Warriors vs Hawks Prediction, 21st November NBA Picks and Betting Tips

NLB Staff

20.11.2024 02:27

Warriors v Hawks Prediction

Seeing that this Atlanta Hawks squad continues to try and develop with many of their offseason additions around Trae Young, they play one of the deepest Warriors squads that have shocked everyone in Western Conference play this season. As the Hawks come off a 109-108 victory vs Sacramento, this Golden State unit lost a tough matchup against the Clippers last time. This matchup will happen on November 21st at 8:30 A.M. IST in Chase Center of San Fransico. Underneath are our key betting tips, top player pros, vital injuries, and head-to-head trends to create a prediction for this matchup.

Warriors vs Hawks Key Betting Tips & Predictions

1. Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks Moneyline Pick

With the moneyline pick being -280 for the Golden State Warriors, this should be taken as it is a easy victory. Having the ability to score with Stephen Curry and Buddy Hield’s three-point prowess in the backcourt, it is something neither Dyson Daniels nor Trae Young could stop. As Draymond Green will keep imposing his will on Jalen Johnson and Andrew Wiggins outplays De’Andre Hunter, the Warriors should have a great plus at wing positions too. With Kevon Looney being a great rebounder over Clint Capela, while Trayce Jackson-Davis continues being one of the best scorers, the -280 for the Warriors should be taken and start a new streak vs Atlanta.

2. Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks Point Spread Pick

As Golden State has a -6.5 spread in this matchup, they should have a far better chance of winning this game due to the depth on their roster. With Stephen Curry starting at point guard, his ability to create in the middle and from three will be a great advantage against Trae Young. As a great passer and someone who can really create steals, he should limit the Hawks point guard’s passing ability. Although Young should still provide a lot of scoring and dishing out to his forward, Curry will overall win this matchup. Having Buddy Hield at shooting guard is another mismatch for the Hawks Dyson Daniels due to the fact he has the ability to shoot of passes. With Daniels being a great defender against dribbling guards who can cause steals, that is not a massive part of Hield’s came who can really come of screens in this game to fire away. At small forward, the Hawks do have De’Andre Hunter but Andrew Wiggins provides the same two-way ability with higher scoring volume. Even though Hunter can knock down mid-range shots and three’s, he will be disrupted by the great length of Wiggins on defense. Meanwhile, this won’t be the same case on the other end and the power forward position should be won by Draymond Green’s defensive prowess as well. Going up against a true-scorer in Jalen Johnson, his all-around game should be a key factor where he can help his team get cuts on the offense end and provide a lot of extra opportunties with strength from rebounds. As Kevon Looney and Traye Jackson-Davis continue complementing each other’s games inside nicely, they can dominate the Hawks duo of Clint Capela and Oneyka Okonguwu through rebounding plus finishing.

3. Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks Over/Under Pick (Total Points)

With the over/under in this game being 239.5 points, both teams have multiple scoring threats to make this high-scoring. As the Warriors are led by an all-world point guard who can finish and shoot at his own will, their shooting guard continues being an elite 3-point shooter. Having an solid finisher inside at center and a small forward that can score in many ways, this group’s bench includes another shooting guard that can knock great looks. Meanwhile, Atlanta has a great passing point guard that can drive in or create spacing from outside, while their shooting guard continues developing into a better overall scorer. Having a strong small forward/power forward combo that can knock down shots from anywhere and finish layups, this group has a backup forward who scores at a very high-volume too. Seeing that they also have two very solid big-man that can complete put-backs, the combined score in this game last time out was 275 points and should be somewhat similar.

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks Top Player Props

Trae Young over 10.5 assists at 1.91: Seeing that Trae Young continues to show his prowess as one of the best passers in NBA play, Stephen Curry’s defense wouldn’t affect him much due to having elite ball-handling skills. As someone who can drive in and use quickness, he should continue being able to find his wings open for threes off screens. All in all, Young is a point guard who averages 11.6 assists a night and should go over that total to expand it even more.

Stephen Curry over 23.5 points at 1.90: As Stephen Curry continues his hot shooting streak, he continues to be one of the dominating jump shooters in NBA play. Someone who can knock down from three and beat a very weak defender like Young of the dribble or spacing in the perimeter, he should have another great scoring performance. Seeing that he is someone who puts up 23.0 points a night, he will go over his season average as he can easily win his matchup on the offensive side this game.

Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks Injury News & Impact

Atlanta Hawks Injuries: Atlanta has gotten most of its pieces back after having one of the most depleted rosters. Therefore, it should be able to run the same rotations under head coach Quin Synder. The only noteworthy piece it may be missing is a bench player in Vit Krejci, who is 4.5 points a game, to manage his right adductor strain.

Golden State Warriors Injuries: Having De’Anthony Melton out, 10.3 points, due to an ACL injury honestly isn’t going to affect this team so much because his replacement in Buddy Hield has been fantastic this season. Although Kevon Looney missed the last game due to an illness, he should be back and ready to play his full minutes in this matchup. In addition, Lindy Waters III will most likely play in this game after suffering an injury against Memphis last Friday night.

Warriors v Hawks Head-to-Head Trends

Although this matchup always seems to have an alternative winner, the Warriors look like the squad with a more favorable chance here. With these squads having a 3-3 record against each other over 6 previous games, the Warriors have been undefeated at 3-0 in these matchups. As both teams have scored over 109 points each in 6 straight, a very high-scoring game should be on hands with these two teams having a 3-3 record against the spread versus each other.

Betting Insights & Public Trends

Looking at current benefits and public trends, the Golden State Warriors are favored to win this game against Atlanta by 74.2% of bettors.

Warriors v Hawks Final Prediction

Having one of the deepest rosters league-wide, Golden State enters this game continuing their great offensive play. A group that has improved on the other end as well, they should have a complete two-way advantage against a team like Atlanta that are just figuring their way with the roster finally healthy. Seeing that the Warriors are led by an elite scoring guard in Stephen Curry, his ability to knock down threes and finish inside the paint have been a massive factor for this offense. As he continues dominating defenses with his pace and ability to create great shots, his matchup against Trae Young will be a great one. Although Curry has the edge in scoring during this game, Young’s ability to pass will help the Hawks out a lot and make this game a little closer. Although the Hawks guard has continued to provide a high number of assists and knock down some of the deepest shots, the one benefit Golden State has here outside of scoring is Curry being a stronger defender. Knowning he can force steals and help create extra chances for Golden State, he should really be a key factor in a limiting Young’s game by a tiny bit. With the Warriors shooting guard being Buddy Hield, his game will be very hard to stop even though Dyson Daniels has been a top three defender for Atlanta this season. Seeing that Daniels can really create steals, the major issue here is that Hield’s playstyle requires less dribbling and more catch plus shoot threes. Seeing that he will these off ball-screens, it can take out a huge part of Daniels game, making him better on offense for one rare time. Although Daniels can provide shots from almost everywhere and also has a better three-point ability this season, he will still most likely fall short of Hield’s scoring prowess as an outside shooter.

As De’Andre Hunter has shown become one of the key three and defensive guys for this Atlanta squad, Andrew Wiggins has a size advantage on other side. Seeing that Hunter can still finish and fire away from downtown, his game will be stopped a little due to Wiggins length on defense, while the Warriors small forward should really score well inside as well. Even though Hunter has shown extremely good ability to slow down a lot of small forwards driving this season, Wiggins speed and strength is something he will have a disadvantage when guarding. Knowing this, Andrew Wiggins should create a positive for the Warriors on both ends with an elite defender like Draymond Green playing at forward next to him. As Green has been one of the best all-around passers and rebounders inside, he should dominate Jalen Johnson in these statistical categories. Having prowess to really play defense and create traps for mid-range shooters like Johnson, this Warriors star should make him take a lot of uncomfortable looks towards the basket. With Kevon Looney and Trayce Jackson-Davis continuing to complement each other’s games inside, they should continue having more scoring plus rebounding prowess than Oneyka Okonguwu and Clint Capela. Seeing this plus the Warriors have key pieces like Bradin Podziemski and Lindy Waters III off the bench, the Hawks only have shot off keeping this close if Okonguwu plus Zaccharie Risacher provide heavy scoring.

Our prediction: Golden State Warriors win and cover their -6.5 spread, while score goes over 239.5 points.