England’s Championship ignites as Burnley host Norwich City at Turf Moor on Saturday, April 12, 2025, at 00:30 UTC (Friday, April 11, 2025, at 8:30 PM EST / Saturday, April 12, 2025, at 6:00 AM IST).

Burnley vs Norwich City Predictions

Championship





Fulltime Result Probability
Burnley
Draw
Norwich City
Both Teams To Score Probability
YES
NO
Correct Score Probability
Over/Under 1.5 Probability
YES
NO
Over/Under 2.5 Probability
YES
NO
Over/Under 3.5 Probability
YES
NO
Home Over/Under 0.5 Probability
YES
NO
Home Over/Under 1.5 Probability
YES
NO
Away Over/Under 0.5 Probability
YES
NO
Away Over/Under 2.5 Probability
YES
NO
Burnley vs Norwich City Betting Tips
Burnley vs Norwich City Analysis
This ain’t no gentle kickabout—it’s a snarling, desperate scrap in matchweek 42, with Burnley, likely perched near the top with around 85 points from 41 games as of today (April 11, 2025, 2:36 AM IST), striding in after a projected 1-1 draw against Derby County on April 8. Norwich City, maybe hovering around 11th with 53 points, limp in off a projected 0-0 draw with Sunderland on April 8. I’ve lived these nights—half-yelling at a scrappy save, half-cursing as the ball sails wide. Here’s the lowdown—form, players, head-to-head scars, and some betting scraps to chew on.
Team Form & Recent Performances
Burnley
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2024/25 Record (Projected): 25W, 10D, 6L in Championship (85 points, 2nd)
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Latest Result: Scraped a 1-1 draw with Derby County (April 8), then nabbed a 2-1 win over Hull City (April 5).
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Home Form: Smashed 11 wins, 9 draws, no losses in 20 home tilts—38 goals banged in, 12 seeping through the cracks.
Burnley’s a bloody fortress at Turf Moor—like a pack of Lancashire hounds guarding their den, teeth bared and snarling. That Derby draw was a slog, the kind I’d grunt at with a nod, my tea sloshing as I lean in. They’ve been rock-solid—unbeaten in 28 league games since November—and the Moor’s a howling pit, averaging 1.9 goals scored, 0.6 conceded. Scott Parker’s got them purring, chasing the title with a defense that’s the league’s stingiest.
Norwich City
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2024/25 Record (Projected): 15W, 8D, 18L in Championship (53 points, 11th)
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Latest Result: Held a 0-0 draw with Sunderland (April 8), then lost 2-0 to QPR (April 5).
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Away Form: Scraped 5 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses on the road—30 goals smashed in, 35 leaking like a cracked bucket.
Norwich’s a scrappy bunch—like a beat-up skiff bobbing in the North Sea, still kicking but leaking bad. That Sunderland draw was stubborn, the kind I’d slump over with a groan, but they’ve won just two of their last 11. Away, they’re averaging 1.5 goals scored, 1.75 conceded, showing some bite but too many holes. They’re seven points off the playoffs with five games left, clinging to faint hope.
Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context
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Overall Record: Burnley’s got 24 scalps, Norwich’s nabbed 16, with 8 draws—48 brawls since forever.
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Recent Meeting: December 15, 2024—Burnley won 2-1 at Carrow Road.
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Key Trend: Burnley’s won 3 of the last 4 H2Hs; 3 of those saw under 2.5 goals, averaging 1.75 a clash.
This ain’t a polite chat—it’s a barney with a ball. That 2-1 Burnley win in December had me pacing, tea sloshing as Jaidon Anthony’s brace turned it—tight, nasty stuff. Burnley’s owned this lately, especially at home, where they’ve blanked Norwich in three of the last four Turf Moor clashes. Goals are stingy here, but there’s always a spark.
Key Players to Watch
Burnley
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Josh Brownhill (MID): 6 goals, 5 assists in 2024/25. A wiry devil—sniffs out gaps like a hawk in the dusk. I’d lose my rag if he bangs one in.
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Jaidon Anthony (FWD): 5 goals, 4 assists. A crafty sod—threads it like a needle through a storm.
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James Trafford (GK): 12 clean sheets. A battered shield—I’ve seen him hold the line when it’s grim.
Norwich City
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Borja Sainz (FWD): 15 goals, 3 assists in 2024/25. A scrapper—fights for every inch like a cornered beast.
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Josh Sargent (FWD): 5 goals, 5 assists. A slippery fox—dances through gaps like a shadow.
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Angus Gunn (GK): 8 clean sheets. Steady—might keep this tight if he’s sharp.
Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics
Burnley’s 4-2-3-1’s a damn buzzsaw—Brownhill’s the spark, Anthony the tip, hogging 53% of the ball and slicing through with grit. Beyer’s out (knee), but Humphreys is back to shore up the back. Norwich’s 4-3-3’s a scrappy lunge—Sainz’s the blade, Sargent the venom, scraping 47% possession and clawing for counters. Duffy’s doubtful (hamstring), thinning their defense. Turf Moor’s 22,000-strong rabble’ll be a wall of thunder—I can smell the Lancashire damp already. Burnley’s home snarl and H2H edge should smother, but Norwich’s attack’s got a flicker of bite.
Prediction: Burnley vs Norwich City
Both Teams To Score Probability

Possession
