NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction, 12th November
NLB Staff
11.11.2024 13:29
Sac Kings vs Spurs Prediction
As the Sacramento Kings have turned it up a notch this season in their scoring abilities, they will face a Spurs team that hopes to continue rebuilding around their future superstar center. Although the Kings had ended up with a tough loss against the Clippers, so did the Spurs as they fell 111-110 to Utah. This matchup will take place on November 12th at 6:30 A.M. in Frost Bank Center of San Antonio. Below are our key betting odds, top player props, head-to-head trends, and important injuries to create a prediction for this game.
Sac Kings vs Spurs Key Betting Tips & Predictions
1. Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Moneyline Pick
As the money line for this game is at -115 for Sacramento, it is a great take due to their ability to close out games and take advantage of offense. Having three important scorers in De’Aaron Fox, Domantas Sabonis, and DeMar DeRozan, they should have a majority of the points against a much more inexperienced Spurs squad. Although San Antonio has Victor Wembanyba as a stone wall in the middle, Keegan Murray can easily attack Harrison Barnes causing more support for him from Wemby. If that happens, Sabonis will get a lot of free one-on-one or open looks and be able to change the pace of this game. With Fox’s speed and the ability of Huerter to knock down threes over Devin Vasell, this Kings team should hit their -115 money line for the 4th straight time.
2. Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Point Spread Pick
In a matchup that should be very tightly contested, the King's -1.5 spread looks great because they have a slight edge. With Domantas Sabonis starting at center, his ability to really create looks for others and also work on his perimeter shot will make it a scary threat against someone like Victor Wembanyaba. Although Wemby is a great offensive player and shot blocker in his own right, this game will feature a mismatch with Sabonis forcing a switch on Harrison Barnes so Keegan Murray could also be open for threes. As the front court for Sacramento is led by De’Aaron Fox, his agility to get to the basket and great spacing should allow him to score at ease against a much older Chris Paul. Even though Paul has shown great leadership this season, his old ways of defense have been passed by and should lead to an easier game for Fox. Meanwhile, Kevin Heurter should continue being one of the better wing defenders against Devin Vassell, causing him into a few tough shots while returning the favor on the other end through threes. Seeing this plus the scoring ability of Demar DeRozan against a young defender, the Kings should win this game in the last two minutes and cover their -1.5 spread.
3. Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Over/Under Pick (Total Points)
As the over/under in this game is at 220.5 points, both teams should be able to put in a huge number of points. Seeing the Kings having a big three that can score from anywhere and also deliver in the paint, their second-best wing has turned into one of the best perimeter shooters. Meanwhile, San Antonio is led by a star center whose ability to shoot the three-ball has opened up a lot of room for their backcourt to dominate as a strong duo. Having an excellent wing who can shoot threes and a power forward who is known for his fadeaway, this should be a high-scoring matchup. As both teams combined for 260 points in their last matchup, it should be somewhere around there during this game.
Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Top Player Props
Domantas Sabonis over 16.5 points at 1.91: With Sabonis having to play Wemby in the middle, many would expect his offensive performance to go down. But, in reality, he should be trending up due to a strong mid-range game that Victor Wembanyaba will have a tough time closing on plus his ability to knock down threes. For someone who is averaging 20.6 points a night, his scoring total in this game should be somewhat similar.
Victor Wembanyaba over 20.5 points at 1.69: Seeing that Victor Wembanyaba has been one of the best all-around shooters, he should continue being a driving force with his size against Domantas Sabonis. Someone who is averaging 18.3 points a night, should continue working to build up that average. Playing a much weaker defensive presence in this game, he should hit the over during this game.
Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs Injury News & Impact
Sacramento Kings Injuries: Having no current injuries on the roster, this Kings unit should be able to run similar systems to continue their offensive greatness this season.
San Antonio Spurs Injuries: As the Spurs already had Jermey Soachan out for a while, they lost a key role player in Tre Jones. Being one of their best rotational pieces as a passer, 3.0 assists, losing him to an ankle injury will give Blake Wesley more playing time. With this unit potentially getting Malaki Branham back, he could create a great combination with Keldon Johnson of the bench for this Spurs squad at forward.
Sac Kings vs Spurs Head-to-Head Trends
As the Kings have won three straight games against San Antonio they look to keep their streak going after showing more all-around prowess this season. Having seen that most of these games end within an 8-point differential, it will be a very close game on hands with Sacramento having a small advantage. Since both teams have scored over 100 points in their last 18 games and the Kings are 4-1 against the spread vs San Antonio, this will be a very tightly contested game that should bolster the Kings' record.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Heading into this contest, the Sacramento Kings are predicted to knock off the San Antonio Spurs by 71% of bettors.
Sac Kings vs Spurs Final Prediction
As the Sacramento Kings should enter this game with a lot of motivation after struggling against the Clippers, their matchup against the Spurs should be a huge benefit for them. Although San Antonio has shown improvement, the intensity the Kings run with is something that can’t be beaten by their squad. With De’Aaron Fox up top as the lead point guard once again, his greatness to finish at the basket and use speed down the open court to play-make from both ends is something he will have a huge advantage over Chris Paul with. Although Paul has still been a pretty solid passer this season, Fox’s speed is something that he won’t be able to test and could lead to a lot of easy layups for the Kings. At shooting guard, the Spurs do have an advantage with Devin Vassell as an all-around scorer, but Kevin Huerter’s three and defensive abilities should keep him contained a little more. Seeing that Demar Derozan has been a very solid addition to this Kings roster, he should be able to take Julian Champiegne to the basket on every single drive. Even if he doesn’t get those looks, DeRozan's ability to find wide-open shots and create space against smaller defenders will help him a ton in this game. As Sacramento still has Keegan Murray playing at a dominant level from his power forward position, his dominance as a wing shooter is something Harrison Barnes could have trouble facing as a much older plus weaker defender. Even though Barnes brings his offensive game, the main matchup will be inside between Domantas Sabonis and Victor Wembanyaba. With Wemby being one of the best blockers in the league, he will have an advantage on the rebounding end, but won’t be able to stop Sabonis prowess as a passer. With the Kings center being one of the best playmakers at his position, Wembanyaba could have a tough time guarding that and in the confusion could let up easy layups. With Sacramento being dominant in all these facets, one key during this matchup is if San Antonio can stop Malik Monk off the bench and get more from Keldon Johnson, this game will be way closer.
Our prediction: Sacramento wins this game and covers their -1.5 spread, while the total goes over 220.5 points.
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