NBA Picks and Betting Tips: Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 16th November

NLB Staff

15.11.2024 12:39

Grizzlies vs Golden State Prediction

As the Memphis Grizzlies have tried to stay consistent even though they are one of the most injured squads in the league, they will face a Golden State squad that continues being an elite offensive threat under head coach Steve Kerr. With the Grizzlies coming off a 5-point loss against Los Angeles, Golden State was able to knock off Dallas 120-117. This match will take place on November 16th at 8:30 A.M. IST. Below are our betting tips, top player props, vital injuries, and head-to-head trends to create a prediction for this game.

Grizzlies vs Golden State Key Betting Tips & Predictions

1. Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Moneyline Pick

As the moneyline for the Golden State Warriors is at -370 in this matchup, it is something that should be taken. With this Warriors squad having a great backcourt with Stephen Curry and De’Anthony Melton, it is something that Scotty Pippen Jr. plus Marcus Smart won’t match. Having an improved piece like Johnathon Kuminga getting Jaren Jackson Jr. will really help this team close-in on a place the Grizzlies would typically have a huge advantage at. With many shooters like Andrew Wiggins and Buddy Hield on Golden State that will continue providing big threes against defenders like Santi Aldama, this -370 moneyline should help Golden State win their 3rd straight one vs Memphis.

2. Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Point Spread Pick

For this game, the -8.5 spread should be taken for the Warriors because they look like the much stronger team overall. In a matchup they should dominate at every position, Stephen Curry will lead this unit at point guard. His continuous ability to pass and shoot from deep, while still being that great dribbler is a huge positive over Scotty Pippen’s lack of defense. As De’Anthony Melton has come in as this team’s new shooting guard, Marcus Smart will have a easier game defensively even though the Warriors two will be able to knock down a couple of important threes. Having a small forward like Andrew Wiggins who can rebound and score from anywhere on the floor, he should have a skill advantage over Santi Aldama. Although Aldama has great size and will provide rebounding plus some deep scoring for the Grizzlies, Wiggins over all game and intensity will out rule him. As Jaren Jackson Jr. continues playing at power forward, Jonathan Kuminga can have another good defensive performance due to his strength of slowing down scoring with people like the Grizzlies’s four’s size. In the middle, although Memphis has Zach Edey, the Warriors will be able to rotate between three great rebounding and defensive centers that provide immense length. Having Trayce Jackson-Davis, Draymond Green, and Kevon Looney there helps give the Warriors an advantage inside and win their -8.5 spread with ease.

3. Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Over/Under Pick (Total Points)

Noticing that the over/under is listed at 234.5 points, both offenses have terrific depth to make this a game filled with high-octane offense. As the Warriors have one of the best three-point shooting point guards, their new shooting guard has shown a lot of promise as an everyday player. Having a power forward who has developed as an inside and perimeter scorer, this unit also has a great all-around scoring wing in their starting lineup. With their bench being led by their main three-point shooting guard, this unit also has another center that provides fresh energy with inside scoring. On the other end, Memphis is led by a pretty solid scoring point guard who could make up a lot since the shooting guard is more defensive-minded. Having a much improved small forward who can play his role from three or near the basket, he helps the elite power forward of Memphis space the floor. Having a center with amazing size, this team also has another similar type of player who can create 2nd chance opportunities on the bench. Combining this with the fact that their last matchup was together 253 points, this should be another game in that range or could be lower by a tiny bit.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Top Player Props

Jaren Jackson Jr. under 21.5 points at 1.74: As Jaren Jackson Jr. has shown scoring prowess as a small forward, Jonathan Kuminga’s defense will play a huge role in slowing him down. With Draymond Green using his strength and leaping ability to try and close his ability to shoot floaters from the box, the Warriors have a third big man in Trayce Jackson-Davis who has also shown great ability to play perimeter defense. Knowing this wall that could be created, Jaren Jackson Jr. will score quite a bit lower than his season average of 22.5 points

Stephen Curry over 24.5 points at 1.80: With Curry having the ability to go against a smaller defender like Scotty Pippen Jr., his three-point shooting abilities and great dribbling skills will help him easily win this matchup. Being a huge advantage on his end, Curry has lately found a ton of form over the last several games. Averaging 23.9 points a night, the Warriors guard should hit the over and continue scoring points with ease.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Injury News & Impact

Memphis Grizzlies Injuries: Having Ja Morant, 20.6 points with 9.1 points, being ruled out due to his hip issue once again, this group will have to rely on Scotty Pippen Jr. to run the point. Although he has shown progress game-by-game, the current point guard, 12.1 points with 6.2 rebounds, has been a much lower volume player in all statistical categories than Ja. With Desmond Bane, 18.8 points and 5.4 rebounds, still out with his oblique injury, Marcus Smart will step in but has proven to be a much less efficient scoring option than Bane. As Brandon Clarke was out due to a toe injury at power forward on Wednesday, his questionable return alongside Vince Williams Jr. will continue to hurt the depth of this roster. Knowing this, the Grizzlies will once again have to rely on Jaren Jackson Jr. and Santi Aldama to carry a bigger role.

Golden State Warriors Injuries: As the Warriors don’t have any current injuries on their roster, Steve Kerr should use his depth and starting lineup to their full potential once again.

Grizzlies vs Golden State Head-to-Head Trends

Although the Grizzlies had a strong streak before Golden State built their current 2-game winning streak vs Memphis, their injuries and lack of depth will help the Warriors expand upon it. As this Golden State squad has won their last two games by 20 points or more, this likely is going to be another blowout victory for them. Having scored over 100 points in 7 straight games and is 5-2 vs spread against Memphis, the Warriors should improve on this record and separate themselves from the Grizzlies once again.

Betting Insights & Public Trends

As this game will take place, Golden State has 78.7% of all bettors backing their way to knock off the Memphis Grizzlies.

Grizzlies vs Golden State Final Prediction

As the Golden State Warriors have been a dominant squad on both ends of the floor this season, they should have control in this game. Seeing that Memphis has a multitude of injuries and the depth of Golden State is something unstoppable, they should have a positive at most positions during this game. Seeing that Stephen Curry has continued knocking down threes at a consistent rate and showing his prowess as someone who can still score at an elite level, another vital component to the guards' game is passing. Going up against a young Scotty Pippen Jr. who has shown potential to play all-around offense, his lack of defense could give Curry a lot of easy shots from the first quarter itself. Although this Warriors squad has a pretty solid shooting guard in De’Anthony Melton, Marcus Smart continues to show that his defense has been top-notch on Memphis’s side. As Smart will be able to close out on the former Grizzlies' threes, the one place Melton will have an advantage is when driving into the lane with his agility. Even though Smart will create a lot of loose ball opportunities, Curry’s passing accuracy could be very tough to stop when sending it to Melton. Given that Andrew Wiggins will once again start for this squad as a small forward, his ability to space the floor with threes and going for dunks should give Golden State a lot of flexibility. Going up against Santi Aldama, he should continue being able to use size and speed to finish at the rack, while playing solid defense. Although Aldama will provide some scoring abilities and rebounding on his own, it will be easier for Wiggins to manage this matchup with pure skill. Although the Grizzlies feature Jaren Jackson Jr. at power forward in this matchup, Jonathan Kuminga’s improvement will cause him to a less high-scoring game. As Kuminga has turned into a great blocker and can create steals, his ability to put in baskets from beyond the arc has been a key for Golden State. Knowing that Jaren Jackson is a much better paint defender and could be slowed down when having to come out, Kuminga’s shot-making ability will end up being massive in this game. Although Jackson could get blocks in this game against Draymond Green when switching and use some size advantage to finish inside, the Warriors' power forward will keep him silent from outside as a great perimeter defender. As Zach Edey should have a ton of rebounds inside against Draymond Green in the first rotation, the ability of Trayce-Jackson Davis to come in behind him will help this team grab boards over Edey with size. Seeing that Davis can create a lot of 2nd-chance points as well, he will be so that Draymond can move to power forward and they can give rebounding specialist Kevon Looney more time to dominate Brandon Clarke. Seeing this, the only way Memphis keeps this close is if Santi Aldama stays consistent and Brandon Boston Jr. can have a 20+ point scoring night.

Our prediction: Golden State Warriors win and cover their -8.5 spread, while the score goes over 234.5 points.