Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor Predictions

Antalyaspor, projected to be mid-table with around 38 points from 29 matches, come off a projected 2-1 loss to Fenerbahçe (March 23, 2025), aiming to leverage their home advantage to halt a potential skid. Alanyaspor, likely just below the playoff spots with approximately 40 points from 29 matches, arrive after a projected 1-1 draw against Samsunspor (March 23, 2025), seeking to maintain consistency and push for European contention. This preview analyzes team form, key players, head-to-head stats, and betting tips to predict the outcome of this Antalya derby showdown.

Team Form & Recent Performances

Antalyaspor

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 11W, 5D, 13L in Super Lig (38 points, 10th); 4W, 2D, 3L in Turkish Cup and friendlies

• Latest Results: 2-1 loss vs. Fenerbahçe (Super Lig, March 23, 2025); 1-0 win vs. Adana Demirspor (Super Lig, March 16, 2025)

• Home Form: 6W, 3D, 5L (18 goals scored, 16 conceded in Super Lig)
  Antalyaspor have been inconsistent, projected to win two of their last five league matches as of March 26, 2025, under Alex de Souza or a successor. They average 1.29 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game at Corendon Airlines Park, reflecting a balanced but occasionally vulnerable side led by Sam Larsson. Their recent loss to Fenerbahçe ends a mini-revival (W2, L2, D1), but their home form offers hope against an Alanyaspor team they’ve struggled against recently.

Alanyaspor

• 2024/25 Record (Projected): 11W, 7D, 11L in Super Lig (40 points, 9th); 4W, 2D, 3L in Turkish Cup and friendlies

• Latest Results: 1-1 draw vs. Samsunspor (Super Lig, March 23, 2025); 2-0 win vs. Rizespor (Super Lig, March 16, 2025)

• Away Form: 5W, 3D, 6L (16 goals scored, 18 conceded in Super Lig)
  Alanyaspor have shown resilience, projected to win three of their last five matches under Fatih Tekke as of March 26, 2025. They average 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game away, with Sergio Córdova driving a decent attack and a defense holding firm against mid-table opposition. Their recent draw against Samsunspor maintains a four-game unbeaten run (W3, D1), positioning them to challenge a faltering Antalyaspor side on the road.

Head-to-Head Stats & Historical Context

• Overall Record: Antalyaspor 10W, Alanyaspor 9W, 7D (26 meetings since 2005)

• Recent Meeting: October 27, 2024: Alanyaspor 2-1 Antalyaspor (Super Lig)

• Key Trend: Alanyaspor have won 3 of the last 4 H2Hs; 60% of recent meetings saw both teams score
  Alanyaspor have gained the upper hand recently, with their 2-1 victory in October 2024 at Bahçeşehir Okulları Stadium led by Córdova and Oguz Aydin. Matches average 2.60 goals in the last 10 encounters, with Antalyaspor’s last home win over Alanyaspor being a 3-1 result in April 2023. Alanyaspor’s recent road success against Antalyaspor (2W in last 3 visits) suggests a competitive derby, though Antalyaspor’s home crowd could shift the dynamic.

Key Players to Watch

Antalyaspor

• Sam Larsson (FWD): 7 goals, 4 assists in Super Lig; creative winger with flair.

• Jakub Kałuziński (MID): 5 goals, 3 assists in Super Lig; emerging midfielder driving play.

• Helton Leite (GK): 6 clean sheets in Super Lig; steady presence in goal.

Alanyaspor

• Sergio Córdova (FWD): 8 goals, 3 assists in Super Lig; clinical striker with physicality.

• Oguz Aydin (MID): 6 goals, 5 assists in Super Lig; dynamic playmaker with pace.

• Ertuğrul Taşkıran (GK): 7 clean sheets in Super Lig; reliable under pressure.

Tactical Insights & Match Dynamics

Antalyaspor’s 4-2-3-1 (1.31 goals per game in Super Lig) relies on Larsson’s creativity and Kałuziński’s energy, likely holding 51% possession at home to exploit Alanyaspor’s defense (1.24 goals conceded per game) with quick transitions and width. No major injuries are projected, with Veysel Sarı steadying the backline. Alanyaspor’s 4-2-3-1 (1.38 goals per game in Super Lig) hinges on Córdova’s finishing and Aydin’s flair, aiming for 49% possession to counter, with Fidan Aliti doubtful (knock). The 17,000 fans at Corendon Airlines Park will rally Antalyaspor, suggesting a tight derby where Alanyaspor’s recent form could edge out Antalyaspor’s home resilience, though a high-scoring draw remains plausible given their history.

Prediction: Antalyaspor vs Alanyaspor

Our Prediction: Both Team to Score - Yes