Spurs and Kings Prediction and Betting Tips 7 Dec 2024 - NBA Prediction
NLB Staff
06.12.2024 19:50
Spurs and Kings Prediction
Seeing that the San Antonio Spurs have shown great progress throughout this season, they play a Sacramento squad that continues struggling to find sustained success so far. With the Spurs having already beat Sacramento in the past week 127-125, this Kings' unit also managed to lose to Houston. This matchup will occur on December 7th at 6:30 A.M. IST in Frost Bank Center of San Antonio. Below are our key betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head matchups to create a potential scoreline for this game.
Spurs and Kings Betting Tips & Predictions
1. San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings Moneyline Pick
Seeing that the Spurs have a -185 money line pick, it should be taken due to their much more talented roster. Having Chris Paul and Devin Vassell as a much better passing plus scoring duo than De’Aaron Fox in addition to Malik Monk, they should be a big part of this Kings' success. Knowing that Demar Derozan will potentially give Sacramento an advantage against Julian Champigene scoring-wise, his inconsistency plus the Spurs' small forward’s all-around game will keep it much closer. With Harrison Barnes being a rebounding plus scoring advantage over Keegan Murray, this Spurs unit will have a slight advantage at center scoring-wise, while Wemby is the way better rebounder plus blocker over Domantas Sabonis. All in all, the -185 money line should be taken for San Antonio and their 3rd straight win vs Sacramento in a row.
2. San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings Point Spread Pick
With the spread being at -3 for San Antonio, they should have an advantage on both ends due to their skills from various positions. Having Chris Paul be a great passer who can provide abilities to drive in and knock down the three, he remains the new-founded leader on this roster. Seeing that he will match up against De’Aaron Fox, the King's guard should score with ease because of his speed plus shot-making ability as well, but Paul’s prowess of creating loose balls is going to come up big. As someone who will poke in Fox’s passes when trying to go for assists, he will make this matchup much closer due to his ability to create extra positions for San Antonio and help three-point looks in transition. With Devin Vassell right next to him as a strong wing piece, his greatness of shooting deep shots plus creating inside looks has helped this Spurs unit grow even more as an offensive squad. Matching up with a smaller defender in Malik Monk, Vassell will have the ability to drive in or look for vital shots beyond the arc while playing a strong level of perimeter defense against a three-point shooter like Monk. As Vassell can close out, he will limit the Kings' guard’s ability to play his strongest role. Having a small forward in Demar Derozan for Sacramento may give his unit a scoring advantage with all-around abilities to create shots, but Julian Champiegne will limit his game by having some elite paint defense plus blocking abilities. As Champigene has great prowess as a rebounder plus passer over Demar Derozan, the power forward position should be dominated by Harrison Barnes's mid-range game against Keegan Murray’s poor defense. With Victor Wembanyama being a key all-around scorer who creates blocks against someone like Domantas Sabonis, San Antonio should have an advantage inside and win the -3 spread with ease.
3. San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento KingsOver/Under Pick (Total Points)
Knowing that the over/under is at 225.5 points, both teams will have multiple scoring threats that provide great value. As this Spurs unit will have one of the best passers and finishers at point guard, their shooting guard continues improving as a jump shooter. Knowing that their small forward can hit threes or finish inside, having a mid-range scorer at power forward gives the unit a lot of hope. Having a center that continues dominating in the middle as an all-around threat, they play a Kings unit led by one of the most athletic combo guards. Seeing that their small forward can create from anywhere, this unit has a do-it-all center who can hit deep shots or inside, while grabbing boards and creating for others. With a shooting guard that can shoot threes, this game should go somewhere around the 252-point mark from last time.
San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings Top Player Props
Victor Wembanyama over 22.5 points at 1.71: As the Spurs center continues being a dominating offensive force in the middle, he will continue providing from near the hoop or beyond the arc. Going up against Domantas Sabonis, Wemby’s size will play a massive factor in allowing him to dunk plus shoot perimeter shots with ease. Knowing that Victor Wembanyama averages 23.5 points a night, he should go over the line in this game.
De’Aaron Fox over 24.5 points at 1.61: Seeing that the Kings point guard continues providing elite offense for this unit, he should have another dominating performance. Being someone who uses speed to cut toward the basket and create space from outside, he should dominate a past-his-prime Chris Paul’s defense. As Fox averages 27.2 points a night, he should be around his season average in this matchup.
San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings Injury News & Impact
San Antonio Spurs Injuries: Having Tre Jones, 4.1 points, still out due to a shoulder strain, this unit will be without their key backup point guard once again.
Sacramento Kings Injuries: Seeing Trey Lyles is not available with a right calf strain, this Kings unit loses a vital depth piece in this unit.
Spurs and Kings Head-to-Head Trends
As the San Antonio Spurs have won two straight matchups against the Kings, they will continue working towards making this streak even bigger. Having scored over 100 points in 20 straight matchups, this Spurs unit has averaged 121.5 during their last two games. Being 3-3 against the spread over the last 6 matchups for both units, San Antonio should look to take an advantage in this series.
Betting Insights & Public Trends
Looking at the current public trends, San Antonio is picked by 60.1% of bettors to beat this Sacramento squad.
Spurs and Kings Final Prediction
Seeing that the Spurs have come off one of the hottest streaks in NBA play, they continue providing a lethal threat on both ends. Knowing that their offensive plus defensive game has taken huge strides ahead, they face an easier opponent in the Sacramento Kings. Led by Chris Paul at point guard, his ability to create for others and finish with layups inside has been a great addition along with leadership qualities. Matching up against De’Aaron Fox, his three-point shot will be vital as well to match Fox’s quick ability to drive in. As Fox has continued becoming a key part of the Kings offense, one key is that Chris Paul’s ability to poke loose balls and force turnovers when trailing dribbles can change this game. Seeing that he continues producing steals while also affecting passing lanes like he could do to Fox, the Spurs point guard will produce several additional transition opportunities for his unit. With Devin Vassell being an elite all-around shooter, his ability to finish from the painted areas and past them has become a scary threat for this San Antonio offense. Being a bigger body than Malik Monk, he can finish near the basket as well, while creating a ton of wing defense to slow down the Kings' shooting guard as a three-point shooter. Someone who continues forcing vital steals as well, he will be helped by Chris Paul to get down there for deep looks as well.
Knowing Demar Derozan will have another high-scoring offensive performance for Sacramento, it won’t come at as efficient off a rate. Seeing that Julian Champiegne has developed into a blocking threat his ability to come down with boards plus play rim defense will force Demar to shoot from outside. Having a lot of rough looks from there could affect DeRozan's came completely with Champiegne knowing how to close out, while the Spurs guard can provide his scoring with strength inside or out. Having Harrison Barnes as a vital mid-range scorer, this ability to knock down continuous shots against Keegan Murray will remain vital. Seeing that Victor Wembanyama is a great blocking plus all-around shooting threat against Domantas Sabonis’s offensive game, San Antonio should expect Keldon Johnson and Jermey Soachan to play huge roles off the bench. If Sacramento wants to keep it close, Keon Ellis plus Jae Crowder will have to continue producing at a high-rate.
Our prediction: San Antonio Spurs win this game and cover their -3 spread, while the score goes over 225.5 points.
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