NBA Picks - Betting Tips: Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies

As the Milwaukee Bucks hope to turn around their early season struggles, they face a Memphis Grizzlies team that once again has life with Ja Morant in the lineup. With the Bucks coming off a tough 11 point performance to the Boston Celtics, their opponents in the Memphis Grizzlies lost a nail-biter against a surprising Bulls team. This game will be played on November 1st at 5:30 A.M. IST in FedexForum Arena, Memphis. Below are our betting tips, player props, key injuries, and recent performances in order to create a prediction for this game. 

Key Betting Tips & Predictions

1. Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Moneyline Pick

With the moneyline on Memphis being -140, they are favorites heading into a matchup that will really help them feel confidence heading into the 2nd week of this season. As Desmond Bane and Ja Morant have played tremendous offense, they will be able to control both Damian Lillard plus Gary Trent Jr. on defense causing more pressure on Giannis to come up. As he will move up Jaren Jackson Jr. and Zach Edey can play a two-man game inside which could translate differently to the scoreboard. Backing the Grizzlies in this game, they have a 1-2 record on the moneyline, but are playing a Bucks squad that is 1-3. Given this, Memphis should continue improving on this plus have a 5-0 record on moneyline against Milwaukee over their 5 past games. 

2. Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Point Spread Pick

As the point spread in this game is favored at -1.5 for the Grizzlies, that is a strong bet with them having a great offensive game plan against a very big Bucks defense that plays exclusively in the paint. As the Grizzlies have won 4 of 6 point spreads during those matchups, this should be another game that they could control. In addition, as the Grizzlies have been 3-0 over their last 3 games and look revitalized as a roster, the -1.5 is a perfect decision that Memphis should dominate. 

3. Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Over/Under Pick (Total Points)

The over/under for this game is 230.0 at 2.0 in this game. A game-line that predicts the exact score, there will be a lot of dominating factors on the Grizzlies offense that could find cracks in a struggling Bucks side led by Doc Rivers. The one thing is both sides have great mid-range and inside scoring, while Milwaukee still does feature Damian Lillard from outside against Morant plus Bane on Memphis. Seeing this plus the fact that the lowest score between both teams was 212 over the last 10 matchups, this should be a very high-scoring game on both ends. 

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Top Player Props

Highlight 2-3 player props that bettors should keep an eye on. Use player stats, form, and matchups to justify your picks.

Damian Lillard over 28 points at 1.85: As the Bucks will have to rely on Damian Lillard creating magical three-pointers from 50 feet out and driving in to keep this game in striking distance, he should have a big night. Going up against a weaker and less muscular defender in Ja Morant, Dame should be able to use his size and speed to find open shots all over while Jaren Jackson Jr. is busy guarding Giannias. As someone who is averaging 28.0 points a game, he will be above that range in this game.

Ja Morant over 25.5 points at 1.83: With Ja Morant being one of the most athletic point guards in the league, he will be able to take over Dame’s weakness on defense since Morant is a great ball-handler. Seeing someone who can shoot from three and mid-range as well, he should have tons of space to work with as Desmond Bane will be switched by Lopez and Giannias is going to have to cover a great scorer in Jaren Jackson Jr.. Seeing all this, it is a perfect game for Ja Morant to go over his season average of 20.7 points by a huge amount. 

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Injury News & Impact

Milwaukee Bucks Injuries: As Khris Middleton could potentially still be missing this game, his ankle has been costly for a Bucks squad that needs someone to score at a rapid rate alongside Damian Lillard. Averaging 15.1 points and 0.9 steals last season, he was one of their best two-way forwards and could potentially be a huge loss as someone who will have to guard Desmond Bane this game. His three-point shot, 38.1%, is going to be missed since Bane will now not have to worry about running to the perimeter and can continue getting rebounds over a less efficient Taurean Prince. 

Memphis Grizzlies Injuries: As Vince Williams, shin injury, had really broke out last year, the Grizzlies will miss their backup forward who played a huge role whenever Jaren Jackson Jr. was out. His 10.0 points per game and 44.6 field goal percentage is something extra that defenders who have to worry about if he was on the court with a sharpshooter like Desmond Bane. Also a backup to Desmond Bane himself, it will now force the starter to play way more minutes than usual. With Luke Kennard missing as well due to a foot injury, his 11.0 points and 3-point shoot efficeny will be missed as someone who could really complement Marcus Smart’s game. 

Head-to-Head Trends

As the Memphis Grizzlies have controlled this matchup over the past 5 matchups, they have won by a convincing amount every single time. Being 5-0 during this time against the spread, their average difference in score is at 22.8 points per victory. As both teams have hit the 100 point mark during these games, the Bucks 0-5 record shows that they still have an ability to improve it if everyone is healthy. As Memphis has averaged 126 points per game during this time, there should be an anticipation for another high-scoring output from them. 

Betting Insights & Public Trends

As the trends show for his game, the Memphis Grizzlies have a 58.3% chance to win this game against the Bucks. 

Final Prediction

Even though the Bucks seem like the better team in this matchup, it seems like their chemistry has still been an issue. Meanwhile, Memphis has continued to develop as a squad and should sneak out a victory against Milwaukee. As Ja Morant and Damian Lillard will be the main offensive headline, both their abilities to create from anywhere on the floor will make it impossible for anyone to stop this matchup. With Giannias being one of the best forwards in the game and having the ability to play inside or drive in transition, this might be a little more quiet for him as a top defensive forward in Jaren Jackson Jr. will be able to slow him down with speed and height. Knowing that a lot of the outside shooter like Gary Trent Jr. have been struggling, not having Khris Middleton will give Desmond Bane an easier task in having to guard Taurean Prince. Although Brook Lopez usually dominates opposing centers with his blocking and rebounding ability, Zach Edey will be able to control him as he is about 5 inches taller. But, the Bucks could really win this game too if Bobby Portis Jr. brings a huge presence of the bench and Gary Trent Jr. really fixes his issues. 

Our Prediction: The Grizzlies should win this game and hit the spread of -1.5, while going over the 230.0 combined points this game.