Nuggets vs Golden State Prediction and Betting Tips 4 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
03.12.2024 00:43
Nuggets vs Golden State Prediction
As the Denver Nuggets enter this game having started putting things together and being on a roll, they play a Warriors roster who have found themselves on a big losing streak. Seeing that the Nuggets won their last game 122-103 against Utah, Golden State ended up taking another tough loss against Phoenix. This matchup will take place on December 4th at 8:30 A.M. IST in the Ball Center of Denver. Below are our key betting tips, vital injuries, top player props, and head-to-head trends to create a prediction for this matchup.
Nuggets vs Golden State Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Moneyline Pick
As the money line is at -140 for Denver in this game, it should be chosen due to their strength on both ends. Having a vital piece in Jamal Murray and Christian Braun should have a slightly higher total than those of Buddy Hield plus Stephen Curry. Knowing that Miachel Porter Jr. is a better rebounder plus scorer than Andrew Wiggins, Peyton Watson should have a rare advantage against Draymond Green. With Nikola Jokic finishing inside at a top level and being a creative passer against the Warriors' two centers, Denver should win their 8th straight matchup against Golden State.
2. Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Point Spread Pick
Knowing that the Nuggets have a -1.5 spread in this game, it should be taken due to their overall prowess as a two-way unit. Led by Jamal Murray as one of the best passing and shooting guards, his prowess will be on display once again in an offensive battle. Going up against Stephen Curry, neither of their defenses will make much of an impact and they both should have a very similar stat line with a ton of assists plus threes made. Although Buddy Hield has been a great knock-down shooter for Golden State this season, he plays someone in Christian Braun who will attack his weak defense. As Braun should outscore him, he will use size and length to drive in with ease, while also creating looks from beyond mid-range. With Miachel Porter Jr. having a strong height advantage against Andrew Wiggins, he should end up having way more boards plus deep shots because of more overall skills. Even though Wiggins has shown prowess to stop some taller scorers this season, Miachel Porter Jr. is someone who can’t miss if he keeps firing away. As Peyton Watson should be a similar all-around player to Draymond Green, Nikola Jokic has a massive advantage as a rebounder, scorer, and passer against Trayce Jackson-Davis plus Kevon Looney. Therefore, the -1.5 spread looks perfect for this game.
3. Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
Seeing that over/under in this game is at 234.5 points, it will be very high-scoring due to the skill of both teams' offensive weapons. As Denver is led by a point guard who can finish inside with ease, their shooting guard continues knocking down key deep shots. Having a small forward who can provide perimeter chances at a high level, their center continues to be this unit's top all-around threat. With a physically imposing point guard off the bench, they play a Warriors squad that has one of the greatest outside shooters at point guard. Someone who can pass as well, he has another great scorer next to him at shooting guard. Knowing that their forward duo can finish shots in the box at a very high level, their duo of centers will continue providing inside scoring. With this, the score of the matchup should be well over their 222 combined points from last time.
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Top Player Props
Nikola Jokic over 28.5 points at 1.71: As the Nuggets center continues providing great all-around scoring near the basket, his prowess will be key for this Denver roster to win. Being matched up against Kevon Looney, Jokic should use size and skill to find his shot while finishing inside with ease. Seeing that Nikola Jokic averages 29.7 points a night, he should hit the over in this game.
Stephen Curry over 23.5 points at 1.87: With the Warriors point guard continuing to be a key piece as a three-point shooter plus inside scorer, he should show prowess once again. Going up against Jamal Murray, this guard should continue to have a great offensive duel because of his great ball-handling skills. As Stephen Curry is averaging 22.5 points a night, he should go over the season average during the matchup.
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Injury News & Impact
Denver Nuggets Injuries: As Aaron Gordon, 15.4 points and 6.7 rebounds, is still out due to his calf issue, Peyton Watson will start at that position again.
Golden State Warriors Injuries: Seeing that De’Anthony Melton, 10.3 points, is not available due to his Torn ACL, this unit will rely on Buddy Hield to continue shooting at a high level.
Nuggets vs Golden State Head-to-Head Trends
As the Denver Nuggets have won 7 straight games against the Warriors, they should continue keeping this streak going as they enter as favorites once again. Having scored over 100 points 10 straight times, the Nuggets should continue the trend of averaging 123 points per game over their past 3 matchups. With the Nuggets being 10-1 against the spread over their last 11 games, they should continue building this record to make it even stronger.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the public trends, Denver is backed by 58.2% of bettors to beat Golden State in this matchup.
Nuggets vs Golden State Final Prediction
As Denver continues being one of the hottest teams in NBA play, they have become unbeatable over the past couple of matchups. Going up against a currently struggling Golden State Warriors team, this group will be led by Jamal Murray at point guard. Seeing that the Nuggets guard continues finishing inside with ease while knocking down outside shots and hitting shooters wide-open, his prowess should continue in an offensive battle with Stephen Curry. With the Warriors' PG being an elite assist creator plus deep-shooter as well, it will be competitive, but Murray has shown an ability to come up clutch on defense when in crunch time this season. Meanwhile, Christian Braun will start at shooting guard for the Nuggets and has shown form to score from anywhere on the floor. Someone who can also finish inside, he will go up against a great shooter in Buddy Hield who doesn’t have great defense. As the Warriors' shooting guard gives up many open looks throughout games, Braun will exploit the holes and finish at his own will throughout.
With Miachel Porter Jr. playing the small forward position, his greatness to be a lethal threat from beyond the arc and the mid-range is something Wiggins can’t handle because he is smaller. As Andrew Wiggins tries to attack back, the height of Miachel Porter Jr. will be too much and cause multiple blocks for opportunities down the other way. Seeing that Porter Jr. is going to win the rebounding advantage as well, he should help Peyton Watson inside. Knowing that Watson is going up against Draymond Green’s top-tier defense, his ability to play an all-around game will match that of the Warriors star. With Nikola Jokic being the leader and main offensive player for Denver in the middle, his prowess as a do-it-all leader should help this Denver squad dominate Trayce Jackson-Davis plus Kevon Looney in the middle. As Denver has Russell Westbrook and Julian Strawher off the bench, Golden State can keep it close if Johnathon Kuminga plus Bradin Podziemski play at a top-level.
Our prediction: Denver Nuggets win this game and cover their -2.5 spread, while the score goes over 234.5 points.
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