control it. As the middle includes Zach Edey, his size will be a dominating factor over De’Andre Ayton for rebounds while Jaren Jackson Jr. will come in from behind to create blocks. Seeing that both Jerami Grant and Toumani Camara are struggling at the power forward position, Jaren Jackson Jr. should have a very easy time with a key piece like Brandon Clarke also coming off the bench. All in all, the Grizzlies look like a much stronger team due to their greatness depth-wise and should control this game with the -4.5 spread from tip-off time.

3. Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers Over/Under Pick (Total Points)

The over/under for this game is at 218.5 points, with it being a solidly high-scoring game, but mostly from Memphis. As they have an excellent power forward and two great guards who can score from anywhere, this team could retain their biggest guard as well to help them score even more. With a phenomenal outside shooter as well, they will mostly carry this line as Portland will have to rely on their backcourt and center to get most of the scoring done. When these teams last met, the combined score was 207, and with quite a few improvements should be even higher.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers Top Player Props

Santi Aldama over 8.5 rebounds at 1.74: As the Grizzlies have Jaren Jackson Jr. facing Jerami Grant, he will be focused on covering him up when Zach Edey goes to the bench, leaving Santi Aldama with a huge chance at multiple boards. Also someone who can close out many guards going in for layups, he has shown great ability to retain those boards and dribble down the floor. As someone who is averaging 7.8 boards a night, he will hit an over in this matchup.

Jermai Grant under 3.5 rebounds at 1.61: With the Grizzlies having three excellent big men in Santi Aldama, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey, Jermai Grant will have a tough time maneuvering his way to find boards. Someone who is only averaging 4.3 per game this, it will be on of his toughest matchups of the season. Seeing that, he will be way under that total in this game.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers Injury News & Impact

Memphis Grizzlies Injuries: As Ja Morant could potentially be out with right hip soreness, the Grizzlies could potentially not have either of their point guards with Marcus Smart, 5.6 points with 2.8 assists of the bench, suffering a right ankle sprain. With this team waiting for Vince Williams Jr. to come back from G-League play, their 2nd pick Cam Spencer is ruled out again due to an ankle issue. Already being down Desmond Bane, 18.8 points with 5.4 rebounds, because of an oblique strain, this team will have to rely on Jaren Jackson Jr. and Santi Aldama to carry an extended role on this offense.

Portland Trail Blazers Injuries: With Shaedeon Sharpe back from his long injury, this team won’t miss Matisse Thybulle as much as before because their original starter has proven to be a much more consistent offensive player. Outside of that, the Blazers don’t have any injuries and should continue running with the same rosters during their rebuilding process.

Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Head-to-Head Trends

Although the Portland Trail Blazers won two straight against Memphis last season, that was due to the Grizzlies not having any stars available. Now that they have a team somewhat near full strength, they should be able to start their little streak against Portland. In a mixture of extreme blowouts and some very tight contests, 2 of their last 4 games have ended with a differential of 7 points. With Memphis having a clear advantage in this game and being 3-2 against the spread in their last 5 matchups, they hope to improve upon that record.

Betting Insights & Public Trends

Seeing the current trends for this current matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies have 65.6% of bettors choosing their side to win the game.

Grizzlies vs Trail Blazers Final Prediction

Heading into this game, although the Grizzlies could potentially be down multiple key pieces again, they should be able to dominate with their great depth. Playing a Blazers team that has struggled with consistency and efficient scoring, this Memphis squad should control both ends of the floor. With Ja Morant likely returning, his ability to drive and dribble is something he can beat an athletic guard like Scoot Henderson with every time. As someone who is a great shooter as well and can make huge rebounds down the stretch, he will be able to handle Scoot offensively with ease. If not Scotty Pippen Jr, will make the start once again and still create an advantage over the Blazers guard with his size and ability to get rebounds, plus dribble the ball inside to kick it out to many open shooters. Being someone who loves looking in the paint like Ja, Pippen Jr. should continue attacking the Grizzlies' main scorer Jaren Jackson Jr. for easy layups or stretch him out for three. As someone who has a chance to go up against Jerami Grant, his size will help him easily finish over a much weaker defender too. This coupled with the fact that he is one of the best shot blockers in the league, Grant will have a tough time attacking this hoop on a normal basis. Having this in addition to Zach Edey’s huge presence in the middle to take out De’Andre Ayton completely, Memphis should easily win the rebounding advantage in this game. Having Luke Kennard start at that small forward spot, his three-point-making ability should match the scoring of Shaedeon Sharpe and Toumani Camara as they both have been struggling a heavy amount recently. But, if Anfernee Simmons can step up his game, Portland could keep it competitive.

Our prediction: The Memphis Grizzlies will win this game, and cover the -4.5 spread, plus the score will go over 218.5 points.