NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction,17th November
NLB Staff
16.11.2024 13:12
Lakers vs Pelicans Prediction
Seeing that this Lakers squad enters this game having improved their fundamentals of aggressive play under J.J. Reddick, they place an extremely injured New Orleans Pelicans squad. With Los Angeles coming off a masterful 5-point closeout against the Memphis Grizzlies, the Pelicans have been on a massive losing streak. This matchup will occur on November 17th at 6:30 A.M. IST in Smoothie King Center of New Orleans. Below are our top player props, vital injuries, key head-to-head trends, and betting tips to create an accurate outcome for this matchup.
Lakers vs Pelicans Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans Moneyline Pick
As the moneyline is -215 for the Lakers in this game, it looks like a perfect selection for them to win because of their healthy strength. Having Austin Reaves outplaying the abilities of Brandon Boston Jr., the only place they will be outscored at is shooting guard with Brandon Ingram. As the frontcourt will be a huge win for the Lakers having Lebron and Anthony Davis score more than Yves Missi plus Javonte Green, it should show that the difference will have a huge margin in this game. Knowing that and Dalton Knecht’s development for Los Angeles as well, their -215 money line should help them win their 2nd straight against New Orleans.
2. Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans Point Spread Pick
Seeing that the spread for this game is at -6.5 for the Lakers, they should be able to have advantages at almost every position. Seeing that Austin Reaves gets to go against a young and smaller Brandon Boston Jr., he should use scoring and defensive abilities to dominate this battle. Meanwhile, Brandon Ingram will try his best by dominating Cam Reddish to help New Orleans keep it somewhat close but the aspect of Trey Murphy III just coming back from injury against Rui Hachimura will be a very tough situation. As Hachimura has become a great rebounder and puts back a lot of shots, he will be their amazing frontcourt. With the Lakers having Anthony Davis handling Yves Missi with ease a great scorer and rebounder, he should continue having another top-level performance. Lebron’s ability to pass and create for others, while also making his shot gives him a huge size advantage over Javonte Green. Noticing this, the Lakers should win their -6.5 spread.
3. Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the money line pick in this game is 224.5 points, it looks like a great take because of the Lakers' ability to carry it. Although the Pelicans have a great small forward who can put up points with ease, this Los Angeles team has one of the best scoring power forward/center duos. Having a solid backcourt that New Orleans could somewhat match, this should be a pretty high-scoring game but not something too crazy. With their last game going for 232 points, this one should have a similar score.
Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans Top Player Props
Anthony Davis is over 26.5 points at 1.77: As Anthony Davis has continued to put together an MVP-like season, he has developed into one of the best all-around scorers in the league. Scoring from the inside or mid-range, his perimeter should be something Yves Missi will struggle as well due to not being quick enough. Having Davis average 30.2 points a night, he should be able to continue being around that same line in this game.
Brandon Ingram is over 23.5 points at 1.83: Having someone like Brandon Ingram as a major scoring threat will help this Pelicans team be within striking distance. As he goes up against Cam Reddish from the shooting guard position, his size advantage and ability to shoot from inside or out will play a huge role in his scoring output. Given that he is someone who averages 22.5 points a night, he should be able to hit the over in this matchup.
Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans Injury News & Impact
Los Angeles Lakers Injuries: Although Rui Hachimura and Anthony Davis are questionable for this matchup against New Orleans, they both are most likely going to play their full minutes in this game. As Jarred Vanderbilt, 4.8 rebounds, remains out, the Lakers have missed his defensive prowess this season and had to rely on Jaxson Hayes getting beat by most forwards in the middle at his center position. Knowing this, his ability to come back all depends on how his conditioning tests play out.
New Orleans Pelicans Injuries: As one of the most injured rosters in the league, this Pelicans squad literally can’t run any of the rotations they originally thought of. With Zion Williamson, 22.7 points, being ruled out yet again due to his hamstring injury, his missing puts a lot of pressure on Brandon Ingram to carry the offense single-handedly. Although Dejounte Murray, 14 points with 10 assists in the season opener, still is dealing with a wrist injury, one piece of good news is they got Brandon Ingram to replace him at the 1 or 2 in the backcourt. As Jose Alvarado is potentially going to be out because of his left hamstring injury, this squad will have to rely on Brandon Boston Jr. to play extended minutes as someone who just got the starting role. With Herbert Jones still out, his defensive prowess is missed in the middle with Yves Missi starting, and so is the three-point shooting threat of CJ McCollum at shooting guard.
Lakers vs Pelicans Head-to-Head Trends
As the Lakers have controlled the Pelicans for the most part in recent history, this squad has won 5 of their last 6 games vs New Orleans. On a current 2-game winning streak against this Pelicans roster, they hope to expand on that by having the 11th straight game of scoring over 100 points for Los Angeles. As the Lakers are 4-1 against the spread in the previous 5 matchups, they have averaged 131.5 points over their previous two matchups as well.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, 73.7% of the bettors have the Los Angeles Lakers beating the New Orleans Pelicans in convincing fashion.
Lakers vs Pelicans Final Prediction
As the Los Angeles Lakers look like the much healthier side entering this matchup and have been stronger for the most part entering this game, they should control the temp throughout this game. Led by Austin Reaves after the previous D’Angelo Russell benching, he has continued to be a great passer and scorer from his point guard position. Someone who has a size advantage over a young Brandon Boston Jr. can also shut him down defensively due to his ability to stop many quick guards from driving through the lane. In addition, Reaves has been a very stealer for this team and creates a lot of extra opportunities that are needed down the stretch of games. Going against a less experienced dribbler like the Pelicans point guard, he should handle that matchup with ease. With Brandon Ingram being the only advantage for New Orleans over Cam Reddish, his scoring ability has become something unstoppable. As Ingram knows how to create off fade-aways and even adds a great dunking element to his game, he should have a great look at the basket every time with a smaller Reddish in front of him. A big mismatch during this game will be when Rui Hachimura continues crashing the glass at the small forward position against a much smaller Trey Murphy III. Seeing that he has been able to continuously also create shots inside, Murphy is just returning from injury and needs to get back into in-game form before he can take charge. As Lebron James continues to be one of the key scorers on this team, his matchup against Javonte Green is something he should dominate with ease. As James can continue working through his big frame and set up for either dunks or perimeter shots, he should have his way against the Pelicans power forward. Being that he is a great rebounder as well, James ability to pass inside to Anthony Davis is something Yves Missi will have no shot in stopping. As Davis continues to keep scoring and putting in dunks, his height advantage over Missi will also be a key factor in winning the rebounding battle along with having unbelievable strength. With Dalton Knecht coming off the bench for this Lakers roster, they should cruise to one of their easiest victories of the year.
Our prediction: Los Angeles Lakers win and cover their -6.5 spread, while the score goes over 224.5 points.
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