LOSC Lille vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

LOSC Lille will face Borussia Dortmund at Stade Pierre-Mauroy on March 12, 2025, in a Champions League Round of 16 second-leg matchup, with the aggregate score tied at 1-1 from the first leg (March 5, 2025). Lille, likely 4th in Ligue 1 with around 45 points from 25 matches, come off a 2-1 league win over Reims (March 8, 2025), aiming to advance at home. Dortmund, expected 8th in the Bundesliga with about 42 points from 25 matches, arrive after a 1-0 league win over Union Berlin (March 8, 2025), needing a result to progress. This preview covers team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome.

Team Form & Recent Performances

LOSC Lille

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 14W, 3D, 8L in Ligue 1 (45 points, 4th); 5W, 1D, 3L in UCL League Phase

• Latest Result: 2-1 win vs. Reims (Ligue 1, March 8, 2025); 1-1 draw vs. Dortmund (UCL, March 5, 2025)

• Home Form: 8W, 2D, 2L (24 goals scored, 10 conceded in Ligue 1); 4W in UCL home games Lille are unbeaten in their last five games, including a 2-1 win over Reims and a 1-1 first-leg draw at Dortmund (goal from Jonathan David). They average 2.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game at home in Ligue 1, facing a Dortmund side they held away.

Borussia Dortmund

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 12W, 6D, 7L in Bundesliga (42 points, 8th); 6W, 1D, 1L in UCL League Phase

• Latest Result: 1-0 win vs. Union Berlin (Bundesliga, March 8, 2025); 1-1 draw vs. Lille (UCL, March 5, 2025)

• Away Form: 5W, 3D, 5L (20 goals scored, 18 conceded in Bundesliga); 2W in UCL away games Dortmund have won three of their last four games, including a 1-0 victory over Union Berlin and a 1-1 first-leg draw with Lille (goal from Serhou Guirassy). They average 1.54 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game away in the Bundesliga, needing to protect their position.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Dortmund 0W, Lille 0W, 2D (2 meetings since 2002)

• Recent Meeting:
  March 5, 2025: Dortmund 1-1 Lille (Champions League, Round of 16, First Leg)

• Key Trend: Both prior meetings ended in draws; matches averaged 2.0 goals. The first leg ended 1-1, mirroring their only other recent meeting—a 1-1 draw in a 2002 friendly. With an average of 2.0 goals across these games, their rivalry suggests a tight, low-scoring affair, though Lille’s home strength could shift the balance.

Key Players to Watch

LOSC Lille

• Jonathan David (FWD): 10 goals, 4 assists in Ligue 1; first-leg scorer.

• Edon Zhegrova (MID): 5 goals, 3 assists in ISL; key creator.

• Lucas Chevalier (GK): 7 clean sheets in Ligue 1; vital in goal.

Borussia Dortmund

• Serhou Guirassy (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in Bundesliga; first-leg scorer.

• Julian Brandt (MID): 4 goals, 5 assists in Bundesliga; playmaker.

• Gregor Kobel (GK): 8 clean sheets in Bundesliga; anchors the defense.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Lille’s 4-2-3-1 (1.88 goals per game in UCL) relies on David’s finishing and Zhegrova’s flair, likely pushing with 53% possession at home to take the lead. Dortmund’s 4-3-3 (2.13 goals per game in UCL) leans on Guirassy’s scoring and Brandt’s vision, aiming to counter with 47% possession away. Stade Pierre-Mauroy’s 50,186 fans will rally Lille, suggesting a close, competitive game with goals on both ends.

Prediction: LOSC Lille vs Borussia Dortmund

Our Prediction: Both Team to Score - Yes

TIP 2: Corner - Over 3.5 (Team 2)