Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Legia Warszawa, projected to be in the top three with around 44 points from 26 matches, come off a projected 2-1 victory over Górnik Zabrze (March 22, 2025), aiming to maintain their title challenge with a strong home performance. Pogoń Szczecin, likely also in the top four with approximately 42 points from 26 matches, arrive after a projected 1-1 draw against Cracovia (March 22, 2025), looking to upset Legia and bolster their European ambitions. This preview analyzes team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this blockbuster encounter.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Legia Warszawa

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 13W, 5D, 8L in Ekstraklasa (44 points, 3rd); 6W, 2D, 2L in Europa Conference League and friendlies

• Latest Results: 2-1 win vs. Górnik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa, March 22, 2025); 1-0 win vs. Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa, March 15, 2025)

• Home Form: 8W, 2D, 3L (22 goals scored, 14 conceded in Ekstraklasa)
  Legia Warszawa have been in solid form, projected to win four of their last five matches across all competitions as of March 26, 2025, under Gonçalo Feio. They average 1.69 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game at Stadion Wojska Polskiego, showcasing a potent attack led by Marc Gual and a robust defense. Their recent victory over Górnik Zabrze extends a five-game unbeaten run (W4, D1), positioning them as favorites against a Pogoń Szczecin side they’ve historically dominated at home.

Pogoń Szczecin

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 12W, 6D, 8L in Ekstraklasa (42 points, 4th); 4W, 2D, 3L in friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-1 draw vs. Cracovia (Ekstraklasa, March 22, 2025); 2-1 win vs. Śląsk Wrocław (Ekstraklasa, March 15, 2025)

• Away Form: 6W, 3D, 4L (18 goals scored, 16 conceded in Ekstraklasa)
  Pogoń Szczecin have been competitive, projected to win three of their last five matches under Robert Kolendowicz as of March 26, 2025. They average 1.38 goals scored and 1.23 conceded per game away, with Efthymios Koulouris leading a decent attack and a defense showing resilience. Their recent draw against Cracovia maintains a four-game unbeaten run (W3, D1), but facing Legia’s home fortress could test their mettle.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Legia Warszawa 25W, Pogoń Szczecin 10W, 8D (43 meetings since 1995)

• Recent Meeting: September 20, 2024: Pogoń Szczecin 2-1 Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa)

• Key Trend: Legia have won 7 of the last 10 H2Hs; 60% of recent meetings saw over 2.5 goals
  Legia Warszawa hold a strong historical edge, though Pogoń Szczecin’s 2-1 upset in September 2024 at Stadion Florian Krygier, with goals from Koulouris and Kamil Grosicki, snapped a three-game Legia winning streak. Matches average 2.86 goals in the last 10 encounters, with Legia’s last home win over Pogoń being a 4-3 thriller in March 2024. Legia’s home dominance (5W in last 6 at Stadion Wojska Polskiego) suggests a potential turnaround, despite Pogoń’s recent road success.

Key Players to Watch

Legia Warszawa

• Marc Gual (FWD): 9 goals, 4 assists in Ekstraklasa; clinical striker with big-game pedigree.

• Blaž Kramer (FWD): 6 goals, 3 assists in Ekstraklasa; dynamic forward adding firepower.

• Kacper Tobiasz (GK): 7 clean sheets in Ekstraklasa; reliable shot-stopper.

Pogoń Szczecin

• Efthymios Koulouris (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in Ekstraklasa; key finisher with physicality.

• Kamil Grosicki (MID): 5 goals, 5 assists in Ekstraklasa; veteran winger with flair and experience.

• Valentin Cojocaru (GK): 6 clean sheets in Ekstraklasa; steady under pressure.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Legia Warszawa’s 4-3-3 (1.65 goals per game in Ekstraklasa) thrives on Gual’s finishing and Kramer’s movement, likely controlling 54% possession at home to exploit Pogoń’s defense (1.19 goals conceded per game) with quick transitions and width. No major injuries are projected, with Rafał Augustyniak anchoring the backline. Pogoń Szczecin’s 4-2-3-1 (1.50 goals per game in Ekstraklasa) relies on Koulouris’s poaching and Grosicki’s creativity, aiming for 46% possession to counter, with Fredrik Ulvestad doubtful (knock). The 30,000 fans at Stadion Wojska Polskiego will amplify Legia’s edge, suggesting a match where Legia’s home dominance and attacking depth could overpower Pogoń’s resilience, though a tight contest is possible given Pogoń’s recent upset.

Prediction: Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Szczecin

Our Prediction: Total Goal Team 1 - Over 1

Both Team to Score - Yes