Hawks vs Bucks Prediction and Betting Tips 5 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
04.12.2024 13:57
Hawks vs Bucks Prediction
As the Atlanta Hawks have finally put things together and look like a dangerous squad entering the middle part of this season, they play another red-hot team in Milwaukee. With Atlanta having won their last game 107-104 against Charlotte, the Bucks come off their 6th straight win after beating Washington. This matchup will take place on December 5th at 6:30 in State Farm Arena of Atlanta. Below are our key betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head trends to create an accurate prediction for this game.
Hawks vs Bucks Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Moneyline Pick
With this moneyline pick being at -127, it should be taken because Milwaukee is more explosive on both ends. Led by Damian Lillard, his connection with Gary Trent Jr. should completely outscore the duo of Trae Young plus Dyson Daniels. Having Taurean Prince’s defense on De’Andre Hunter, his slight size advantage should help him gain more rebounds and finish better. With Giannias Antetoukompo dominating Jalen Johnson as a board-getter plus scorer, Brook Lopez should be a physical center inside that can knock down outside shots against a rebounder in Clint Capela. Seeing this, the -127 money line is an easy win for this Milwaukee unit and 3rd straight vs Atlanta.
2. Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Point Spread Pick
Seeing that the spread is at -1.5 for the Bucks, it should be taken as they have much more superstardom to lead the way. As Damian Lillard starts at point guard, his ability to shoot long-range shots and create for others continues to be a huge part of facilitating this offense. Having to go up against Trae Young, it will be an offensive shootout between two weaker defenders, but the key is that Dame comes up big-time on defense when needed most. As someone who can rebound better as well, Lillard will have a slight advantage against Young in an all-around aspect. With Gary Trent Jr. being a catch-and-shoot player, it will be a rare game that Dyson Daniels doesn’t get multiple steals since this Bucks shooting guard doesn’t dribble. As Daniels hasn’t been as great of a close-out shooter, as a stealer this season, he will struggle a bit and potentially could lose scoring opportunities due to Trent Jr.’s size on defense. With Taurean Prince being a bigger body than De’Andre Hunter, his ability to create offensive plus defensive rebounds and multiple blocks will be a vital aspect. As Prince can be another knockdown shooter, Hunter will not be able to completely handle him with a size disadvantage and may be taken down the lane for a few dunks as well. With Giannias Antetokoumpo having a huge rebounding, scoring, plus blocking advantage against Jalen Johnson, Brook Lopez should continue being a wall in the middle that dominates Clint Capela in many statistical categories as well. Therefore, the spread of -1.5 should be perfect for Milwaukee.
3. Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under in this game is 226.5 points, they should both have productive scoring nights as two high-octane offenses. With Atlanta having one of the best deep shooters and passers at point guard, their SG has continued to be a great scorer outside the arc and in mid-range areas. Having a forward duo that can provide inside and space on the floor, their center continues to be a vital put-back piece. Meanwhile, the Bucks are led by an elite combo guard who can shoot long-range shots with ease, while their shooting guard continues growing as a three-point shooter. Having a power forward that can finish near the basket or inside perimeter areas, they have a stretch five that comes up big on corner long-range shots. Having some vital bench pieces that can score tons as well, these teams should be around their combined 235 points from last time out.
Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Top Player Props
Trae Young over 9.5 assists at 1.67: As one of the best passers in NBA play, Trae Young will continue finding open shooters or players with space throughout this game. Going up against Damian Lillard, he should attack the Bucks guard’s weak defense with ease by using dribbles to create high-percentage looks. Someone averaging 12.1 assists a night, he should be somewhere around here once again.
Damian Lillard over 25.5 points at 1.80: Seeing that the Bucks point guard has found his elite three-point shooting form, he can still drive in at a high level. Being able to attack someone like Trae Young with ease throughout this game, Lillard should have a huge performance because he will get many great looks. As Dame has averaged 25.9 points a night, he should continue building on this average.
Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks Injury News & Impact
Atlanta Hawks Injuries: As Cody Zeller, 2.6 rebounds, is still out due to personal reasons, this group will return Bogdan Bogdanovic after a hamstring injury he suffered.
Milwaukee Bucks Injuries: With Khris Middleton still not available due to his ankle injury, this group will have to rely on Taurean Prince as a less efficient shooter at small forward.
Hawks vs Bucks Head-to-Head Trends
With the Milwaukee Bucks having won two straight games against Atlanta, they hope to make this winning streak even longer as the more skilled team. A group that has scored over 100 points 5 times in a row vs Atlanta, they should have another masterful offensive performance after scoring 127 during their last two. Being 5-3 against the spread over their previous 8 matchups, this Bucks squad hopes to make their record look stronger after this game.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the public trends for this matchup, Milwaukee is favored by 55.9% of bettors to win this game.
Hawks vs Bucks Final Prediction
As the Atlanta Hawks have lately been one of the hottest teams, they will face one that can’t stop losing in Milwaukee. Seeing that the Bucks have finally put things together and grown game by game, they should dominate from start to finish. Led by Damian Lillard, he continues showing prowess as one of the best long-range shooters and passers in NBA play. Going up against another combo guard in Trae Young, this battle should include a lot of offense throughout. Even though both defenders are weak, Damian Lillard has always shown to be clutch on defense with steals plus deflections when it comes to crunch time. Seeing that this game will end up there, he should have an impact then and be a better board-getter over Trae Young, to have a better performance. As Dyson Daniels isn’t much of a great three-point defender for Atlanta, Gary Trent Jr. should continue to get his shot going with ease while not having to dribble. Taking out the ability of Daniels to steal the ball, Trent Jr. will force Daniels into a lot of tough shots the other way with his length advantage over the Hawks guard.
With Taurean Prince starting across De’Andre Hunter, his prowess as a big-body defender will not let Atlanta’s forward get through the lanes. Someone who can close out on threes as well, he will leave Hunter with no choice but to force away a ton of passes. Meanwhile, Prince will continue having a masterful inside scoring game using his size and strength while knocking down vital threes for this unit. Having Giannias Antetoukompo against Jalen Johnson is a huge mismatch for the Milwaukee squad because they have a piece that can get more boards, finish inside, plus create blocks at a much higher rate. As Brook Lopez is a great outside shooter and rebounder over Clint Capela at center, this Bucks unit has vital pieces like Bobby Portis Jr. and Pat Counnaughton off the bench. Meanwhile, Atlanta can keep it close if Zaccharie Risacher and Oneyka Okowngu keep developing at very high levels.
Our prediction: Milwaukee Bucks win this game and cover their -1.5 spread, while the score goes over 226.5 points.
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