Golden State v Rockets Prediction and Betting Tips 6 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
06.12.2024 00:54
Golden State v Rockets Prediction
With the Golden State Warriors currently being on a huge losing streak and struggling to finish games, they play a Houston Rockets that has been red-hot over their last couple of weeks. As this Warriors unit comes off a 113-105 defeat to Phoenix, the Rockets won their last game in clutch fashion against OKC. This matchup will occur on December 6th at 8:30 in Chase Center of San Franciso. Below are our key betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head matchups to create a prediction for this game.
Golden State v Rockets Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Moneyline Pick
With this money line being -155 for Houston, it is a great pick as they are the stronger defensive unit. Led by Jalen Green and Fred VanVleet in the backcourt, this duo should easily outscore plus have more assists than Stephen Curry plus Buddy Hield. Knowing that the small forward battle will be won by Dillon Brooks due to his rebounding and lockdown defense over Andrew Wiggins, Jabari Smith Jr. will win a rare offensive battle in scoring against Draymond Green. With Alperen Sengun having more prowess as a passer, board-getter, and scorer than Kevon Looney plus Trayce Jackson-Davis, this -155 money-line pick should be taken and help Houston build on a new streak.
2. Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Point Spread Pick
Seeing the spread is at -3 for the Houston Rockets, it is another shot for them to show themselves as the best two-way team in NBA play currently. Having Fred VanVleet at point guard, his ability to pass and create his shots will be vital against Stephen Curry. Although the great PG in Curry will hit a lot of threes and score tons of points, VanVleet will keep this battle somewhere around the competitive level by using rare speed to beat Curry’s defense. As VanVleet has proven to be a better defender in the clutch, he can help this Rockets squad get key steals when needed most. Seeing that Jalen Green remains a vital two-way piece for this unit, his ability to finish from outside or near the hoop can be unguardable at most times. Knowing that he is a super athletic product who seems to not miss when he is on his game, Green should dominate the weaker defense off Buddy Hield. Even though Hield can knock down threes with ease and create great looks, Green is such an improved close-out shooter to have a shot at keeping this Warriors shooting guard pretty quiet. Having Dillon Brooks's big frame as a small forward will be vital because he possesses body control to go side-to-side against someone like Andrew Wiggins. As Brooks won’t let him drive into the lane with a huge size advantage, he will force this Warriors forward into tons of tough looks due to a great energy that forces many shooters to create in weird angles. Having Jabari Smith Jr. as a much bigger and stronger rebounder plus blocker than Draymond Green, he should provide scoring with his rare ability to dunk at ease. Knowing Alperen Sengun remains the centerpiece of this Rockets offense, he should outplay Trayce Jackson-Davis plus Kevon Looney to help win this -3 spread for Houston.
3. Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under is 235.5 points in this game, it should be a great offensive battle between two squads that have amazing pieces all over the place. With Golden State having one of the best deep shooters at point guard, his ability to pass will really allow their shooting guard to knock down shots beyond the arc. Having a small forward that could finish inside or outside, their center duo will continue having strong inside scoring abilities. For Houston, they are once again led by a strong combo guard that can finish from anywhere and create for others. Knowing their shooting guard is a vital piece who makes great looks from all-around, this group's small forward is an elite-three-point shooter. Knowing that their power forward finishes from mid-range or inside, they have an amazing stretch five that can facilitate with passes as well. Looking at the combined score being 248 points last time out, it should be somewhere around that again.
Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Top Player Props
Andrew Wiggins under 17.5 points at 1.61: Seeing that Wiggins has been a very solid scorer this season, he hasn’t really been able to finish against stronger defenders. With Dillon Brooks being on him during this matchup, Wiggins will be taken out of his easy looks and high-percentage shots due to Houston’s small forward’s physical size. Knowing that Andrew Wiggins has averaged 17.4 points a night, he should hit under his season average in this game.
Jalen Green over 18.5 points at 1.80: As the Rockets shooting guard continues being an amazing all-around shooter, he should have another great performance. With a matchup against a weaker defender like Buddy Hield, Green should find his spaces and great looks to dominate again. Averaging 18.9 points a game, he should go way over this line during this vital head-to-head against Golden State.
Golden State Warriors vs Houston Injury News & Impact
Golden State Warriors Injuries: As Stephen Curry, 22.5 points and 6.3 assists, is set to return this matchup, they will still be without De’Anthony Melton, 10.3 points, as a key shooting guard.
Houston Rockets Injuries: With Houston not having any current injuries at the moment, they should continue running the same lineups that have made this unit successful under Ime Udoka.
Golden State v Rockets Head-to-Head Trends
As the Warriors have won 14 straight games against Houston, this huge streak will finally come to an end with the Rockets having finally shown a lot of growth into a top NBA squad. Seeing that this Houston squad has still managed to score over 100 points in 9 of their last 10 matchups against Golden State, they should have another strong offensive performance after putting 112.3 per game in their last three. Although the Rockets are 1-14 against the spread in their last 15 games, they should really start a run to close into this record.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, Houston is favored by 60.8% of bettors to win this game against Golden State.
Golden State v Rockets Final Prediction
Knowing that Houston has been on a very hot streak and seems to keep piling on wins, they will be facing a squad in Golden State that is going the other way. Having a great ability to score and lockdown others with ease, this Rockets squad should have the edge once again. Led by guard Fred VanVleet, he continues being a solid scorer from everywhere and creates with his passing. Although VanVleet’s matchup will be the prowess of Stephen Curry as one of the best deep shooters ever, the gap won’t be that wide because VanVleet can attack someone like Curry with a quick pace. Knowing that he has been a fantastic defender as well, Fred VanVleet will be the better piece to come up with a steal in crunch time than Curry and finish down the other end. Having Jalen Green right next to him at shooting guard, this Rockets star should continue being their top all-around scorer. Someone who can hit the three, while also driving in for dunks or layups, his matchup against Buddy Hield’s defense will be won with ease. Knowing that Green has been a much stronger defender as well, he should create a lot of harder looks for Buddy Hield from three with his elite close-out prowess.
With Dillon Brooks going up against Andrew Wiggins, the Rockets guard should continue using his strength and vital ability to maintain control against someone who can dribble. As Brooks will not let Wiggins drive in at all as a key side-to-side defender with a lot of physicality, he can cause Andrew Wiggins into a lot of bad giveaways to create transition offense. Knowing Brooks is a key three-point shooter, he should continue firing away with space in this game. Having Jabari Smith Jr. at power forward gives Houston a huge rebounding and blocking advantage against Draymond Green due to this Rocket’s pieces abilities as a great jumper. Someone who can have dunks inside plus finish through layups, he will use dominating size as a positive to finish from mid-range. In the middle, Alperen Sengun continues providing great rebounding, passing, and scoring from all over, which should be further established in an advantage against Trayce Jackson-Davis plus Kevon Looney. Seeing that Houston has aggressive pieces like Amen Thompson and Tari Eason off the bench, Golden State can win if Johnathon Kuminga plus Bradin Poziemski can produce efficiently.
Our prediction: Houston Rockets win this game and cover their -3 spread, while the score goes over 235.5 points.
.webp)
BeGambleAware.org